Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.
You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now
x
dogoldMost investors are influenced by the ups and downs of the market, and they stick to their original intention. Although what they say may seem simple, there are very few things they can do. This is why most people in the market are losing money. There is a misconception among short-term investors that short selling is afraid of rising, long selling is afraid of falling. Everyone should know that no one can long at the lowest position or short at the highest position every time, and there will be certain fluctuations in the short term, However, most people keep an eye on the market. When the market is moving in the opposite direction to the entry direction and has not reached the stop loss level, they are constantly worried that it will only change their original intention. Frequent exits and entries will only increase the stop loss. Therefore, principle is important. According to the initial strategy, if the market breaks through or falls below the resistance and support level, they should firmly hold it. Once the market breaks through or falls below the resistance and support level, they should adjust their strategy in a timely manner in the short term and follow up with the trend, If there are any problems with your own operation, please follow the operation strategy of Yimeng Shengding and strictly follow it to maintain long-term and stable profits!!
1、美联储会议
翼盟胜鼎预计,美联储下周将维持利率不变,并重申对数据的依赖。此外,在股市屡创新高、收益率曲线再度变陡以及近期数据显示不存在衰退风险的情况下,美联储没有理由表现得过于鸽派。其结果是,在美联储决议公布之前黄金不太可能会有所缓解。事实上,如果没有贸易方面的负面消息,而且中国的贸易和通胀数据显示,世界第二大经济体正开始积聚动力,那么金价可能会跌破11月创下的低点1445美元;从上月制造业PMI的反弹来看,情况已经停止恶化。翼盟胜鼎预计,在即将公布的数据中,会有更多证据支持我们的观点,即本季度GDP增长将获得一些动力。如果美联储听起来比较鸽派,重新点燃2020年进一步放宽货币政策的押注,那么下周下半周黄金可能会有不错的表现。不过,翼盟胜鼎并不认为美联储会在2021年之前降息。美联储的利率决定将于下周三公布。与此同时,中国将于周日公布11月份的贸易数据,下周三和周四分别公布11月份的消费者价格指数(CPI)And Producer Price Index(PPI)。
2、OPECDeepen production reduction
Section17sessionOPECAnd nonOPEC产油国部长级监督委员会(JMMC)会议落下帷幕,双方已经就扩大减产达成一致,在2020年第一季度双方将合理额外减产5010000 barrels/日,从而令减产规模扩大至17010000 barrels/Day.17010000 barrels/日相当于全球crude oil总需求的1.7%,同时更值得注意的是,沙特能源大臣阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹随后表示,额外减产中沙特将承担16.710000 barrels/日,同时我们还将继续自愿减产4010000 barrels/日,指出只要减产执行率得到改善,OPEC+的有效减产规模将高达21010000 barrels/日。翼盟胜鼎认为,中美在达成第一阶段协议并兑现等比例移除关税上更近一步,使得避险情绪回落。在昨日的商务部例行新闻发布会上,发言人高峰表示,中方认为,如果中美双方达成第一阶段协议,应该相应降低关税。双方经贸团队一直保持密切沟通,目前没有更多细节可以透露。
Gold trend analysis:
刚刚过去的一周,黄金小幅收跌,预计在下周美联储宣布利率决定之前,金价可能仍将承压。在过去的半个星期里,黄金价格有所上涨,周三一度达到1480dollar/盎司以上的高点。然而,金价仍难以收于50日均线之上,周五跌至1460dollar/盎司关口之下,这可能是对靓丽的美国非农就业数据和美元上涨的回应。美元是黄金最大的克敌。外界普遍预计,美联储下周将维持利率不变,并重申对数据的依赖。此外,在股市屡创新高、收益率曲线再度变陡以及近期数据显示不存在衰退风险的情况下,美联储没有理由表现得过于鸽派。现货黄金本周开于1466.18dollar/盎司,最高上测1484.00dollar/Ounces, lowest dip1453.60dollar/Ounces, final closing1459.70dollar/盎司,最终下跌6.48USD, decline0.44%。
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD金叉,但红能开始萎缩,KDJ有重新结成死叉的趋势,金价下破布林线中轨1470.25附近支撑,后市偏向震荡下行,初步支撑在本周低点1453.78附近;近期低点支撑在1445.70附近;该位置也是1266-1557Upward trend38.2%回撤位,翼盟胜鼎认为若跌破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。上方初步阻力在10Daily moving average1464.12Nearby,5Daily moving average resistance1470.15附近该位置也是布林线中轨所在,若收复该位置,则削弱短线看空信号,进一步阻力在30Daily moving average1473.81附近,本周高点阻力在1484.09附近。综合来看,周一操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
Focus on resistance above:1464.12;1470.25;1473.81;
Pay attention to support below:1453.78;1450.00;1445.70;
盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以翼盟胜鼎指导实盘为准;
Analysis of crude oil trend:
刚刚过去的一周,两大国际原油futures价格本周双双大幅收高近6%,并录近三个月新高,因OPEC+agree2020年初将减产幅度扩大75%,意味着明年供应可能收紧。但OPEC+加大减产力度仅限于2020年一季度,不及一些OPEC产油国原本希望的持续六个月或一年时间。
Technically speaking,4小时布林线上轨仍对油价有所压制,留意58.10附近支撑,翼盟胜鼎认为若失守该位置,则油价可能会进一步试探布林线中轨57.46附近支撑。不过,MACDGolden fork operation,KDJ也有结成金叉的趋势,目前油价回调力度还比较小,而且58.10附近形成了初步支撑,若油价顶破日内高点59.84附近阻力,则有望沿布林线上轨向上运行。综合来看,周一思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
Focus on resistance above:59.49;60.00;60.94;
Pay attention to support below:58.10;57.46;57.12;
盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以翼盟胜鼎指导实盘为准;
做单建议个人心得:
1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
Message
好茶不怕细品,活鱼会逆流而上,死鱼才随波逐流。能够立足于市场,需要的不仅是好眼力好心态高实力,更需要耐心信心责任心。路遥知马力,日久见人心,能将一件事做好的人不计其数,但能将一件事一直做好甚至做得更好的人则屈指可数!那么能够成为一个行业的佼佼者,山高路远,除却身体力行,重要的是无可撼动的决心。而坚持了整个青春岁月。实力是大家看得见的,无需靠一波波盈利截图来吸引大家的眼球。翼盟胜鼎坚信:踏实做人,诚实做事。有信于人,人信于我。走得快不一定走得远,当你无法从一楼蹦到三楼时,就不要忘记走楼梯,无论是对一份事业,还是对一项投资,都是如此。如果你是散户不妨与翼盟胜鼎我交流一番,与我相识不会对你造成任何损失,相反会对你起到较大的帮助。如果你认为自己的老师很专业,不要盲目的去追求做单,你不妨多向他多请教技术和操盘技巧,行情判断,我相信你的老师一定很乐于教导你,再者可以与我沟通,我也会很乐意帮助你。如果是在做投资的路上亏损,或者近期存在单子套着的情况的朋友,在我力所能及的情况下,我也可以给你你所需要的帮助。
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Yimeng Shengding Analysis Team
Analysis writer: Yimeng Shengding Wei-Core( ymsd06)
Author's message:
A restless heart leads to chaos, and chaos leads to danger. Patience is an essential element for success. May you know me starting with words and matching my personality,Trapped in technology, enduring kindness, and finally having a good character |
"Small gifts, come to Huiyi to support me"
No one has offered a reward yet. Give me some support
|