Bo Hu Lun Jin:11.15黄金承压上行多头举步维艰，后市操作建议策略布局

The path of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When you miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. Doubt and cowardice are both obstacles to success. Success comes from trying, and even a journey of a thousand miles must be taken first. There is no success without the risk of failure. The strong will make way for you, while the weak will find it difficult to move forward. To fly higher, one must first dive lower. Those who observe the overall situation will not care about the gains and losses of a city or a place. To cultivate oneself with calmness, to cultivate virtue with frugality. Soldiers facing the city are calm and calm, those in danger are able to turn misfortune into good fortune, those who stumble into a desperate situation but survive in a desperate situation, not only need to have the experience of rushing through the sand, but also the magnanimity that must be possessed by those who achieve great things. A person whose immediate interests can blind their eyes is destined to miss even greater opportunities.
　　
Message face:
　　
InternationalgoldThursday（11month14日）震荡收涨，开盘价1465.62dollar/Ounces, highest price1470.60dollar/Ounces, lowest price1460.89dollar/Ounces, closing price1469.66dollar/ounce.
　　
Thursday's announcement from the United States to11month9The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is22.510000 people, higher than market expectations21.510000 people.
　　
　　美国国家经济顾问库德罗表示，正在准备第二期减税一揽子方案，以提振经济增长、帮助中等收入家庭。
　　
　　美联储官员布拉德表示，因美国经济强劲，不会采用负利率。美联储的三次降息为经济提供了保险。当前美联储应观察年内降息造成的影响。对收益率曲线倒挂表示担忧，但当前货币政策处于相当宽松水平。风险仍存，但美联储今年降息将支撑经济明年更快速发展，通胀处于更佳水平。收益率曲线表明美联储政策处于更好的位置。我们应该预计美国就业增长会放缓。美联储已经对负面冲击采取了先发制人的行动。对降息影响采取观望态度是明智的。
　　
　　美联储官员卡普兰表示，明年美国经济增速很有可能达到2%。美国消费者状况良好，劳动力市场趋紧。尽管经济增速缓慢，不认为2020年将出现衰退。对美国公司债务数量创纪录表示担忧。通胀受抑使美联储驱动经济运行过热。不认为通胀将脱离目标。
　　
　　美联储官员威廉姆斯表示，美联储降息是为了应对持续潜在的风险。如果前景发生实质性改变，美联储将调整政策。当前贸易不确定性，地缘政治导致商业变得更加谨慎和保守。预计通胀将迈向美联储2%的目标。预计美国经济将温和增长，劳动力市场强劲。如果存在实施更多刺激的需要，政策空间仍存在。
　　
　　美联储主席鲍威尔表示，强调10月非农报告“非常强劲”，认为低利率环境下，美联储只有更小的降息空间。同时其指出美国当前的经济是可持续的，经济前景依然正面，仍处于强劲位置。只要经济仍在目前的轨道上，美联储就不太可能很快调整利率。美联储今年朝着更加宽松的货币政策方向采取的行动帮助支撑了经济的持续增长。
　　
According toCMEFederal Reserve Observation:12月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is96.3%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is3.7%; next year1月维持当前利率在1.50%-1.75%The probability of the interval is81.4%Interest rate reduction25Bps to1.25%-1.50%The probability of the interval is18%Interest rate reduction50Bps to1.00%-1.25%The probability of the interval is0.6%。

　　

Today's Focus
　　
　　11:00 加拿大央行行长波洛兹发表讲话
　　
　　18:00 eurozone9Monthly adjusted trade account
　　
　　18:00 eurozone10monthCPIMonthly rate
　　
　　18:00 eurozone10monthCPIAnnual rate final value
　　
　　21:30 U.S.A11New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month
　　
　　21:30 U.S.A10Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate
　　
　　21:30 U.S.A10Monthly retail sales rate
　　
　　22:15 U.S.A10Monthly industrial output rate
　　
　　23:00 U.S.A9Monthly commercial inventory rate

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Technical aspect:
　　
　　国际黄金周四震荡收涨，周四亚盘交易时间金价维持1461-1466区间窄幅维持，进入下午盘金价形成区间高点1466一线窄幅横盘，随着欧盘开盘金价扩大反弹幅度最高触及1470Line formation1467-1470区间维稳表现。美盘交易时间随着美股开盘金价扩大日内回落幅度最低触及1465一线后再创日内新高，周五凌晨金价最高触及1474一线后短线回落收盘于1471一线，周五早间金价延续回落走势并未表现出短期高点区间维稳走势。日线录得小幅阳线连续三个交易日收涨，当前日线移动平均线呈向下发散排列，短期金价形成对日线10日均线压力位价格回踩表现，当前压力位表现积极回落延续良好，关注短期回落区间维持状况。小时线显示随着金价冲高回落，当前价格处于均线支撑压力位价格区间，连续短线回落过程中并未表现出较强支撑位反应，关注日内金价回落下方技术指标支撑位影响，小时线60日均线支撑位价格锚定1464一线。谨慎扩大日内多空建仓价格区间维持偏区间操作思路。
　　
　　个人操作建
　　
　　1.多单：稳健1451Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1455upper
　　
　　2.空单：稳健1481Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1477Below
　　行情瞬息万变具体操作以博虎论金（V-亻丶言：KD1394）实时指导为准，对行情把握不够好、对进场点位把握不够准确、今日利润，你错过了吗？
Bo Hu's Message on Gold: As a lone soldier, do you feel like you are walking on thin ice in this financial market and struggling to move forward? If you are tired of unproductive investments and lost in the foggy market; If you suffer losses one after another but feel unwilling. So, it's time to change the status quo. Good birds choose trees to live on, your choices determine your future!
　　
The above views only represent the personal views of Bohu Lunjin. Thank you for your continuous support. Welcome to share, share, and comment, let's grow together! If you feel that the above views on Bo Hu Lun Jin are helpful to you, you can try adding Bo Hu Lun JinvxNumber“KD1394”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
　　
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Bo Hu Lun Jin Micro（KD1394）
　　
Direction guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
Wen/Bo Hu Lun Jin