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Zhou Hongjin:12.11黄金行情解析操作建议,原油EIA走势预判交易策略

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  美联储将于北京时间周四(12month12In the early morning of the day3:00公布年内最后一次利率决议,目前看调整利率的可能性看起来几乎为零,毕竟美联储10月刚刚宣布今年第三次降息,并暗示会在一段时期内按兵不动,以观察经济。美联储主席鲍威尔在之后的记者会上可能会谈到一些更为有趣的话题。他可能会谈论短期银行间拆借市场的紧张情况,这曾在9月份导致回购利率一度飙升至10%。此后美联储一直通过几乎每天购买证券使回购市场恢复稳定。
Beijing Time12month11In the early morning of the day, the American Petroleum Institute(API)According to published data, as of12month6Day and WeekAPIcrude oilInventory increase141Ten thousand barrels, expected decrease305Ten thousand barrels; Increase in gasoline inventory490Ten thousand barrels; Refined oil inventory increase320Ten thousand barrels; After the data was released, the US oil company quickly declined in the short term and closed the report59.09dollar/Barrel, increase0.17%。
  

  goldTrend analysis:
  
Gold held on yesterday1458低点之上走反弹。由于美元转阴回落,提振黄金反弹最高至1469.不过收盘不算高,尾盘时段回落重新测试1462.And closing at1463附近。日图收盘小阳星K线,整体空间不大,整理拉锯当中。
  
  日线绕半年线附近震荡,欲破不破的阶段。从下行趋势而言。日图仍处于下行通道之内运行,上方下行趋势线的压力下移至1483一带。而本周前两个交易日虽然伴随反弹,但收盘不算强势,仍在中性位置震荡,周四凌晨03:00U.S.A12月美联储利率决议。或许要借助消息面来刺激打破周初整理区间,下方主要看能否跌破1458且收盘在之下。虽然技术结构偏空,但周初的延续性不足,进入短周期收敛拉锯当中。周线则处于10Perimeter and30周线夹角区间内震荡等待打破。
  
Short line4小时低位横向整理。守住此前低点上方运行,看弱不走弱。反复拉锯中的震荡,多空延续待定。而从局部来看,实体K线较小,暂时看不出多空延续,等待突破后打开空间。日线布林道开始收口。上轨压力1478  下轨支撑1451.小时图由于下方不破低,短线依旧是震荡,结合本周前两个交易日的走法,亚欧盘先行整理反弹,美盘探高后承压回落,已经拉锯两个交易日。隔夜凌晨看消息面能否打破这种整理僵局,目前小周期在未跌破1458低点,预计还是会维持在此位之上震荡,空间边走边看。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  上方关注阻力:1466.43;1471.49;1479.95;
  
Pay attention to support below:1458.80;1453.09;1450.13;
  
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Rebound1471Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1458-1456;
  
  2Callback1453Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1464-1466;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Analysis of crude oil trend:
  
  原油昨日继续高位拉锯震荡,上探终究未突破59.80.Up to59.50.Lowest to58.50.短线走法则是下探回升摸高,但是收盘仍在中性位置。日图小阳带有上影线。日图仍处于多头蓄势整理当中。但由于突破量能不足,月线布林道中轨压制较强,使得短线暂时不好突破,处于震荡当中。
  
Short line4小时反复探高不破高,短线使得布林道开始收口进入震荡。由于59.80高点是月线中轨,暂时不突破的话,也看不到上行空间,短线或许会进入59.50-58.0局部震荡。小时图探高后再承压。亚欧盘整体围绕区间之内运行,短线操作还是先看震荡,在未突破两个临界点59.80  Below57.60之前,暂时还是震荡偏多思路对待。综合来看,失守57.60前,后市偏向震荡上涨,所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  上方关注阻力:59.25;60.00;60.94;
  
Pay attention to support below:58.23;57.60;57.20;
  
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback58.2Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target59.0-59.2;
  
  2Rebound59.2Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target58.4-58.2;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
  鸿金寄语-----
  
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Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
  Wen/周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)
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