Yimeng Shengding12.16黄金原油行情预测走势，周一多头能否走预期还是先跌后涨

    投资的路很漫长，要学会淡然，你会发现，过于在意行情的波动 ，反而会适得其反，市场往往的技术与消息是充满矛盾的，需要少说话多倾听。无论你今天怎么用力，明天的落叶还是会飘下来，市场本无常，无常是资本市场的一种常态，要学着习惯适应这种无常。KThe rise and fall of the line quickly passed by with the ticking of the clock. When you rise, you worry about falling, when you fall, you worry about rising, when you wait and see, you're afraid of missing out. When you enter, you want to break even and carry the banner of love, but you haven't done anything to persist in for love. You never think the market is scary, what's scary is the dispersion of people's hearts, it's self denial.
　　


SpotgoldFriday（12month13日）温和收涨，美市盘中最低下探至1461.87dollar/盎司，金价自开盘后盘整，之后转涨，金价震荡下行，录得日内高位1475.37dollar/盎司后转跌，金价跳水已跌至1470关口下方。白银也冲高回落，盘中最低触及16.82dollar/盎司，银价仍运行在17美元关口下方。美元小幅下跌，美元指数最低下探至96.61, continue to run on98Below the gate.

　　

　　周五国新办发表声明称，经过中美两国经贸团队的共同努力，双方在平等和相互尊重原则的基础上，已就中美第一阶段经贸协议文本达成一致。协议文本包括序言、知识产权、技术转让、食品和农产品、金融服务、汇率和透明度、扩大贸易、双边评估和争端解决、最终条款九个章节。同时，双方达成一致，美方将履行分阶段取消对华产品加征关税的相关承诺，实现加征关税由升到降的转变。与此同时，美国总统特朗.普则发推证实，不会对中国加征新关税。

　　

　　翼盟胜鼎个人观点：中美就第一阶段的贸易协议达成一致后，黄金下挫之后随即反弹，并以涨势收盘，显示出令人惊讶的弹性。同时，周五及此前的一些疲弱的美国经济数据对贵金属多头有利，但全球市场的不确定性并未消失，尤其是每况愈下的负利率环境对黄金的支撑仍然存在。

　　

　　刚入市黄金的朋友可能会因为工作、生活等问题无法获取国际市场第一新闻或消息，这对咱们做黄金来讲是很大的困扰，所以翼盟胜鼎欢迎做投资的朋友找到我一起共同交流与进步，让各位随时随地第一时间知道国际市场动向，做最稳健的单子。

　　

　　12.15Analysis of gold market trend:

　　

　　现货黄金日线级别上看，日线收中阳线，高点没有破前高，低点破前低，没有出现出头或落尾走势，30日双轨均线向下发散中，金价运行在双轨下方，macd指标上金价运行在零轴下方，空头动能放量出现减弱迹象，kd指标上显示，kd双线运行在50区域，出现金叉向上发散中。在浪型结构上看，黄金运行在1556.92dollar/盎司后承压下跌的下降通道中，在触及1445.52dollar/盎司后，金价出现了一波平台型调整的五浪调整。在结构上看，黄金后期将出现下跌的三浪走势，在日线级别上看，上方压力位需要关注1486-1492位置压力，若进一步上破，金价将突破日线级别下降通道线，间接打破下降走势格局。

　　

　　在小时级别上看，黄金在12month9Daily low point1458.58dollar/盎司得到支撑后出现了一波上涨的五浪走势，在最高触及1486.57dollar/盎司后五浪完成，金价出现下跌，下跌幅度有点大，打破了金价上涨的浪型，进一步转跌，在昨日反弹的力度较大，进一步给到了多空分界点1477dollar/盎司。在黄金1486.57dollar/盎司看做下跌的一浪，那么周五反弹1477dollar/盎司，将视为二浪调整，在下周一开盘后，金价承压1477dollar/盎司，大概率上将出现小时级别下跌三浪走势，下方支撑关注1467-1461支撑，，上方压力位关注1477-1480压力位，下周多空分界点关注1480dollar/ounce.

　　

　　综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1480-1482Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1466-1468一线支撑。行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注翼盟胜鼎本人。如果有仓位上套|Single lock|Single friends, please consult me promptly.

　　

　　12.15Reference for Golden Operation Strategy:

　　

Empty order strategy:

　　

Gold rebound1480-1482Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss4Points, target1474-1470Nearby. Break the position to see1468frontline;

　　

Multiple order strategy:

　　

Gold Callback1466-1468Nearby long (buy up) 2/10 positions, stop loss4Points, target1474-1478Nearby, break down and take a look1480frontline;

　　

　　关于今日的操作，本人已经公布在朋.friend.Circle, and will always be in Wei//letter//直播，准确率百分之九十以上，笔者 ymsd06)Communication is all free. Did you miss today's profit?

