MBG Markets：英国央行鸽声施压英镑，风险偏好升温金价崩跌

　　
加元隔夜微涨，多家机构看好加元前景(USD/CAD)
　　
Technical aspect:美元兑加元上一交易日震幅达37Points, closing down0.08%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于下行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5,10双线趋于上行，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to53-54一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注1.3200Follow support below1.3110。
　　
Fundamentals:对贸易协议的乐观情绪使得加元在内的风险敏感型商品货币获益，加元、澳元、纽元均展现出一定韧性。富国银行：对加元上涨的预期主要反映出加拿大经济保持稳健，以及预计美元在未来一年左右将全线走软；如果全球贸易和制造业状况继续改善，那将可能令加元等货币格外受益。法巴银行：加拿大的收益率现在接近或高于其他多数G10货币，因而认为美元兑加元有理由会下跌，可能会在相对短期内跌破1.30，因此看好加元。
　　
英央行释放鸽声，英镑四日连阴(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达53Points, closing down0.19%，连续第四日收阴。日线BOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价隔夜探至下轨位置后企稳；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to58-59一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注5日均线位置，下方关注1.2785Location.
　　
Fundamentals:英国央行发布利率决议，维持利率水平不变。上调2019年经济增速预期、下调2020Year2021年经济增速预期；大幅下调英国未来一年通胀为1.51%（8月预期为1.9%）。声明中提到，若脱欧和全球风险恶化，可能需要宽松政策。本次会议上英国央行委员桑德斯和哈斯克尔投票支持降息25个基点。需注意的是此次要求降息的英国央行委员桑德斯此前持鹰派立场。德银评价称：不再预期英国央行明年加息，相反，预计1月份英国央行降息的风险上升。
　　
风险情绪升温，金价再现崩跌(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:goldThe previous trading day's amplitude reached316Points, closing down1.45%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于下行，金价于布林下轨下方极端超卖位置运行；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日迅速增大；日线RSI(14)to36-37Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1473Below support attention1460Location.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨0.87%, closing on12.73。金价前瞻指标巴里克黄金公司(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌3.20%, closing on16.36。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto11month8Daily reduction of holdings1.47吨黄金，持仓量缩减为914.38吨。渣打银行：因贸易方面的利好消息改变了投资者的风险偏好，金价承压下跌，在跌破1480and1470美元时出现了大量的抛售止损。若金价跌向1450dollar/盎司，可能被视为买入良机。
　　
　　
　　
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