Li Dingyuan:11.9下周黄金还会跌吗？周一金价行情走势分析及操作建议

　　说实话我希望可以把自己的热情暖感染到每一个人。我爱我的行业，几年间，几乎都熬夜看盘到很晚，也常常因为解一个客户的套单，通宵不睡，不仅要解套，还要经常和他们谈心，做这一行，心态，永远是第一位，我觉得客户和分析师的差别不仅仅是专业技能的差别，最大的地方是心态，客户多半因为真金白银犹豫不决半信半疑的错过很多盈利机会，反而会亏，我是一个心很软的人。做久了和客户成了朋友，有时候也很心疼他们的处境，做这个多半是想赚钱，能改善一下生活条件，听了他们的故事，真的是暗暗下决心一定要为他们多赚一点。毕竟谁的钱都不是大风刮来的，都是辛辛苦苦的血汗钱。我们要尊重自己的劳动成果。我爱这个的行业，我不知道有多少人在和我一样的坚持着我们的初衷。为了分析师这个头衔没日没夜的拼着。我也希望看到我这段话的真真正正的投资者，能让我为你们做点什么。对投资不理想或者想学习的朋友可以咨询我，我会尽我最大的努力帮助你。
　　
　　李鼎缘个人观点：强劲的初请失业金数据进一步证实了美国就业市场的强劲，这无疑令美元多头备受鼓舞，gold因而遭受进一步打击。对于黄金接下来走势，鼎缘认 为，金价跌向1450dollar/盎司，可能被视为买入良机。近期金价最大的下行风险是中美的贸易谈判进展。近期黄金可能在区间盘整，因场外的投资者在观望等待好的买入机会。1450dollar/盎司对黄金而言是一个关键的位置，在该位置下方是200日移动均线，如果跌破该位置可能会改变黄金整体上涨的结构。黄金市场目前很大程度上受到市场避险需求的支撑，但一旦市场意识到衰退的风险并没有那么大，黄金会遭遇更大抛售，这一点也需要投资者谨慎对待。
　　
Gold Market Analysis
　　
　　目前来看，一个月期黄金风险逆转指标跌至5month31日以来最低水准，显示投资者增加了对黄金看空的的押注。当前该指标为0.55，在过去7个交易日内自1.90水平几乎下跌了近90度。它表示看涨option(看涨押注)的需求或隐含波动率溢价下降，而看跌期权的需求上升。尽管如此，这一数字仍保持在正区间，意味着看涨期权的成交量仍高于看跌期权的成交量。当前金价交投于1458dollar/盎司区域，上一交易日跌幅超过1%，证实多周盘整的跌势将于1474-1520dollar/盎司区间中断。
　　
　　从技术面日线级别看，日K以一根中阴线收尾，而以这样的形态收尾后，行情有效打破区间，那么今日行情延续空。今日周五，周线收官！若周线收在1480下方则视行情为有效破位，下周会进一步加深调整空间，或许也有可能是阶段性见顶调整，目前结构已经初步开启调整之路。跌破区间我们顺势看空即可。4小时级别，布林带开口扩张，行情如期跌破1478一线后迈向1460. and1460这个位置是黄金分割点0.618的支撑位，目前支撑仍然已破，今日操作上则看14521478区间修正，昨日1478破位口成为今日反弹的重要压制位，反弹不破1478-1480区域，那么行情还是会延续走跌。
　　
Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:
　　
　　1Gold advice1473Short on the front line, stop loss1478, Objective1468-1465；
　　
　　2Gold advice1455Long on the front line, stop loss1450, Objective1463-1466；
　　
The above views only represent Dingyuan's personal views. If you feel that Li Dingyuan's views are helpful to you, you can try adding Li Dingyuan//Line“ldy86588”Every day, there will be timely analysis of the gold strategy, as well as real-time guidance and one-on-one consulting services, dedicated to answering every investment challenge you face.
　　
Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.crude oil是多和空两种模式操作，其实是四种操作方法，低多，低空，高多，高空这四种，在单边势头中，这四种模式都是可取的，如果是在震荡趋势中，切记不可低空和高多，这样就相当于追涨杀跌，万万切记，很多人都是追涨杀跌导致亏损。
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.  
　　
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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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