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美墨加协议取得进展,加元小幅走强(USD/CAD)
Technical aspect:美元兑加元上一交易日震幅达43Points, closing down0.1%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平,汇价持续承压于中轨下方;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period dead fork resonance,MA5趋于走高,汇价运行于MA5上方;日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the Yin column has decreased compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to49-50一线运行,运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力关注布林中轨位置,下方支撑关注1.3190。
Fundamentals:美国总统特朗普:美国、墨西哥和加拿大之间正在就贸易协议进行的谈判有很多好消息,过去24小时在工会及其他方面取得了很大进步。另据消息人士表示,经过数月的商议,众议院民主党人和特朗普政府就取代《北美自由贸易协定》接近达成了一项意向性协议,众议院可能在12month18日前就批准美墨加协议进行投票。加拿大丰业银行:加拿大财长称将在圣诞节前宣布最新的财政情况。最新的财政计划预计包括对中产家庭的长期减税政策,这也是新政府的首要政策重点。预计这将给加拿大零售消费提供支撑,但整体对经济的影响不大。
市场静待美众院弹劾条款,机构看好长期汇价(EUR/USD)
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar25Individual points, closing up0.06%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于走平,汇价持续于中轨上方运行;日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5稍趋走平,汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to52-53Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1.1100,下方支撑关注布林中轨位置。
Fundamentals:Local time in the United States9日上午,美国众议院司法委员会就弹劾美国总统特朗普举行听证会,听取来自民主党和共和党律师提交的证据及证词。此次听证会将对众议院司法委员会本周晚些时候考量针对特朗普的具体弹劾条款产生重要影响。高盛最新观点认为:如果EUR/USD价格出现较大变动,从估值和仓位角度分析,预计汇价更可能走高。2020 年全球周期性的改善,将更有益于欧洲企业和欧元区经济活动。考虑到负收益率和低于均值水平的盈利增长,对EUR多头而言,择时非常重要。建议投资者在短期或者中期继续以EUR作为融资货币,并密切关注欧洲经济反弹的迹象。
恐慌指数隔夜暴涨,金价现倒Vreversal(XAU/USD)
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached63个点,最高探及1465一线随后呈现倒V型回落,收涨0.08%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于下行,金价持续承压于中轨下方;日线MA5,10构死叉,MA5趋于下行,金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to44-45Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1481Below support attention1445。
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨16.45%, closing on15.86; Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌0.24%, closing on16.85。高盛:对2020年黄金价格依然保持乐观,维持对其3Months,6个月,以及1年价格预期为1600dollar/盎司;债券和黄金同为避险资产,一旦市场恐惧加剧,它们的价值都会上升;不同于债券的是,黄金的收益率不会直接受到利率影响;随着负利率的现象越来越多,在下一次衰退中黄金的收益率将会跑赢债券收益率。
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