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Zhou Hongjin:11.20晚间黄金行情解析操作建议,原油EIA走势预判交易策略

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  扑朔迷离的行情总是充满着惊喜和变故,而很多人总在扑朔迷离的行情中迷失方向,在这个涨涨跌跌的市场,坚定自己的思路是一件很难的事情,操作交易,定当控制好风险,坚定自己的思路,错了及时止损,对了坚持持有到目标附近,不要人云亦云,更不要因为短期的涨跌,畏惧出错,从而导致思路混乱,操作变形,调整自己应对短期波动的心态,这是众多投资者该做之事。
  11month20Daily, spotgold上涨至近两周新高1477.63dollar/盎司,因贸易紧张关系加剧,导致亚洲股市下跌,并刺激黄金买需。贸易方面传出一系列互相矛盾的信息,这与近期的全球股市强劲上涨形成鲜明对比。不过黄金上涨仍相对有限,因为在美联储公布会议纪要之前,投资人并未充分准备好做出坚定的押注。周二国际油价维持震荡下行,触及两周低位,因有消息称俄罗斯不愿进一步减产。需求疲软,供应过剩是当前油价下行的根本原因,但即便如此,全球石油供应还有可能进一步走高。
  

  Gold trend analysis:
  
  美元指数有所企稳,金价持续承压于1476附近阻力,在顶破该位置前,需要提防空头卷土重来;本交易日还将出炉美联储会议纪要,偏向鹰派的可能性略高一点,也对金价不利;而且近几周黄金ETF持仓持续下降,暗示金价缺乏进一步上涨动能。不过,由于避险情绪有所回升,若金价意外顶破1476附近阻力,则增加短线看涨信号。
  
From a daily perspective, it fluctuates;KDJGolden fork,MACD有金叉趋势,短线多头略占上风,不过,均线交织,上方仍有100Daily moving average and20日均线的压制,在顶破100Daily moving average1481.26前,仍需提防重回跌势的风险;鸿∣金认为若顶破100Daily moving average1481.26附近阻力,则增加短线看涨信号;进一步分别在1490Gateway and11month6Daily high point1494.26Nearby. Due to1476位置在近一周时间内对金价形成压制,若金价回落至10Daily moving average1466.07下方,则增加短线看空信号;然后是1460关口支撑,本周低点支撑在1456.44Near.
  
  4小时来看,震荡上涨;MACDSlight golden cross,KDJ轻微金叉且发出超买信号,布林线上轨持续压制金价,短线金价面临震荡下跌的风险,初步支撑在布林线中轨1468.36Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports1460.32附近,若失守该支撑,则增加短线看空信号。关注3268735920若金价强势顶破隔夜高点1475.46附近阻力,则增加短线看涨信号,进一步阻力在前期跌势的50%Retreat position1481.06Nearby;61.8%Resistance to retreat position1489.38附近。综合来看,今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1475.46;1481.26;1489.38;
  
Pay attention to support below:1470.87;1466.07;1460.32;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Callback1466Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1476-1478;
  
  2Rebound1481Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1470-1468;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
  crude oilTrend analysis:
  
  国际贸易局势的担忧情绪有所回升,隔夜美国走弱,亚洲股市普遍下跌;而且有消息人士称俄罗斯不太可能在OPEC+会议上同意加大减产力度;API原油库存增幅大于市场预期,市场对油市供给过剩的担忧情绪升温;油价上一交易日跌破近期震荡区间,短线存在进一步下行风险。
  
  日线来看,震荡后初步下破;MACD结成死叉,KDJ死叉延续,油价跌破了过去两周的震荡区间,也跌破了上涨通道、100日均线和布林线中轨55.84附近的多重支撑,鸿∣金认为在收复该位置前,后市偏向延续跌势;初步支撑在10month31Daily low point53.71Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports53.12附近。布林线中轨55.84位置已经转化为初步阻力所在,20Daily moving average resistance56.36Nearby,10Daily moving average resistance56.78Nearby;200The daily moving average resistance is currently at57.47附近,关注3268735920若意外收复该位置,则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看,收复55.84前,后市偏向震荡下行或者低位震荡,所以今日晚间思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  上方关注阻力:55.84;56.36;56.78;
  
Pay attention to support below:54.53;53.71;53.12;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Rebound56.4Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.4-55.2;
  
  2Callback54.5Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target56.2-56.4;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
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  鸿金寄语-----
  
  许多交易者都有着同样的通病:1、拿不住单子,经常提前平仓;2、不能做到严格执行交易系统规则;3、不能做到严格执行资金管理策略;. 甚至有些交易者,一旦交易失败就会很生气,并且会立刻对市场做出“反击”。没有良好的交易心态导致亏损的单子数不胜数,那么到底该如何去建立一个弹性的交易心态呢?首先是风险控制:止损, 砍仓是有悖于人的自然倾向,但是必须给出强制性规定。其次是正确率,成功投资者并非由于成功预测价格变化, 而是控制赚钱交易的规模远远大于亏损规模!没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作;订阅关注-恭粽豪“周鸿金”(薇-corezh66646)获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、交易策略指导。
  
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
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