刘煜贤：黄金重创市场大多看空，止跌就在下周

　　目前美元指数持续4日振荡走高，同时因风险偏好提升，市场资金从gold市场转移到股市，令黄金期价大幅下跌，周四周五美股三大指数大幅高开并再度创出历史高位。全球贸易局势向好的乐观情绪给金价压力，就在欧盘中美谈判的乐观情绪给金价带来压力，一度承压下跌至1456。同时，在中美同意随协议进展分阶段取消加征关税，而到周四晚间23:47分受到贸易局势的乐观清晰，美国十年期国债价格跌幅扩大，收益率升至9month13日以来最高水平，至此避险情绪大幅降温，黄金大幅下滑直至破位底部支撑走到1460的新低，这也是此轮黄金大跌的主要原因。
　　
　　下周市场面临的风险事件比较多，首当其冲的就是新西兰联储将公布新一期利率决议。本周三新西兰统计局公布数据显示，新西兰第三季失业率微升至4.2%，该国经济增长放缓开始在就业市场中有所显现。失业率上升可能是经济增长下滑开始影响到就业市场的信号，新西兰联储将不得不采取更多举措。所以预计将在11月份进一步降息。该央行之前已经先后两次降息，其中一次还是超预期调降50个基点。累计降息幅度和美联储相当。如果降息将进一步的小利多黄金白银的概率比较大，所以到时候可以博弈一个小短期多头的交易机会。
　　
　　其次，就是周三美国国会将就针对总统的弹劾调查首次举行公开听证。如果民主党掌控的众议院投票通过弹劾特朗普，接下来共和党掌控的参议院将会裁决是否罢免特朗普。目前为止，参议院共和党议员还无意罢免特朗普。但肯定会有所限制，另外一个就是如果成功，明年特朗大选是否还能持续，我认为要大减分，所以如果成功黄金将出现利多，反之就是利空黄金白银。
　　
　　趋势看点：
　　
　　当前黄金已经下破1460支撑，本周空头的力量可以说的上完全释放；前期看下方极限位置1440区域，但未必会到；下方1450支撑，刘煜贤以为黄金到达1440-35之上会止跌。
　　
　　技术上，黄金收盘1459The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1475, support position1455。当前黄金经过前两日长阴线跌破自8month1日以来的上涨趋势线，目前金价已然破位1460来到最低1456位置，日线指标上，MACDThe negative kinetic energy column of the indicator has been amplified,RSI指标拐头向下。技术图显示，MACDThe negative kinetic energy column of the indicator continues,RSI指标在超卖区30位置附近，短期均线EMA5AndEMA10形成空头向下，均线EMA5附近存在短线阻力。短线看，压力位在1472and1475、1480，需要多头层层攻克方能重登1480关口。或如金价持续受阻在1460关口下方，则金价短线下行目标看1450。
　　
　　值得注意的是，市场资金从黄金市场转移到股市，美国三大stock market index再创收盘新高，随着投资者乐观预计全球经济增长问题将逐步解决，标普500指数周五创收盘新高，突破前交易日的点位纪录，连续第五周实现周连涨；道琼斯指数收盘基本持平，纳斯达克综合指数也创下纪录新高。科技股和医疗保健股领涨，能源和公用事业股下跌。投资者正谨慎评估国际贸易关系方面相互矛盾的消息与经济数据。
　　
Short term operation, refer to the following:
　　
　　1, Gold1462Short selling, stop loss1467, Objective1455-50。
　　
If you have any difficult or complicated symptoms, you can add an author for consultation! The trading of nine gold and ten silver is currently underway, and the actual price has been made public. We are not seeking perfection, but rather a clear conscience and a return on long-term trust.
　　
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
　　
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV：lyx201037663
　　
Liu Yuxian
　　
　　11.10(Writing)