Zhang Yayuan:11.8黄金为何大跌？黄金还能涨吗？今日黄金行情走势分析

​　　Zhang Yayuan:11.8gold为何大跌？黄金还能涨吗？今日黄金行情走势分析



　　黄金为何大跌？深度解析黄金大跌原因!


　　1，中美贸易传来乐观消息中方同意分阶段取消加征关税


Thursday Beijing Time(11month7day)The latest important news on China US trade has come, with optimistic comments suppressing market demand for safe haven. Gold prices have plummeted, and the US dollar/safe haven yen climbed to a over five month high on Thursday. At the same time, the improvement in risk sentiment has also helped trade sensitive currencies such as the Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar rise.

　　11month7On the same day, the spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce, Gao Feng, stated at a regular press conference that if China and the United States reach the first phase of an agreement, they should cancel the additional tariffs at an equal rate in accordance with the content of the agreement, which is an important condition for reaching an agreement.


In the past two weeks, the leaders of both sides have had serious and constructive discussions on properly addressing their core concerns, and have agreed to phase out the imposition of tariffs as the agreement progresses. This approach is beneficial for stabilizing market expectations, benefiting the economies of China, the United States, and the world, as well as producers and consumers.


　　2，英国央行宣布维持利率不变两名委员意外支持降息


Thursday local time(11month7day)The Bank of England announces the maintenance of interest rates at0.75%It remains unchanged and meets market expectations, but two committee members unexpectedly voted in favor of a rate cut. After news of two members of the Bank of England supporting interest rate cuts was released, the pound/The US dollar plummeted in the short term and briefly fell below1.28Pass, lowest touch1.2792. Because of the pound/The US dollar experienced a greater sell-off, exacerbating its decline. The sharp drop in the pound will to some extent drive up the US dollar, and international gold denominated in US dollars will continue to decline under pressure.

　　黄金还能涨吗？今日黄金行情走势分析：


Friday（11month8日）亚市盘中，国际现货黄金位于1468.30美元水平交投。上一交易日黄金又遭遇“暴跌一夜”，图形上再度呈现直线坠崖式大跌，一度下挫至10month1日以来最低水平1460.43美元，较日高大跌逾30美元。本交易日来看，金价先自低点有所反弹，但随后再度显现回撤迹象，目前暂时呈现盘整交投。


　　本周黄金多头可谓“祸不单行”，早些时候已经率先遭遇一轮暴击。受贸易相关消息影响，周二（11month5日）金价一度自当日高点大跌逾30USD, from1509.60美元大幅跌至1479.21美元日低。因国际贸易出现明显好转的迹象，周四黄金大幅下挫，刷新5Weekly low point to1460美元附近。同时由于美国就业市场依然体现出韧性，也部分支撑美元，对金价构成压力。


　　此外，随着黄金跌破了1480to1520美元的震荡区间，考虑到近期黄金多头持仓过于拥挤，这使得近期抛售的压力有所加大。但是由于全球经济复苏依然存在不确定性，同时全球宽松的货币政策降低了黄金的持有成本，因此黄金仍料受到部分支撑。总体而言近期黄金下跌的风险有所加剧，短时间关注1450to1440section,6Month to7月曾多次测试这一区间的压力，目前已经变成一个强支撑。

　　黄金日线来看：金价继续维持震荡回撤之势，MACD绿色动能柱放大，KDJ随机指标大幅走低，指示黄金下跌动能强劲，接下来料进一步扩大跌势。日线中阴线挫破了区间下轨，首次带动均线系统拐头向下，那么此前的反复冲高回落也是为了蓄势破低，昨日选择了一定方向向下。目前跌破区间则顺势看空即可，而破低点1479-1480转为阻力。


　　gold4From an hourly perspective:金价于低位挣扎交投，MACDThe green kinetic energy column remains stable,KDJ随机指标暂时走平，指示黄金下跌动能暂缓，但整体走势疲软。黄金现开始构造台阶下行通道，而前一日反弹的高点1494就是次高点，台阶下行临界点，破位低点后形成了一波加速。今日反弹确认过程中顺势空，由于最低点至1460，以低点来算，弱势反弹的空间大概在1473-1475的阻力附近。技术面的阻力在1479-1480。如若这波弱势空头趋势有延续的话，将下看1450附近；操作上张雅源建议高空为主；

　　Gold operation suggestions


　　1Gold rebound1472A line of emptiness, breaking1477止损，目标下看1460-1462Nearby;


　　2Gold Callback1458Many lines, broken1455止损，目标上看1465-1467Nearby;


　　3、行情千变万化、点位仅供参考，投资有风险、入市需谨慎，


　　昨日思路很明确，两次做空获利17点，你跟上了吗？


　　（1）昨天的思路很明确，1495这个位置很关键，所以早盘依托1495阻力空一次，欧盘前如期迎来了下跌，空单获利5个点，恭喜跟上的朋友！

　　（2）昨天日内的行情已经很明显的走出了空头，欧盘持续破低，所以小反弹直接给出1486上方做空建议，并且十一点再次收了射击之星形态，明显的看跌信号，不到一个小时的时间直接迎来了瀑布，空单提示1474附近获利出局，前面几天的行情不大，那么该抓的利润我也绝对不会放过！并且昨晚朋友圈同步公开晚间依托1492阻力做空，画图强调了，跌破1479的话，任意点位做空，就是那么坚定！

　　【张雅源个人感悟】


You are confused by the market and don't know how to do it. Come to me and I will point you in the direction!


If you can't control yourself and are still frantically making orders without direction, please stop and don't joke with your funds!


If you have already lost a lot and don't know what to do, please control yourself and don't do whatever you want with your account!


For those who make money, please remind yourself that it's safe to drop your bags and be cautious of profit taking!


And those who are following off the market, please don't think it's a pity that the market hasn't been done, and don't have any regrets watching!


Author of this article: Zhang Yayuan


　　Q-Q：215-853-363, WeChat:zyy4732


WeChat official account: Zhang Yayuan


Author's Message: Success does not rely on luck, choice is greater than effort!