Zhou Hongjin:11.4上方阻力重重黄金还会涨吗？原油黄金走势行情解析交易策略

　　11month4day-11month9日，数据方面需要关注美国9月耐用品订单和工厂订单数据、欧元区9Monthly retail sales, Germany9月季调后工业产出、中国10Yuecai New Service IndustryPMIand10monthforeign exchange储备；央行方面需关注澳洲联储和英国央行的利率决议；本周还需关注欧洲央行行长拉加德就任后的第一次演讲，以及芝加哥联储主席埃文斯和纽约联储主席威廉姆斯的讲话。此外，还需关注英国12月提前大选前各政党的支持率变动和官员讲话。

　　

　　goldTrend analysis:
　　
Gold rebounded last week and regained lost territory. At the beginning of the week, the previous low point was lowered1480Nearby. Delayed to break through the opening space, there was a rebound in the mid week closing session to recover lost ground. Returning to1517Near the high point, there is volatility, and during the end of the week, non-agricultural sectors briefly suppressed gold prices for retesting1503On the first line, the market started to stabilize and then recovered, closing at1513High position. Weekly closing with a bullish candlestick. The daily chart closed slightly bearish.
　　
The lower level of the daily chart range rebounded to above the moving average for consolidation, after a long period of low volatility. Unable to break through the lower bound and open up space, instead regaining lost ground and standing above the moving average. The previous decline was only used as a correction for a pullback. The weakening of the US dollar indicator will to some extent boost the continued strength of gold prices, and the daily and weekly charts are bullish.
　　
Short line4After stepping back, the hour held onto the middle track of Bollinger Road, and a wave of stepping back corrected and regained lost ground, with the structure in the process of leveling up the stairs. Accumulate momentum to break through the range of consolidation1517-1520The upper track will further touch the early high point.1The hour chart starts a new wave shaped step up after stepping back. If1480This is the first wave shape, so last Friday's retest low point1503It's the second rising wave shape, hold on1503Bullish. break through1517进一步上扬走台阶浪形。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：1515.32；1519.65；1524.24；
　　
　　下方关注支撑：；1505.32；1500.00；1494.92；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1505Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1513-1515；
　　
　　2Rebound1520Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1507-1505；
　　
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　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　原油上周下探回升收高，周初高位承压四连阴回落寻求支撑，一度回测至53.70低位，高开低走。尾盘再强势收复失地。在强势整理行情中，回调慢。上涨收复快，表现在日图上，就是四连阴回落，单阳收复失地，最终周线收盘在56.0上方。周线看底部反弹。日图大阳吞没整理上涨。
　　
　　4小时低位回升后快速收复多重阻力，打破了此前的台阶弱势下行临界点，同时带动附图MACD低位金叉向上，均线系统也开始慢慢拐头，上周的回踩主要就是起到带动指标的作用。整体趋势还是在蓄势上扬。小时图由于低位反扑速度较快，短线或许还要一定时间整理修正，或者伴随小幅回踩确认。但趋势反转向上。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:56.88；57.25；
　　
Pay attention to support below:55.94；55.3；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback55.3Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target56.6-56.8；
　　
　　2Rebound57.2Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.5-55.3；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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