　　

　　12.15crude oilFundamental and technical analysis:

　　

　　油价周五升至近三个月来的最高水平，因投资者对化解中美贸易争端取得进展，以及英国大选保守党大胜的结果感到鼓舞；双方宣布了一项“第一阶段”协议，美国将下调部份中国商品关税，以换取中国增加购买美国农产品；美国茆易代表周五对记者表示，该协议将于明年1月的第一周签署；翼盟胜鼎认为，看来特.Lang.普在圣诞节前及时达成了茆易协议，尽管茆易消息“推动市场上涨”，但他希望看到中方公布更多细节；英国执政的保守党在周四的大选中赢得了绝大多数选票，为英国首相约翰逊带领英国退出欧盟铺平了道路；英国退欧的不确定性一直重压油价；石油输出国组织(OPEC)和包括俄罗斯在内的盟友上周同意从明年1month1日起，将每日供应量再减少50Ten thousand barrels.

　　

　　技术面来看，日线布林线轨道向上倾斜，MACDandKDJ金叉运行，油价突破5Daily moving average59.19附近阻力，目前正在测试60整数关口阻力，若企稳该位置上方，则有望进一步涨向7month15Daily high point60.94Nearby,5month23Resistance to daily highs61.41附近；翼盟胜鼎认为油价中线目标可能会重新涨向9Month high point63.38附近。目前5日均线已近转换为初步支撑所在，10The daily moving average is supported by58.4Nearby, due toKDJ已经进入超买区域，继续关注200Daily moving average57.64附近，若油价回落至该位置下方，则削弱中线看涨信号。

　　

Short line4hourMACDReestablish a golden fork,KDJ金叉，布林线轨道开口，油价初步顶破近期高点59.84附近阻力，正在试探60整数关口阻力，若顶破该阻力则有望打开新的上涨空间。不过由于KDJ运行超买区域，油价短线走势仍存一定变数，翼盟胜鼎认为若回落至布林线中轨59.12下方，则可能会再次试探布林线下轨58.44Nearby support.

　　

　　综合来看，下周一短线操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方重点关注60.8-61.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below59.2-59.0Frontline support.

　　

　　12.15Reference for crude oil operation strategy:

　　

Empty order strategy:

　　

Above the rebound of crude oil60.6-60.8Short selling nearby(Buy down), two tenths of a position, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target59.8-59.5Nearby; Dislocation59.2Near.

　　

Multi order strategy:

　　

Below the crude oil correction59.0-59.2Nearby long (buy up), 2/10 positions, stop loss0.4USD, target60.0-60.5Nearby; Dislocation60.8Near.

　　

　　关于今日的操作，本人已经公布在朋.friend.Circle, and will always be in Wei//letter//直播，准确率百分之九十以上，笔者 ymsd06)Communication is all free. Did you miss today's profit?

　　

How to remedy losses in gold investment!

　　

　　1Moderate trading

　　

More and more is better than less and more, blindly holding the attitude of "investing more and earning more", cannot closely follow the market when losses occur, and control the quality of doing orders. It's better to keep a detailed trading diary, identify the reasons for failure and success, and make timely adjustments to stop losses. If the losses continue, you need to take a break, build a virtual market in your mind, organize your thoughts, and then verify your point of view. If your investment method really doesn't work, try another one. Read books written by successful individuals and see how they succeed. But pay attention to those so-called investment secrets and successful strategies.

　　

　　2Familiar with the market

　　

Knowing oneself and the enemy is the key to winning a hundred battles. Gold investors cannot simply pursue technical analysis. The level of understanding of the fundamentals of gold investment can often affect the probability of success in gold investment. At the same time, it can also accurately grasp and compensate for gold losses. Make a detailed transaction diary. If you can keep a trading diary, it will prompt you to trace the source of the investment market, identify clues to failure and success, and make timely adjustments.

　　

　　3Acting according to plan

　　

Even if there are occasional situations where the plan cannot keep up with changes, it is necessary for gold investors to develop and follow a reasonable investment plan. Blindly entering the gold investment market will only be a lost lamb, letting the market lead by the nose. For medium and long-term investors, there is no need to do it every market. As long as the overall situation is accurately judged and the position at hand conforms to one's own judgment, one can cast a long line to catch big fish.

　　

　　4Believe in oneself

　　

　　如果自己都怀疑自己的投资理念，又何来对黄金投资市场的运筹帷幄。一种投资方法没有效果，那就换另外一种，总有适合自己的投资方式。切记识别鱼龙混杂的投资技巧；咨询翼盟胜鼎及时了解市场资讯，把握大趋势行情助你稳健获利！

　　

　　5Leaving decisively when making mistakes

　　

When it is clear that making mistakes leads to losses, and the losses continue to expand beyond expectations, perhaps no remedial measures will be taken. The best remedy is to leave as soon as possible. Unfortunately, only a small number of people can achieve this method.

　　

Personal feedback on making orders:

　　

　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.

　　

　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.

　　

　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.

　　

　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.

　　

　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.

Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))

Comprehensive guidance teacher: Yimeng Shengding Analysis Team

Analysis writer: Yimeng Shengding  Wei-Core（ ymsd06）  

Author's message:
A restless heart leads to chaos, and chaos leads to danger. Patience is an essential element for success. May you know me starting with words and matching my personality,Trapped in technology, enduring kindness, and finally having a good character