Yimeng Shengding12.16黄金周一独家策略解12.16黄金原油下周走势操作前景分析

    dogoldMost investors are influenced by the ups and downs of the market, and they stick to their original intention. Although what they say may seem simple, there are very few things they can do. This is why most people in the market are losing money. There is a misconception among short-term investors that short selling is afraid of rising, long selling is afraid of falling. Everyone should know that no one can long at the lowest position or short at the highest position every time, and there will be certain fluctuations in the short term, However, most people keep an eye on the market. When the market is moving in the opposite direction to the entry direction and has not reached the stop loss level, they are constantly worried that it will only change their original intention. Frequent exits and entries will only increase the stop loss. Therefore, principle is important. According to the initial strategy, if the market breaks through or falls below the resistance and support level, they should firmly hold it. Once the market breaks through or falls below the resistance and support level, they should adjust their strategy in a timely manner in the short term and follow up with the trend, If there are any problems with your own operation, please follow the operation strategy of Yimeng Shengding and strictly follow it to maintain long-term and stable profits!!

　　市场综述：

　　刚刚过去的一周，英国大选尘埃落定，首相约翰逊卫冕成功刺激英镑一度涨近500点；中美贸易关系迎来第一阶段协议确认，双方同意降级部分关税摩擦，扶助市场情绪稳定；欧美央行公布年内最后一次决议声明，维持近期按兵不动的立场；美国经济数据则再现良莠不齐。

　　黄金投资者本周对中美贸易紧张气氛暂时的缓和维持谨慎，同时受到部分乐观情绪的压制，价格小幅回升至1460上方，屡探1470大关，一度涨破1480，周内最高触及1486.80Horizontal;crude oil方面，上周OPEC+agree2020year1month1日起每日油产量再减少50万桶，使得本周原油多头占得上风，叠加风险提振的背景，多头周五续升至近三个月高位，上破60大关，触高60.48frontline.

　　下周重磅数据及事件：

　　12month16-22日当周，日本央行、英国央行将先后公布利率决议，需要加以注。此外，欧洲央行行长拉加德发表讲话。日本央行方面，扩大宽松规模的门槛极高，料将继续维持利率不变。英国央行方面，同样可能在12month19日的会议上“按兵不动”，但由于通胀预计保持在目标水平之下，因此可能在2020Annual interest rate reduction25Bps to0.5%。

　　

Gold trend analysis:

　　

　　刚刚过去的一周，现货黄金涨幅逾1%, creating8月以来的最大单周涨幅。经贸消息方面，尽管全球两大经济体都就经贸局势发表了积极的评论，但投资者的担忧并没有被完全消除，而除了关注国际经贸局势进展外，英国大选结果、美国“弹劾门”进展，这都将对金价产生直接的影响。截止收盘，现货黄金报1476.33dollar/Ounces, weekly increase1.11%。翼盟胜鼎认为，随着近期黄金选择方向，黄金短线存在上下80美元的波动空间，上破1480后有望上探1500，但是如果跌破此前低点1445料测试1420Near.

　　

　　技术面来看，日线布林线轨道收口后走平，留意布林线轨道1450.82-1480.33区域突破情况；MACDGolden fork,KDJ重新结成金叉，金价回升至20Daily moving average1466.53上方，短线看空信号有所减弱，但上方还受到60Daily moving average1483.14and100Daily moving average1489.71位置压制；短线走势仍然存在较大变数。翼盟胜鼎认为若金价顶破布林线上轨1480.33Nearby resistance is expected to be further explored100Daily moving average1489.71附近阻力，该位置也是1557以来下行趋势线阻力所在；能否进一步上破还有待观察。若进一步强势上破，则增加中线看涨信号。不过目前MACDandKDJ的金叉信号偏弱，若金价回落至20Daily moving average1466.53下方，则增加短线看空信号；12month7Daily low point support at1458.78Nearby, 布林线下轨支撑支撑1450.82Near.

　　

Short line4hourMACDandKDJ初步金叉，但金价仍然受到布林线上轨1479.81附近阻力压制，翼盟胜鼎认为若顶破该阻力，则有望再次试探前期高点1486.83附近阻力。若金价上冲受阻，则仍然需要提防震荡下行的风险；布林线中轨1468.52附近支撑，若失守该支撑，则金价可能会进一步试探布林线下轨1457.24附近支撑。综合来看，周一操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；

　　

Focus on resistance above:1479.81；1486.83；1489.71；

　　

Pay attention to support below:1468.52；1457.24；1450.82；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

　　

　　1Rebound1480Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1470-1468；

　　

　　2Callback1468Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1478-1480；

　　

　　3、盘间行情实时变化，具体操作策略以翼盟胜鼎指导实盘为准；

　　

