Wei Liangchen:11.5现货黄金再次小幅度下跌！目前现货黄金起涨困难吗？

11.5goods in stockgold再次小幅度下跌！目前现货黄金起涨困难吗？


面对行情的暴涨暴跌，过山车式的跳动固然能让你看到巨额的利润在奔跑，却也莫忘了其伴随的风险同样提高。盲目进场的结果必然是亏损，被套而得不偿失。每一次这种行情，必然会遇到一大堆朋友找过来，不是损失严重就是套的动也不能动。其实，魏亮宸内心还是希望大家在追逐利润的时候，能够合理控制自身，结果固然能让你感动，却也需要你有一个美好的过程



原本以为现货黄金能够“起涨”，重新试探前期高点1520dollar/盎司。谁曾想，现货黄金仅涨了3天，就再次“掉头”小幅下跌。


目前，现货黄金的这种走势，表明市场上的多空消息平衡，使投资者观望的情绪占主导地位。在投资市场上有这样一句话，叫盘久必跌。那么，现货黄金整理这么长时间会不会再次下跌呢?


从短期来看，现货黄金下跌的概率会很小。因为全球经济“疲软”，各国央行纷纷“宽松”，国际贸易环境“复杂”，地缘政治冲突“加剧”，这些因素都是支撑金价不跌的原因。


据美国商品futuresTrading Committee(CFTC)The latest published position report shows that as of10month29日当周，投机者持有的黄金投机性净多头增加了17383Hand to276515Hand contract.


与此同时，在昨天(11month4day)，伊朗举行大规模游行活动，抗议美国对伊朗的制裁行为。游行活动吸引数千人参加，人们高举“美国陷落”的黄色标语，情绪激昂。


游行民众表示，美国对伊朗的制裁不会迫使伊朗屈服，伊朗也不应该同美国这种毫无信誉的政府进行谈判。尽管这些因素支撑着黄金价格一时难跌，但是美元指数的上涨，对现货黄金价格的走势，也是一种打压。


黄金抓住机会果断进场，利润随手拿：


日图暂时还是收盘在10日线之上，趋势没有改变。只是短线上行量能不足。看似强势，始终未破1517临界点的压制。短线不排除继续陷入大区间1517-1480之间拉锯，如若今日进一步承压收在千五下方。短线就会重新回测至1490.毕竟短线反复是近期主格调，而美元指数在连阴下挫后，昨日中阳反弹收复部分失地。一定程度限制了金价上行空间。



Short line chart:4小时在高点之下承压横向整理。回落至布林道中轨没能启稳，隔日开盘在中轨之下。4小时打破了强势。有点回归弱势震荡的迹象。考虑到上方1516-1517高点未突破，今日多头也不宜乐观，强势的话昨日应该能够突破的，而反倒收盘在低位。使得1503支撑力度不足。小时图轻微窄幅整理。高低点区间1517-1503暂时是多空临界点。小周期承压偏弱。保守得等待突破1517-1503区间再顺势跟进，上破1517watchable1525.Lower rupture1503则会回落1493-1490.届时1490下方再考虑多。激进一点可在1517下方轻仓尝试短空看个回落。已经两个交易日没能上破1517.过早进多暂时也看不到空间。


operation


upper1511-1512Short air first, defend1516Look1503；


下方见1500-1502多一次，防守1495Look1511


Those who follow Wei Liangchen know that I have always been very steady in my operations. Many friends have seen my articles related to it, and when they see the orders they have intercepted, I am startled. There is a huge gap between long and short positions, and the losses are quite serious. I stubbornly resist without setting stop losses, just going against the trend. It is really scary to encounter such mediocre teachers. In terms of operation, I have no rules and only rely on hard reasoning without turning back. Isn't this a joke about using the client's funds? Are you afraid if you keep up with such a teacher? Anyway, I was stunned, but I know there are still many friends who are experiencing or starting such situations. When encountering such situations, one must decisively say no in order to turn losses into profits. It's not too late to make up for the lost sheep!

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