MBG Markets：欧元无视数据上修，黄金多头踏步进场

　　
欧元无视PMI上修，走偏弱窄幅震荡(EUR/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:The previous trading day saw a significant fluctuation in the euro against the US dollar28Points, closing down0.04%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林下轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to46-47一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注5日均线阻力，下方关注支撑1.1000。
　　
Fundamentals:Germany10Monthly service industryPMIFinal valueRecorded51.6，优于初值水平；但机构认为正有越来越多的迹象表明德国经济受到制造业疲软的影响。欧元区10Monthly service industryPMIFinal value recorded52.2，优于初值水平；但仍表明欧元区第四季度经济产出可能下降。三菱日联称，贸易冲突缓解或解决将推动欧元兑美元EUR/USD上涨。自2018年第一季度贸易局势趋紧以来，欧元一直处于明显的下行趋势中。鉴于外部需求对德国的重要性，以及美国总统特朗普国内税收政策带来的积极影响，贸易冲突对欧元区经济增速的影响明显高于美国。
　　
英镑延续震荡走弱，聚焦晚间央行决议(GBP/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:英镑兑美元上一交易日震幅达53Points, closing down0.19%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于收口，布林中轨趋于上行，汇价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5趋于下行，汇价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to58-59一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方关注1.3000位置，下方关注10日均线位置。
　　
Fundamentals:local time6日凌晨，英国议会宣布正式解散，为大选做好准备。根据英国议会法案，议会解散必须在大选前25天进行。英国首相约翰逊表示，女王已经同意了举行大选，并承诺将在1月完成脱欧。此外，据外媒，欧盟要求英国首相约翰逊任命新的英国欧盟专员。今日晚间，英国央行将公布利率决议、会议纪要及通胀报告。鉴于英国即将在12月举行大选，此次大选在脱欧困境下具有高度不确定性，英国央行在本次会议上调整利率的可能性极低。
　　
gold多头踏步进场，金价止跌回升(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达112Individual points, closing up0.39%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续承压于中轨下方；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线趋于下行，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)DIFFOffline threadingDEA构死叉，阴柱势能较前一交易日增大；日线RSI(14)to46-47Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above1500关口，下方支撑关注1477-79Location.
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收跌3.66%, closing on12.62。金价前瞻指标巴里克黄金公司(NYSE:ABX)The stock price closed up on the previous trading day2.18%, closing on16.90。近期美联储降息预期的降温对金价形成了打压。但其他地区经济疲软状况和部分地区地缘冲突问题（例如IMF将今年欧元区经济增速预期从1.3%Down to1.2%, will2020Year and2021年经济增速下调至1.4%；土耳其总统雷杰普埃尔多安可能取消定于下周的访美行程等）仍令黄金具有较好的基本面支撑。
　　
　　
　　
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