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说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业,几年间,几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚,也常常因为解一个客户的套单,通宵不睡,不仅要解套,还要经常和他们谈心,做这一行,心态,永远是第一位,我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别,最大的地方是心态,客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会,反而会亏,我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友,有时候也很心疼他们的处境,做这个多半是想赚钱,能改善一下生活条件,听了他们的故事,真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的,都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业,我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者,能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我,我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。
继前一周大跌之后,本周现货gold终于企稳并录得小幅上涨。11month15日当周,现货黄金小幅上涨8.60USD, increase0.59%Report collection1467.50dollar/盎司。尽管美国公布的经济数据总体向好,且包括美联储主席在内的美联储人员的讲话强化了降息周期告一段落的预期,但美元指数仍小幅下跌,收报98.00,盘中一度跌破98关口。此外,随着经贸言论历经反复,在一阶段协议正式签署之前市场仍持谨慎态度,这也令黄金受到一定支撑。
展望本周,消息面将相对清淡。央行方面,市场将关注美联储和欧洲央行会议纪要,以寻找货币政策的更多线索。数据方面,美国将公布营建许可、新屋开工和成屋销售等数据,欧洲将公布PMI数据;美国经济数据总体向好 强化暂停降息预期;由于金价未能突破1475dollar/盎司的阻力,但尽管美国股市上涨和美元走强,黄金仍设法在1450美元上方获得良好支撑,金价本周来看跌宕起伏。
Gold trend analysis:
现货黄金周五(11month15日)温和收跌,美市盘中最低下探至1461.80美元,金价开盘后小幅攀升,触及日内高位1471.20后转跌,继续运行在1460上方。目前从技术上看,黄金空头仍具有全面的技术优势。金价处于两个月的下降趋势线之中,盘整区间已被打破,转为下行,意味着将会有更多的抛压。现货黄金纽市盘中大部分时间交投于1467美元附近,打破连续三个交易日上涨的势头,因美国股市触及纪录高位,经贸谈判取得进展的迹象打击避险需求。
黄金最近的反弹走势在1475美元的支撑转阻力位附近徘徊;金价随后回落至1455美元的可能性似乎很大。黄金未能利用近期从三个月低点的反弹动能,或未触及从1265USD to1557美元看涨趋势的38.2%斐波纳契水平的支撑,并在周五受到一定的抛售压力。看涨势头在1475美元区域附近的汇合支撑转阻力附近停滞,该区域包括100日均线和一个月历史交易区间的低端。
黄金现在已经扭转了前一交易日的积极走势,此前突破了一周多的高点,并且由于新的两国经贸乐观情绪,目前正徘徊在1460-62美元附近的日低点。同时,日线图上的技术指标保持看跌偏见,并再次开始在小时图上获得负牵引力,表明跌势已恢复。因此,后续疲软,可能会在1446-45美元区域途中测试1455美元的中间水平支撑。下行方面,1475-76美元区域可能会继续充当直接的强劲阻力。
黄金日线来看:反弹后下跌,MACD绿色动能柱略微所窄,KDJ三线粘合随机指标走平,指示黄金接下来展开震荡或者回调。昨日K线在重要阻力位附近录得十字星阴线,终结了日线三连阳,短线金价存在较大的调整需求,甚至存在一些回调机会,初步支撑在隔夜低点1460附近,周四低点支撑也在该位置附近,5日均线也在该位置附近,需要跌破该位置,才能扭转跌势。
Gold4小时来看:低位震荡,MACD红色动能柱略微缩窄,KDJ随机指标继续走低,指示黄金短线反弹动能耗尽,接下来或再度展开一波回调。金价在布林线上轨和短线跌势的38.2%回撤位的双重阻力附近遇阻,K线相对高位类似“黄昏之星”,短线偏向试探布林线中轨1462附近支撑,不过金价在周五受20日均线支撑后开始震荡反弹,最终在1460-1470区间震荡;综合来看,今日黄金短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以低多为主,高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1474-1476Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1460-1462Frontline support.
黄金今日可参考操作策略:
1The rebound above the gold does not break1474-1476Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1464-1466frontline;
2The pullback below the gold does not break1460-1462Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470frontline;
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”,每天会有及时的黄金策略分析,也可以进行实时的指导,一对一咨询服务,尽心去解答你的每一个投资难题。
How to invest in gold steadily:
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
If you can find me, I can help you:
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.
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