Jue Ying Lun Jin:12.12黄金双十二会打折（跌）吗？原油最新走势及操作建议

The financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to making profits in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.
　　
　　crude oil市场析：OPEC月报表示OPEC产量减少的原因是沙特产量减少，OPEC需要全面实施减产以稳定油市，并称若OPECmaintain11月产量增长率，那么2020年原油供应将短缺310000 barrels/日，此前报告预计为供应盈余710000 barrels/Day.OPEC月报凸显沙特在OPEC+减产行动中的重要性，而此前OPEC+已达成于2020年一季度深化减产5010000 barrels/日共识，但OPEC+并未进一步延长减产协议，令市场臆测沙特需观察OPEC+其他成员国减产执行率的实施情况以作决定。值得留意的是，沙特阿美这个号称有史以来最大IPO其目标为2万亿，目前来看仍有一段距离，而据消息显示沙特阿美将寻求海外上市，沙特阿美高管与金融专业人士举行了会议，讨论如何吸引外国投资者参与国际股票发行，在此情况下，市场普遍预期沙特将致力于推动油价进一步上涨。
　　
　　绝影论金个人观点：美联储维持利率不变，但点阵图和鲍维尔讲话基本打消了市场的加息预期，美元大幅走弱，给金价提供上涨动能；但对国际贸易局势还存在一些乐观预期，打压避险情绪，金价仍处于震荡区间；市场还将关注英国大选的结果。国际油价企稳，因OPEC预计明年将出现供应缺口，此前美国EIA原油库存意外增加导致市场情绪悲观。由于需求触及三年低位，美国原油和成品油库存增加，其中汽油供应量激增至1月以来的最高水平，油价一度跌至近一周来的最低水平。
　　
　　————goldquotations analysis
　　
　　国际金价小幅回调，投资人等待确定美国本周末是否会对中国商品实施新一轮关税。如果局势进展朝向正面，那么对黄金是利空。金价在上个交易日涨幅最大达到1%，美联储维持联邦基金利率区间不变，并暗示不会很快调整利率。投资者还在关注即将出炉的英国大选结果。此次大选为英国顺利脱欧铺平道路。此外，欧洲央行将在日内稍晚公布自新行长拉加德上任以来的第一份利率决议。现货黄金在1453dollar-1489美元区间内维持震荡格局。它们分别是自1266The upward trend of the US dollar opening3Wavelike100%目标位，以及自1160The upward trend of the US dollar opening(C)Wavelike100%Target bit.
　　
　　目前黄金价格挣扎突破1480美元阻力区域，因此，价格回调走低至1470下方，不过在1455美元上方仍维持良好买盘。4小时图显示，黄金价格目前在1450as well as1455美元支撑上方交投良好。上行方面，初步阻力位于1478美元。如果金价继续上涨，可能会重测1480阻力区域。中期阻力位于200期均线以及1484-1458The decline of the US dollar74.6%斐波那契回撤位水平附近。如果金价成功突破至1480as well as1485美元上方，那么黄金可能会继续涨向1500as well as1510阻力位。下行方面，金价可能会跌破1,455USD and1,450美元的支撑位。在上述看跌情形中，金价甚至可能跌向1420美元的水平。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Suggestions1480Short nearby, stop loss1485, Objective1474-1466；
　　
　　2Suggestions1465Long nearby, stop loss1460, Objective1472-1478；
　　
　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情瞬息万变，具体进场点位以绝影论金微信(MOT686)The actual offer shall prevail;
　　
————Analysis of crude oil market
　　
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)Wednesday(12month11day)公布月报显示，由于沙特等国努力推动减产，只要保持11月产量水平，明年全球原油供应将会出现310000 barrels/日的短缺。同时月报指出，之前对2020年可能出现供应过剩的预期或将改变，因美国页岩油产量增速开始放缓，这将放大OPEC和俄罗斯扩大减产带来的利好影响。第17sessionOPECAnd nonOPEC产油国部长级监督委员会(JMMC)会议落下帷幕，双方已经就扩大减产达成一致，在2020年第一季度双方将合理额外减产5010000 barrels/日，从而令减产规模扩大至17010000 barrels/Day.
　　
　　原油从技术面来看，日线图MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉，均线接近多头排列，后市仍偏向多头，继续留意60整数关口附近阻力，若顶破该阻力，则有望在中线进一步向下63.38附近；原油短线4小时布林线轨道高位收口后水平运行，留意布林线轨道58.24-59.49Regional breakthroughs; at presentMACD顶背离后死叉运行，KDJ死叉，短线可能会试探布林线下轨58.17附近支撑，绝影认为若下破该支撑，则增加后市看空信号；进一步支撑在57.70Nearby, then57.22附近支撑，较强的支撑在56.60附近。由于目前油价还受阻布林线中轨上方，若强势顶破布林线上轨59.49附近阻力，则有望打开新的上涨空间。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上绝影论金个人建议反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注59.5-59.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below58.1-57.8一线支撑。文中操作建议仅供参考，具体建议实盘现价给出，操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导微信：3051562977Obtain guidance quotas;
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
　　1Suggestions59.5Short selling, stop loss60.0, Objective58.9-58.6；
　　
　　2Suggestions58.1Long, stop loss57.6, Objective58.9-59.2；
　　
　　3、行情瞬息万变、点位仅供参考，中长线布局详情请关注绝影论金官||Wei:MOT686；
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How to remedy losses in gold investment!
　　
　　1Moderate trading
　　
More and more is better than less and more, blindly holding the attitude of "investing more and earning more", cannot closely follow the market when losses occur, and control the quality of doing orders. It's better to keep a detailed trading diary, identify the reasons for failure and success, and make timely adjustments to stop losses. If the losses continue, you need to take a break, build a virtual market in your mind, organize your thoughts, and then verify your point of view. If your investment method really doesn't work, try another one. Read books written by successful individuals and see how they succeed. But pay attention to those so-called investment secrets and successful strategies.
　　
　　2Familiar with the market
　　
Knowing oneself and the enemy is the key to winning a hundred battles. Gold investors cannot simply pursue technical analysis. The level of understanding of the fundamentals of gold investment can often affect the probability of success in gold investment. At the same time, it can also accurately grasp and compensate for gold losses. Make a detailed transaction diary. If you can keep a trading diary, it will prompt you to trace the source of the investment market, identify clues to failure and success, and make timely adjustments.
　　
　　3Acting according to plan
　　
Even if there are occasional situations where the plan cannot keep up with changes, it is necessary for gold investors to develop and follow a reasonable investment plan. Blindly entering the gold investment market will only be a lost lamb, letting the market lead by the nose. For medium and long-term investors, there is no need to do it every market. As long as the overall situation is accurately judged and the position at hand conforms to one's own judgment, one can cast a long line to catch big fish.
　　
　　4Believe in oneself
　　
　　如果自己都怀疑自己的投资理念，又何来对黄金投资市场的运筹帷幄。一种投资方法没有效果，那就换另外一种，总有适合自己的投资方式。切记识别鱼龙混杂的投资技巧；咨询绝影论金及时了解市场资讯，把握大趋势行情助你稳健获利！
　　
　　5Leaving decisively when making mistakes
　　
When it is clear that making mistakes leads to losses, and the losses continue to expand beyond expectations, perhaps no remedial measures will be taken. The best remedy is to leave as soon as possible. Unfortunately, only a small number of people can achieve this method.
　　
　　本文由绝影论金（官微：mot686---公众号：绝影论金）分析师独家原创，本人一直致力于黄金、原油市场分析，由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，转载请注明出处。