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Zhou Hongjin:11.18黄金止跌初显,原油高位徘徊;原油黄金行情走势解析交易策略

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  每次写分析,我都希望看到的朋友能有所收获,在这个市场上,平静的表现下其实暗波汹涌,很多投资朋友轻易的进入,往往遍体鳞伤,每天都有很多朋友找到我,寻求帮助,然而更多的只是看完分析后迅速的找到下一篇继续看。我希望我能帮助更多的人,就犹如我自己对这份工作的定位是服务一样,人与人之间是相互的,信任是合作的开始,如果你在投资道路上有所困惑和迷茫可以找我聊聊,说不定这将使你的投资之路更加平坦。
  11month18日亚洲时段,因国际经贸乐观情绪回升,全球股市大涨,同时英国保守党支持率大幅走高也对金价构成部分压力,这使得上周五gold再次跌至1460美元附近。不过尽管上周恐慌指数跌至近4个月低点,但是黄金未跌破1460美元关口,短时间出现了且企稳的信号。本周除周五制造业数据密集外,总体数据清淡,市场需关注三大央行货币政策纪要、国际经贸局势和英国大选的进展。
  国际油价小幅走高,徘徊近两个月高点。全球两大经济体接近达成部分经贸协议的乐观情绪推高市场,盖过了此前美国crude oil库存和石油产量都在创纪录水平的影响。但原油需求预期遭下调,仍限制油价上行空间,OPEC表示不会进一步削减产量以防止可能的供应过剩。
  

  Gold trend analysis:
  
United States10月工业产出月率差于预期,且多数非美货币上涨,令美元承压,给金价提供支撑;不过,国际经贸局势并无负面消息传出,美国股市仍再创历史记录高位,打压黄金的避险需求;多空双方都有所顾忌,市场将关注本周美联储的会议纪要。
  
  周线来看,震荡下跌;金价上周在布林线中轨附近获得了一些支撑,并小幅反弹,但MACDandKDJ死叉信号仍在,后市下行风险仍存,目前布林线中轨支撑在1456.23附近,鸿ㅣ金认为若下破该支撑,则增加后市看空信号。上周低点支撑在1445.70Nearby,6month28日当周高点支撑在1439.21Nearby,8month9The low point of the current week is supported by1436.80Nearby. upper5周均线阻力在1482.68Nearby,10周均线阻力在1491.11附近,若能收复该位置,则削弱后市下行风险。
  
  日线来看,震荡下跌后反弹;金价上周在1266-1557Upward trend38.2%回撤位附近获得支撑后展开反弹,5日均线出现拐头向上的迹象,KDJ初步金叉,短线存在进一步反弹机会,留意100Daily moving average1480.13附近阻力,若能收复该位置,则增加后市看涨信号;20The daily moving average resistance is currently at1484.29附近。不过,由于金价目前还受到10日均线压制,目前在1468.50附近,关注3268735920若回落至上周三低点1455.94下方,则削弱短线反弹信号。当然,还需下破38.2%Retreat position1446.15位置,才能打开进一步下行空间。此外,上周四高点1474.72附近阻力也值得关注,在顶破该位置前,后市仍存在下行风险;若顶破该阻力在,则料将进一步试探100Daily moving average1480附近阻力。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1472.68;1480.13;1484.29;
  
Pay attention to support below:1461.22;1455.94;1451.14;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Rebound1473Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1462-1460;
  
  2Callback1456Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
  Analysis of crude oil trend:
  
  国际经贸局势的乐观消息提振市场信心,美国股市再创历史记录高位,带动油价上涨,上周一度创一个半月新高,技术面短线看涨信号有所增加,短线偏向震荡上攻。
  
  周线来看,震荡;MACDGolden fork,KDJ金叉,短线偏向进一步试探布林线上轨59.78附近阻力,若顶破该阻力,则增加中线看涨信号。由于目前布林线收口,趋向水平运行,鸿ㅣ金认为若不能顶破布林线上轨59.78附近阻力,则需要提防重回跌势的风险;目前布林线中轨支撑在55.89附近,若下破该支撑,则增加后市看空信号。短线的话,5Weekly moving average57.20附近也存在一定的支撑,在失守该位置前,后市偏向震荡上攻。
  
  日线来看,震荡上涨;油价初步顶破200Daily moving average57.45Nearby resistance,MACDandKDJ轻微金叉,短线偏向震荡上涨,初步阻力在63.38-50.99Downtrend61.8%Retreat position58.64Nearby, then9month19Daily high point59.49Nearby resistance,60整数关口附近也存在一些阻力,关注3268735920若能顶破该阻力,则增加中线看涨信号。下方 200Daily moving average57.45It has been transformed into the initial support,20The daily moving average is supported by56.39附近,若意外回落至该位置下方,则削弱后市看涨信号;100The daily moving average support is currently at55.95附近,上涨通道下轨支撑目前在55.40附近。综合来看,失守57.20前,短线偏向震荡上涨;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:58.64;59.49;60.00;
  
Pay attention to support below:57.20;56.39;55.94;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Callback57.2Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target58.4-58.6;
  
  2Rebound58.6Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target57.5-57.3;
  
  3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
  
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
  
  关于解ㄒ:因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况,不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单,仓位不要过重,避免下次再ㄒ,不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ,不是每次都顺心如意,每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单,详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出,风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
  
  鸿金寄语-----
  
  屡屡亏损背后的问题是我们自己操作出现了错误,这才是关键,行情没有对错,同样的行情有人获利,有人亏损,不想做亏损的人就要总结弥补我们自身的不足,亏损谁都难受,可如果不改变,更难受的还在后边,如何改变?请在亏损后停下脚步,看不懂行情不操作,看懂了行情耐心等待进场机会,等来了进场机会不犹豫果断出击,单子进场了不贪心,到了预期获利点位,无论后面还有多少利润诱惑,请记住,赚属于我们的钱,做我们能把握的单,我是周鸿金,坚持用心做分析,日久方能见人心。没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作;订阅关注-恭粽豪“周鸿金”(薇-corezh66646)获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、交易策略指导。
  
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Every day18小时实时免费指导)
  Wen/周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)
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