Bo Hu Lun Jin:11.21黄金反应平淡维持区间走势，黄金后市操作建议

The path of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When you miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. Doubt and cowardice are both obstacles to success. Success comes from trying, and even a journey of a thousand miles must be taken first. There is no success without the risk of failure. The strong will make way for you, while the weak will find it difficult to move forward. To fly higher, one must first dive lower. Those who observe the overall situation will not care about the gains and losses of a city or a place. To cultivate oneself with calmness, to cultivate virtue with frugality. Soldiers facing the city are calm and calm, those in danger are able to turn misfortune into good fortune, those who stumble into a desperate situation but survive in a desperate situation, not only need to have the experience of rushing through the sand, but also the magnanimity that must be possessed by those who achieve great things. A person whose immediate interests can blind their eyes is destined to miss even greater opportunities.
　　
Message face:
　　
InternationalgoldWednesday（11month20Japan) maintains a volatile trend, opening price1473.32dollar/Ounces, highest price1478.92dollar/Ounces, lowest price1466.01dollar/Ounces, closing price1469.45dollar/ounce.
　　
Message face:
　　
　　周四凌晨公布的美联储货币政策会议纪要显示，在10月后利率得到很好调适，否决负利率，多数委员认为目前利率是合适的；很多委员认为全球增长放缓的下行风险升高，美国金融脆弱性程度为中等；一些委员担心通胀预期进一步下滑，因能源价格问题下调今明两年PCE预期；经济前景无重大变化，部分预期微调，今明两年经济增速将略高于长期潜力。
　　
　　加拿大蒙特利尔银行分析称，预计美联储下一次将会降息，只是时间早晚问题。FOMC在应对政策制定者们难以控制的通胀加速上保持着长期良好的纪录，但他们在对抗通缩上的名声却不太稳定。这使得美联储加息的门槛会相对较高。而在各种设想的情况中，不难预测美联储会采取进一步降息行动。而由于美联储除了另一项“真正的”QE外，还有其他政策宽松空间，所以他们不会跟随欧洲央行实施负利率。此外，国际贸易纠纷的影响会蔓延到整个经济，导致“温和的技术性下行”，但不会有金融危机。
　　
　　美联储理事布雷纳德表示，贸易带来的不确定性是最主要的主题。在过去几年中，贸易不确定性使经济承压。美国2019年下半年经济增长温和，但消费具有韧性。消费者依旧认为就业市场处于良好状态。看到了些许放缓的情况，但是在预期之内。预计明年经济增长将略高于趋势。美国消费者具有极大的适应力，面对消费者的企业非常乐观。预计通胀将上升，希望能够略微超过2%的水平。与那些实施负利率的国家相比，美国的经济要强很多。美联储官员对就业市场相当满意，消费者对就业前景也很乐观。需要花费一定时间才能感受到降息带来的影响。
　　
Eurozone:
　　
　　欧洲央行副行长金多斯表示，不良贷款造成的影响正在增加。欧洲央行并未接近反转利率。应当进一步加强使用宏观审慎政策。货币政策的副作用越来越明显。利率分级制度是对负利率副作用可做的部分弥补。
　　
　　瑞典央行行长英维思表示，稳定风险较5月报告有所提高。过低的利率水平可能导致风险偏好增加。
　　
　　欧洲央行执委马克鲁夫表示，2019年下半年艰难疲软的数据显示经济增速依旧保持温和。宏观经济前景好坏不一。存在全球制造业疲软向服务业蔓延的风险。预计欧元区长期疲软。诸如低生产率增速，人口老龄化等结构性风险是造成疲软动能的一部分。
　　
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation:12月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is97.8%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is0%Interest rate hike25Bps to1.75%-2.00%The probability of the interval is2.2%; next year1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is80.9%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is17.3%Interest rate hike25Bps to1.75%-2.00%The probability of the interval is1.8%。
　　
　　日内重点关注
　　
　　20:30 Announced by the European Central Bank10Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
　　
　　21:30 From the United States to11month16Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
　　
　　21:30 U.S.A11Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index
　　
　　21:40 加拿大央行行长波洛兹发表讲话
　　
　　23:00 U.S.A10Annualized total monthly housing sales
　　
　　23:00 U.S.A10Monthly consultation chamber leading indicator monthly rate
　　
Technical aspect:
　　
　　国际黄金周三维持区间震荡，周三亚盘交易时间进价维持短线高点区间1472-1475区间窄幅维持，进入下午盘金价扩大震荡区间最高触及1478一线后震荡走低。欧美盘交易时间金价维持偏震荡下行延续，周四凌晨金价最低触及1466一线后短线扩大反弹再度回踩1475一线后震荡收盘于1472一线。日线录得影线较长小幅K线，短期金价仍维稳于日线移动平均线技术指标支撑压力位价格区间范围，整体日线移动平均线呈向下发散排列，短期金价上行仍面临较强技术指标压力位影响，当前震荡趋势维持较难改变。四小时线显示当前金价处于短周期技术指标支撑位价格上方，周三金价连续扩大日内跌幅显示出短期较强技术指标支撑位价格影响，四小时线呈粘合迹象，日内金价或延续偏震荡趋势维持。
　　
Daily operating range:
　　
Multiple orders:
　　
Radical1470Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1473upper
　　
Robust1461Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1464upper
　　
Empty order:
　　
Radical1480Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1476Below
　　
Robust1489Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1485Below
　　
　　行情瞬息万变具体操作以博虎论金（V-亻丶言：KD1394）实时指导为准，对行情把握不够好、对进场点位把握不够准确、今日利润，你错过了吗？
　　
Bo Hu's Message on Gold:
　　
There is a financial storm outside, and stock disasters are rampant inside; Although the country is healthy, the financial market is not as mature as others, and every move is like a child. Therefore, we only sigh that the people are interested, while the market is ruthless. Bohu Lunjin has entered the market7In his youth, he once covered the sky with one hand and became arrogant for several days, losing everything. He regretted deeply, but his fighting spirit remained steadfast; Reigniting the flames of war, standing firmly on one's feet, although not fully enlightened, one can still glimpse a corner of the road. Not as sincere as Buffy Ma Yun Jia Cheng, self-awareness is good, passing on a teacher and establishing a career for a long time, not extravagant enough to cause big waves again. And I have always been good at helping others, but I cannot ignore the difficulties of others; So cast a net in the market, hoping that those who cast their nets can hear my aspirations.
　　
Bohu Lunjin Warm Reminder:
　　
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
　　
Bohu Lunjin Analysis Team Consultation and Guidance Wei//Your words:KD1394(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
　　
Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Author's message: May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.
　　
Author of this article: Bohu Lunjin