Li Dingyuan:11.12黄金空头在下一城后市如何操作？最新金价走势分析及操作建议

　　说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业，几年间，几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚，也常常因为解一个客户的套单，通宵不睡，不仅要解套，还要经常和他们谈心，做这一行，心态，永远是第一位，我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别，最大的地方是心态，客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会，反而会亏，我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友，有时候也很心疼他们的处境，做这个多半是想赚钱，能改善一下生活条件，听了他们的故事，真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的，都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业，我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者，能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我，我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。

　　

SpotgoldMonday（11month11日）继续大幅下跌，美市盘中最低下探至1447.89dollar/Ounces, gold price has fallen below1450关口，进一步考验1440关口；日内无重大数据公布。周末亚太地区地缘正治有所升温，避险需求有所回升对黄金形成一定支撑，但支撑作用转瞬即逝，黄金再度遭到大幅抛售，数据显示，COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time11month11day23:10-23:12三分钟内买卖盘面成交10436Hand, total contract value exceeds15USD100mn
　　
　　李鼎缘认为：趋势指向下行，新闻和观点毫无价值。金属价格正在下跌，在反弹之前应该会达到我们的下跌目标。我们预计会出现几次大的抛售，但最终可能会出现我们尚未看到的恐慌性底部。强劲的初请失业金数据进一步证实了美国就业市场的强劲，这无疑令美元多头备受鼓舞，黄金因而遭受进一步打击。对于黄金接下来走势，金价跌向1450dollar/盎司，可能被视为买入良机。近期金价最大的下行风险是进展。近期黄金可能在区间盘整，因场外的投资者在观望等待好的买入机会。1450dollar/盎司对黄金而言是一个关键的位置，在该位置下方是200日移动均线，如果跌破该位置可能会改变黄金整体上涨的结构。黄金市场目前很大程度上受到市场避险需求的支撑，但一旦市场意识到衰退的风险并没有那么大，黄金会遭遇更大抛售，这一点也需要投资者谨慎对待；

　　

Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　技术面上，日线方面，经过周三盘的小阳修正后，昨日日线再次录得一根实体大阴，价格也随之运行布林下轨下方，而受此带动，目前5日均线已经向下延伸至1483Nearby,10日均线则与30日均线，还有布林中轨于1493附近呈现三重压制，再加之其它各周期指标维持空头排列，布林带整体加剧向下运行，种种迹象理应有利空头继续延伸，但值得注意的是，现在sto双线中的快线已经在超卖区出现向上拐头的迹象，若慢线无法进入超卖区与快线粘合运行，那么就有必要提防行情出现一波超跌反弹走势，而一旦出现，就有可能带动RSIIndicator on30轴附近向上拐头给予多头动能，所以，日线整体看空的同时，也要做好行情反弹的准备。
　　
From4小时来看，虽然受1455支撑影响，目前金价反弹至1462一带盘整，但由于短期均线随着跌势分别延伸到1466and1473形成短期阻力，其它各周期指标保持空头排列，布林带整体急剧向下运行，再加之sto双线上行势能欠缺，且有意再度结成死叉，RSI指标运行30轴下方，无意向上放量，所以，4小时级别整体还是属于空头占据优势。综合上述观点，今日操作建议继续保持高空思路，上方先留意1473-1483区域，此处作为前期小区间的支撑位，现在已经成为反向阻力，只要金价保持之下运行，可期空头下破1455并进行延伸，若被多头收复，行情则继续震荡，不过，在下移强压1497-1500一线未破之前，仍属于空头强势期。对于支撑，鼎缘认为在金价无法上破第一道阻力的情况下，应该去关注1450一带了，如果今日空头得到延续，那么必将提高下破1455，且试探1450的概率加大，后市黄金将回到1400美元关口。综合来看，今日午夜短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1462-1464Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1444-1446Frontline support.
　　
　　黄金最新可操作建议：
　　
　　1The rebound above the gold does not break1462-1464Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1452-1454frontline;
　　
　　2The pullback below the gold does not break1444-1446Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1452-1454frontline;
　　
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Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.crude oil是多和空两种模式操作，其实是四种操作方法，低多，低空，高多，高空这四种，在单边势头中，这四种模式都是可取的，如果是在震荡趋势中，切记不可低空和高多，这样就相当于追涨杀跌，万万切记，很多人都是追涨杀跌导致亏损。
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.  

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