MBG Markets：英国保守党如期大胜，疲软零售不阻美元走强

　　
保守党如期大胜，英镑冲高回落(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元隔夜震幅达202Points, closing down1.03%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to70-71Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.3515Below support attention5日均线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:英国大选，保守党获得365个席位，确保了议会多数，赢得自1987年撒切尔夫人以来最大胜利。保守党赢得大选后，英镑兑美元一个月风险逆转指标降至1个月低位，投机者对英镑的净空头押注降至五月以来新低。英镑波动迅疾，英国大选当日早盘跳涨近350点一度上破1.35关口，随后回吐部分涨幅收于1.33关口上方。机构评论大多认为大选利好不足以支撑英镑长期上涨。
　　
疲软数据难阻强势美元，欧元被动大跌(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar74Points, closing down0.58%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to58-59Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1150Below support attention10日均线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:U.S.A11Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.2%增长，不及预期。富国银行预计圣诞和新年前的节假日消费有望刺激12月数据的增长。美联储克拉里达称，不支持负利率；美联储购买短期国债的行为并不是QE，只是提供流动性；认为今年早些时候对经济衰退的担忧被夸大了，美联储的基线预期在2020年基本保持不变。美联储“三号人物”威廉姆斯称，经济处于良好状态，预计明年通胀将提振至2%附近。欧洲央行副行长金多斯：由于有序脱欧、贸易局势缓和，欧元区经济已经出现触底迹象。市场消息：市场指标显示，对欧元区长期通胀预期达到1.2959%, for9月中旬以来最高水平。
　　
密集风险事件退潮，金价仍显韧性(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached133Individual points, closing up0.72%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于走高，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to53-54Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1484，下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌9.40%, closing on12.63； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day0.11%, closing on17.58。东西方贸易磋商出现进展，美方将履行分阶段取消对华产品加征关税的相关承诺，实现加征关税由升到降的转变。英国大选，保守党获得365个席位，确保了议会多数，赢得自1987年撒切尔夫人以来最大胜利。随着两大风险事件退潮，全球风险偏好情显著升温，但金价表现出十足韧性，仍于高位运行。
　　
　　
　　
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