Message interpretation: 周五美盘现货gold下跌,日内跌幅0.48%。因美元走强,贸易乐观情绪削弱了金银的避险需求,令黄金、日元等避险品种承压。尽管美国经济衰退的忧虑有所缓解,但预计经济也不会很快出现反弹。金银价格走低,因全球股市上涨,昨日美股创下历史新高,抑制了对避险金属的需求。贸易情绪维持乐观,其他如中东等潜在的地缘政治风险地区也平静了数周,这都不利于金银市场。 Friday(11month15Day)21:30Announced by the United States10月零售销售数据,数据录得0.3%, higher than expected0.2%。受汽车销售以及汽油价格上升的影响,美国10月零售销售月率录得好于预期的表现。不过值得注意的是,美国消费者减少了对大件商品以及服装的购买,这可能会降低市场对假期购物季的预期。对于美国进口物价数据,机构评论称,美国进口物价指数月率跌幅大于预期,主要因汽油产品和食品价格走低导致,表明进口价格在一段时间内可能继续受抑。这也表明尽管消费者和生产者物价在10月有所回升,但通胀可能继续保持温和。 Gold market analysis: 黄金日线来看,金价暂自低位小幅反弹,MACD绿色动能柱略微缩窄,隔夜金价反弹力度较小,受到周一高点附近阻力压制,下方留意上一交易日低点1456附近支撑,若回落至该位置下方,则增加短线下行风险;不过金价在1446关键位置获得支撑,局部出现类似“启明之星”的底部信号,KDJ也有金叉趋势,短线下行风险有所减弱,且存在进一步反弹机会,隔夜高点阻力在1467附近,上周高点阻力在1473Nearby;100Daily moving average resistance1478附近,若不能顶破该阻力,则金价仍有重回跌势的风险。
Gold4小时来看,震荡反弹,目前KDJ重新结成死叉随机指标重新走高,MACD红色柱持续扩张,指示黄金短线反支撑较强,接下来将展开反弹之势。不过布林带缩口后走平,留意布林线轨道1450-1470区域突破情况;短线偏向试探布林线上轨1470附近阻力,若金价坚守布林线中轨1460支撑,并上破布林线上轨1471附近阻力,则将打开新的反弹空间,进一步阻力在1480一线;若下破布林带中轨1460下方,那么将会试探布林带下轨1450支撑。综合来看,下周短线操作思路上秦梓昕个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1475-1478Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1460-1455一线支撑。盘间行情时时变化具体操作策略以秦梓昕实盘为准! Suggestions for Gold Operations: 1Rebound to1471-1473Short nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1465-1463frontline; 2、回踩至1460-1462Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1468-1470frontline;
Message from Zixin: Reading ten thousand books is not as good as traveling ten thousand miles, traveling ten thousand miles is not as good as reading countless people, reading countless people is not as good as leading the way by famous masters, and leading the way by famous masters is not as good as leading the way by famous masters. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Follow Qin Zixin for more investment insights,Grasp the trend and help you make steady profits! Author: Qin Zixin V-Letter:QZX322 WeChat official account: Qin Zixin Author's Message: Investment carries risks Be cautious when entering the market Writing time:2019/11/16