Analysis of crude oil trend:

　　

　　刚刚过去的一周，国际油价升至近三个月来的最高水平，美油自9month17Breakthrough for the first time in recent days60美元关口。因投资者对化解国际经贸争端取得进展，以及英国大选保守党大胜的结果感到鼓舞。尽管OPEC深化减产，但不足以扭转2020年初市场供过于求的情况，因此这可能是目前油价无法大涨的原因。截止收盘，美油报59.78dollar/桶，周涨幅1.20；

　　

Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJGolden fork operation,5Daily moving average10日均线结成金叉且给油价提供良好支撑，油价一度突破60整数关口阻力，触及60.48后回落，短线有进一步试探7month15Daily high point60.94附近的迹象，5month23Resistance to daily highs61.41附近；翼盟胜鼎认为油价中线目标仍然可看向9Month high point63.38Nearby. Preliminary support below5Daily moving average59.16Nearby,10The daily moving average is supported by58.39Nearby, due toKDJ已经逼近超买区域，短线不排除再次回踩200Daily moving average57.64附近支撑的可能，若油价回落至该位置下方，则削弱中线看涨信号。

　　

Short line4hourMACD金叉但发出顶背离信号，KDJ重新结成死叉，布林线开口，油价短线走势存在较大变数，若重新顶破布林线上轨59.89附近阻力，并企稳60整数关口上方，则有望打开新的上涨空间。翼盟胜鼎认为若油价失守布林线中轨59.19附近支撑，则可能会再次试探布林线下轨58.49附近支撑。综合来看，失守59.19前，短线偏向震荡上行，所以周一操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；

　　

Focus on resistance above:60.48；60.94；61.45；

　　

Pay attention to support below:59.19；58.49；57.64；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

　　

　　1Callback59.2Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target60.6-60.8；

　　

　　2Rebound60.9Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target59.4-59.2；

　　

　　3、盘间行情实时变化，具体操作策略以翼盟胜鼎指导实盘为准；

　　顺势而为，取财有道！”记住：请永远不要和趋作对。
　　
合理的把控仓位，利用支撑和阻力位下单，让每一单有理可依，有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意进场，请对自己的资金负责。文章的结尾翼盟胜鼎想说，如果你对行情真的无法把握，可以前来找到我，多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失，永远记住一句话，专业的人做专业的事，一切实战只为盈利，合作只为双赢。投资市场吃水不忘挖井人，要想知道井有多深，不下水怎么能知道深浅呢？站着不动你永远都是观众！
　　
　　 Yimeng Shengding personally believes that investment itself is a game, not only a science, but also an art. Most people may not understand investment and think it is just a simple way to make money. However, the true significance of investment lies in the ability of investors to learn to use and control money, that is, the ability to make money. As a financial investment, it is a very special investment, having been engaged in the financial industry for many years, Study international situations and hot topics. The financial field is vast and profound, with daily market fluctuations. All I can do is use my years of research experience to help everyone. Friends who often make mistakes in direction and have poor control over entry and exit points, and incur losses during operations, can communicate with the author.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                   
   　———— Message from Yimeng Shengding
　  
The way to long-term success in investment, with a stable mindset45%+risk awareness 20%+Exquisite technology35%=Long term profitability! To pursue a long-term investment path and achieve certain results, these factors are essential. However, you may be at a loss in the early stages. Choosing the right guidance and helping you establish a comprehensive investment strategy is the best way for you to achieve long-term success. My guiding principle is to teach people how to fish rather than teach them how to fish. I will help find my friends and establish a set of my own operational ideas, sincerely imparting skills to you and cultivating your sense of skill! To achieve investment success in a lifetime, one does not need exceptional intelligence, extraordinary business foresight, or insider information. What is needed is a comprehensive knowledge framework that can help oneself make decisions, and the ability to eliminate emotional interference.
　　
Thousands of miles of horses are common, but Bo Le is not. The three most enjoyable things in life are: meeting opponents in chess, meeting close friends in wine, and meeting talented individuals in general! I am willing to be your guide on the investment path, Bole, and even more willing to be your close friend! Masterpiece of strength building, success is not accidental! At present, popular spot investments in precious metals such as gold and crude oil are available for those who are interested but have no way to start, or those who are currently investing with a large order and overall returns are not ideal. Please consult me. Buddha Ferry is a destined person, I have a heart! Yimeng Shengding looks forward to becoming friends with you
　　
Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.
　　                                                                                                                                      
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Yimeng Shengding Analysis Team

Analysis writer: Yimeng Shengding  Wei-Core（ ymsd06）  

Author's message:
A restless heart leads to chaos, and chaos leads to danger. Patience is an essential element for success. May you know me starting with words and matching my personality,Trapped in technology, enduring kindness, and finally having a good character