Last Friday(12month6Day)OPEC+成员国达成深化减产5010000 barrels/日共识,但深化减产成效却遭受市场质疑,伊拉克等OPEC+成员国能否实现100%减产执行率成为关键,油价冲高回落受阻59.0美元;本周风险事件众多,油价于58.0美元存在强劲支持,鉴于OPEC+深化减产未能刺激油价进一步上涨,暗示市场对2020年原油需求放缓感到悲观,因而贸易局势进展料将成为近期影响油价的关键因素
黄金技术面来看日线结构上,目前行情承压在短周期均线下方,昨日小阳星线属于对上周五中阴线的消化走势,与预期高度吻合。按照此前预期,本周上半周行情提前进入了谨慎状态,持续的横盘可能会一直延续到美联储利率决定前,最终有待该事件来引导方向。技术结构上,只要均线布林带1465-67不被突破,黄金近两日还是会以震荡为主,4小时来看当前布林带处于开口期,MA5Daily line andMA10线形金叉后向下,KDJRandom indicators with three lines up,RSI一直处于底部运行,但是未到超卖区,有筑底反弹迹象,MACD指标底背离,快慢线向下延伸,张晨雷综合来看,今日操作思路上张晨雷个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1468-1470Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1453-1455一线支撑。行情实时变化,添加张晨雷WeiXinNumber(zc4867)Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
原油技术面来看日线收得一阴星线,收于5日线上方,短线整体保持震荡上涨格局。按照日线结构状态,上方60依然是很明显的存在,给行情带来有效的作用,而短周期均线交叉向上,又给短线行情提供一定的回落动能,大概率日线还是会选择震荡下行。4小时上看,原油自上周五刷59新高后,转为高位震荡运行,当前布林带即将开口,MA5Daily line andMA10Helix shaped dead fork,KDJRandom indicators with three lines up,MACD指标绿色动能柱持续增加,综合来看,今日短线操作思路上张晨雷个人建议以高空为主,低多为辅,上方关注59.-59.5One line of resistance, pay attention below58.0-58.2一线支撑。更多实时操作建议张晨雷(zc4867)实盘中会给出实时提示,对行情把握不稳或被套的朋友可以咨询张晨雷进行探讨。
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