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投资者总是满腔热情憧憬着如何盈利,却很少愿意去想如果出现亏损怎么办,更没有做好应对亏损的准备。一旦出现亏损,就手足无措、盲目求医并且犹豫不决,真正意识到该止损时,却已错过最佳的止损时机。投资者应当树立止损意识,掌握止损技巧及策略,把可能出现的大幅亏损控制在小范围内。在持仓处于危险情况下,投资者要有英雄断腕的决心与勇气。控制损失,给后面的投资留下足够的筹码;放弃亏损,以期寻找更好的机会。
11month12Japanese Asian period, spotgold徘徊在1460下方,避险情绪的降温继续拖累金价,后市仍有进一步下探风险;crude oil市场,对OPEC进一步减产的预期等因素拖累油价,但市场预计美国原油库存下降,多空双方来回拉锯。
Gold trend analysis:
美国股市仍处于历史记录高位附近,英国无协议脱欧风险进一步下降,金价失守1460附近重要支撑;市场对美国零售销售等数据的预期比较乐观,有望给美元提供支撑,这令金价短线面临进一步下行风险。
日线来看,震荡下跌;金价失守1460重要支撑,布林线开口,MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉,后市金价偏向沿布林线下轨向下运行,目前正试探1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1446.15附近支撑,鸿ㅣ金认为若下破该支撑,则偏向进一步跌向8month2Daily low point1430.46Nearby; In the short term,6month25Daily high point1439.21附近也存在一些支撑。由于上一交易日K线接近十字星,暗示下方支撑较强,短线也需要提防温和反弹的可能性,上方初步阻力在10month1Daily low point1459.14Nearby, further resistance5Daily moving average1466.08附近,关注3268735920在收复该位置前,后市偏向震荡下行。上周五高点阻力在1473.01Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance1477.54附近,若意外收复该位置,则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;
上方关注阻力:1460.00;1466.08;1473.01;
Pay attention to support below:1450.00;1446.15;1439.21;
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Rebound1460Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1450-1448;
2Callback1446Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1454-1456;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
Analysis of crude oil trend:
国际贸易局势的乐观情绪有所减弱,阿曼称OPEC+May be in12月延长减产协议,但不太可能加大减产力度;这使得市场对2020年可能出现供应过剩的担忧情绪升温,这对油价有所压制。但市场情报公司Genscape的数据显示,截至11month8日当周,美国原油futures交割地库欣的库存减少了约120万桶;这给油价提供支撑;短线油价缺乏明确方向,需要继续留意国际贸易局势的相关消息。
日线来看,震荡上涨;在受阻于上涨通道上轨后,油价在近六周高位附近展开震荡,均线交织,MACDGolden fork,KDJ有死叉趋势,短线缺乏明确方向,在失守20Daily moving average55.61前,后市略微偏向震荡上攻;初步阻力在200Daily moving average57.36附近,上周高点阻力在57.88Nearby,61.8%Resistance to retreat position58.55Nearby, strong resistance9month19Daily high point59.49附近,鸿ㅣ金认为能否进一步上破,还有待观察。下方初步支撑在10Daily moving average56.37Nearby,20The daily moving average is supported by55.61附近,若失守该支撑,则增加短线下行风险;上涨通道下轨支撑目前在54.80Near.
4小时来看,震荡;布林线轨道水平运行,初步参考布林线轨道55.99-57.68区域突破情况,也可以参考近一周震荡区间55.76-57.88区域突破情况。MACDDead fork,KDJ有死叉趋势,短线略微偏向试探布林线下轨57.68附近支撑,但由于MACDandKDJ目前的信号都比较弱,油价能否下破57.68附近支撑,还有待观察。综合来看,短线走势变数较大,留意56.00-57.35区域突破情况;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议区间对待即可,突破区间再调整思路;
Focus on resistance above:57.35;57.88;58.65;
Pay attention to support below:56.37;56.00;55.61;
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
1Rebound57.8Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target56.4-56.2;
2Callback56.3Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target57.1-57.3;
3、盘间行情实时变化,具体操作策略以周鸿金(薇-Core:zh66646)指导实盘为准;
Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and patiently wait for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market trend is just one part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions, reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
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鸿金寄语-----
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