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Futures marketgoldStrategy: External drivefutures|11month25japan-us crude oilFutures intraday strategy analysis Today's important financial data and events
17:00 Germany11monthIFOBusiness Prosperity Index
19:00 britain11monthCBIRetail sales difference
21:30 Canada9Monthly wholesale sales rate
23:30 U.S.A11Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for the Month
US crude oil news:Last Friday(11month22day)油价下跌,WTI 1Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.81USD, decline1.38%Report57.77dollar/Barrel; Brent1Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.58USD, decline0.91%Collect per barrel63.39美元。因特朗普表态给贸易前景投下阴影,同时美元走强,削弱了以美元计价大宗商品的吸引力。芝加哥R.J. O’Brien & Associates LLC高级市场策略师Josh Graves表示,重要的是, 特朗普政府就贸易协议发表的任何评论,以及在这方面是否有任何进展,现在有很多的怀疑。
原油多空势力进入了激烈的拉锯战,根据CFTC持仓数据,截至11month19Day and week,WTI原油投机性净多头合约数量小幅增加5378手,其中多头仓位增加2338手,空头仓位减少3040手。空头认为,近期美国石油产量维持在纪录高位,这将给油价带来下行风险;而多头却坚信,原油库存将在年底前降至近几年的低位,尽管本周EIA库存仍录得小幅增长,但是同比却明显降低。另外,冬季为原油需求较旺盛的季节,此前低迷的状况或将有所改善。炼油厂在每年这个时候都会结束秋季维护,因此炼油厂的产能运营率也会上升。 Technical aspects of US crude oil:美原油日线上看,布林带三轨朝上缓和运行,MA5AndMA10均线拐头向上,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5\MA10Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方两线粘合向右运行红色动能弱势放量,KDJ三线交金叉向上发散,日图行情整体表现偏强形态;4小时图上,布林带三轨开口微幅朝上运行,MA5The moving average turns downward with a golden cross,K线于布林中上轨间交MA5MA10Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴附近呈金叉缓和向右走平指标表现中性,KDJ三线呈死叉向上发散运行,油价短线有回落风险。
综合来看,日内操作上建议高空为主。上方初步阻力在58.5,近一步阻力在59.0; Preliminary support below57.5Further support on57.0。 US crude oil(01Contract trading strategy
1Above58.9-59.0附近短线做空,止损0.4, Objective57.5/57.0;
2Below57.0短线做多,止损0.3, Objective58.5Nearby; Reading instructions: Investment carries risks, and trading requires caution. This analysis is provided by the Futures Gold Strategy and is for reference only. It is not intended as the final basis for placing orders.