Yimeng Shengding11.14Trend of Gold and Crude OilAPI来袭油价三角博弈 初请来袭黄金能否走高

   前言：每次写分析，我都希望看到的朋友能有所收获，在这个市场上，平静的表现下其实暗波汹涌，很多投资朋友轻易的进入，往往遍体鳞伤，每天都有很多朋友找到我，寻求帮助，然而更多的只是看完分析后迅速的找到下一篇继续看。我希望我能帮助更多的人，就犹如我自己对这份工作的定位是服务一样，人与人之间是相互的，信任是合作的开始，如果你在投资道路上有所困惑和迷茫可以找我聊聊，说不定这将使你的投资之路好走很多。



　　消息面：今晚市场焦点有，美联储主席鲍威尔、美联储副主席克拉里达以及纽约联储主席威廉姆斯都将发表讲话，美联储“三巨头”罕见同日登场，预计将对今日美元和gold走势起到指引作用。昨日的美国10monthCPI数据增幅高于预期，这可能强化了美联储暂停货币宽松周期的理由。假如今日美联储“三巨头”都释放不愿意进一步降息的信号，美元有望受到推动，这可能打击金价。昨晚美元指数和黄金价格波动相对平稳，难言在今晚市场不会出现大幅波动，敬请投资者密切关注为好。



　　黄金：美国10monthCPI创七个月最大升幅，美国股市再创历史记录新高，打压避险需求，金价反弹受阻；美联储称他寻求的负利率并不适合美国经济，帮助美元指数守在近一个月高位附近，技术面和基本面美元仍偏向多头；金价面临重回跌势的风险。



　　从日线来看，震荡下跌后低位调整；金价在1446关键位置获得支撑，局部出现类似“启明之星”的底部信号，KDJ也有金叉趋势，短线下行风险有所减弱，且存在进一步反弹机会，隔夜高点阻力在1467.12附近，上周高点阻力在1473.01Nearby;100Daily moving average resistance1478.63附近，翼盟胜鼎认为若不能顶破该阻力，则金价仍有重回跌势的风险。此外，由于MACD死叉信号仍在，隔夜金价反弹力度较小，受到周一高点附近阻力压制，下方留意上一交易日低点1455.94附近支撑，若回落至该位置下方，则增加短线下行风险；然后是1550整数关口支撑，本周低点支撑在1445.70附近，若进一步下破，则增加中线看空信号。



From4小时来看，震荡，MACDGolden fork,KDJ也是金叉，短线略微偏向震荡上破，初步阻力在布林线上轨1469.46附近，若顶破该位置，则将打开新的反弹空间，目标参考1479.50附近；短线的话1473.01附近也存在一些阻力。综合来看，今日晚间短线操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1473-1478Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1463-1458Frontline support.



Latest operating suggestions for gold:



　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1473Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1467-1465frontline;



　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1463Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1470-1472frontline;



　　3、策略仅供参考，盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以翼盟胜鼎微信( ymsd06)The actual offer shall prevail;



　　crude oil：美国能源情报署(EIA)Wednesday（11month13日）表示，本月美国原油平均日产量将达到创纪录的1303万桶，较预期提前一个月突破1300万桶大关，到2020year11月国内产量将攀升至1341Ten thousand barrels. althoughEIAestimate11月的美原油产量高于预期，但是受欧佩克坚称全球经济没有陷入衰退，而明年美页岩油产量将大幅小于预期的影响，国际油价周四延续前一天的涨势。



　　原油周四仍处于区间震荡，亚盘56.8Shake down to reach56.2，美盘再次上涨到达57上方最高到达57.5Received57.3，从四小时线油价57.8一线未破前还将处于震荡，突破则上看58-58.5附近，早间API数据利多，今开盘后油价现小涨到达57.7，小时线MA5向上抬头，有上涨的势头，同样关注57.8一线的突破情况，上破后56.8则是下方的重要支撑也是回踩多的位置，另今晚零点原油EIA数据可特别关注59.3-59.5压力，此位为63下来再跌点，初见可空一次，晚间可先关注57.8情况。综合来看，今日晚间短线操作思路上翼盟胜鼎个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注58.4-58.9Frontline resistance, short-term focus below57.2-56.8Frontline support.



Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:



　　1The rebound above the crude oil does not break58.4Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target57.6-57.8frontline;



　　2The downward correction of crude oil does not break57.2Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target58.0-58.2frontline;



　　3、行情千变万化、点位仅供参考，投资有风险、入市需谨慎，详情关注翼盟胜鼎本人官||Wei: ymsd06；                                                         
                                                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                   
    下面翼盟胜鼎给那些没有老师指导的投资人分享一下心得技巧：

　　

1： What are the investment precautions?

　　

　　1In precious metal investment, it is necessary to fully understand the risks and benefits, the probability of winning and losing money, and several major issues to prevent. If there is no clear understanding of risk prevention and buying and selling at will, losing money is inevitable. Generally, as long as strict stop loss and stop profit measures are set for orders, and light positions are placed for orders, risk can be well controlled.

　　

　　2Knowing oneself and the enemy, one will never be defeated in a hundred battles. But in the gold market, self-awareness is paramount, and investors need to understand their own personalities, as those who are prone to impulsiveness or emotional tendencies are not suitable for this investment. Most successful investors are able to control their emotions and have strict discipline, effectively restraining themselves. So, only those who know themselves can ultimately win in the gold market.

　　

　　3In a sense, sometimes misreading the market trend or suddenly reversing the situation after placing an order can lead to the order being trapped, which is a normal phenomenon that even experts cannot avoid. However, the stupidest behavior in decision-making and post event handling stems from the mentality of small business owners. Successful investors will not blindly follow the opinions of others. When everyone is in the same investment position, especially small investors who are also following suit, successful investors will feel dangerous and change their course.

　　

　　4The market is real, don't be sentimental, overly yearn for the future and reminisce about the past. A senior trader said: A person full of fantasy, rich emotions, and very exposed is a beautiful and happy person, but he is not suitable for being an investor. A successful investor can separate his emotions, fantasies, and trading.

　　

　　二：哪些做单容易导致爆仓

　　

　　仓位太重。属于过度交易的范畴。这是爆仓的主要原因；不肯认错：一旦方向作错，不能当机立断，而是死抗，直到爆仓；不设单子止损；频繁进出，过度交易；逆市而为，加死码；盲目跟单。

　　

　　知识是交易的基础，知识结构最终将决定投资胜负。要想成功快乐投资，就要不断学习补短。成功者更善于总结得失，谦虚谨慎。成功者一要靠自己，二要靠别人，如果你没有老师，那么你可以找到我。投资的路上不是一帆风顺，找个负责任能力强的老师结伴而行，那么你的投资之路必将高歌猛进，一顺风顺！

  　全方位指导时间：早7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))

Comprehensive guidance teacher: Yimeng Shengding Analysis Team

Analysis writer: Yimeng Shengding  Wei-Core（   ymsd06）  

Author's message:
A restless heart leads to chaos, and chaos leads to danger. Patience is an essential element for success. May you know me starting with words and matching my personality,陷于技术，久于善良，终于人品