美元涨势昙花一现，黄金高位延续震荡

　　美元涨势昙花一现，美元兑日元延续连阳(USD/JPY)
　　
Technical aspect:The USD/JPY experienced a significant fluctuation in the previous trading day54Individual points, closing up0.45%。美元在昨日午后盘一路高歌上涨，但最终全部涨幅遭吞没。日线BOLL(20)布林中轨趋于上行，汇价贴近布林上轨；日线MA5,10构死叉，MA5,10双线稍趋走平，汇价运行于MA5上方；日线MACD(12,26,9)阴柱势能较小，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to57-58Running on the front line, with a small slope and tending to flatten out. Attention to resistance above109.25，下方支撑关注趋势线支撑。
　　
Fundamentals:机构分析称，过去三周以来，全球市场“逃脱”了许多重要风险，如贸易局势传来好消息、英国退欧取得部分进展等。数据方面，尽管全球经济并无一片大好的迹象，但是也有迹象表明，全球经济倾向企稳。市场风险情绪的好转持续打压避险货币，令美元兑日元上行。今日数据面建议关注美国10monthMarkitService industryPMI终值以及10monthISMNon manufacturingPMI。富国银行和野村证券看好美国10Monthly non manufacturing industryPMI表现；但此前IHS MarkitPublishedPMI报告则透露出悲观前景。
　　
澳联储按兵不动，澳元仍陷窄幅震荡(AUD/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:澳元兑美元上一交易日震幅达49Points, closing down0.38%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)The Bolin track tends to rise, and the exchange rate continues to operate above the track; Daily lineMA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5稍趋走平；日线MACD(12,26,9)The potential energy of the positive column is relatively small, and the potential energy is reduced compared to the previous trading day; Daily lineRSI(14)to62-63一线运行，运行斜率较大趋于走高。
上方阻力关注0.6925Below support attention10日均线位置，破位则可看向中轨一线。
　　
Fundamentals:今日午盘时段，澳洲联储维持基准利率为0.75%不变，符合市场预期。政策声明中称，若有需要将放松政策以支撑可持续增长；预计2020Year and2021年通胀将接近2%；对今年GDP增速预期维持在2.25%附近；澳元近期仍处于（波动）区间的低端。整体声明基调较市场预期稍偏乐观，提振澳元短线走强。近期的贸易局势好转，是支撑澳元的最主要原因，澳元兑美元自10月初跌至低点后开始反弹，已出现筑底现象，但建议注意这一利好因素能否延续。
　　
goldETF持续流出，金价千五上方盘整(XAU/USD)
　　
Technical aspect:黄金上一交易日震幅达104Points, closing down0.41%。 Daily lineBOLL(20)趋于开口，布林中轨趋于上行，金价持续于中轨上方运行；日线MA5,10,20Construct multi period golden fork resonance,MA5趋于走高，金价承压于MA5Below; Daily lineMACD(12,26,9)阳柱势能较大，势能较前一交易日缩减；日线RSI(14)to52-53一线运行，运行斜率较小趋于走平。上方阻力观察1517-20密集阻力区域，下方支撑关注中轨一线。
　　
Fundamentals:Panic indexVIX指数上一交易日收涨4.31%, closing on12.83； Forward looking gold price indicator Barrick Gold Company(NYSE:ABX)股价上一交易日收跌2.18%, closing on16.64。 The world's largest goldETFFund: United StatesSPDR Gold Trustto11month4Daily reduction of holdings0.88吨黄金，为连续第五度减持。尽管近期黄金ETF持续流出，但三季度整体来看，流入量十分可观。世界黄金协会称，第三季度全球黄金ETF的总持仓量达到了2855.3吨的历史新高；持仓量在第三季度增长了258.2吨，这也是2016年第一季度以来最高的单季度流入量。
　　
　　
　　
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