Message interpretation: 隔日晚间非农数据利空,金价剧烈震荡,在好于预期非农数据公布后,现货gold下挫近8美元,刷新日低至1503.36dollar/盎司,但美国ISM制造业数据不佳,金价快速攀升至1516美元;纽市午盘,受贸易消息刺激,金价再度小幅下滑,不过受美元疲软支撑,黄金探底回升,V型反转重回1510Above the US dollar. 对于美国经济前景的担忧情绪,以及美国的政治风险,整体金价还是依然延续了本周后半段较强的升势。美联储如期降息,商贸局势突发状况,APEC会议意外取消,美众议院投票通过弹劾总统的调查程序等一些列因素添加刺激黄金多头大爆发。其APEC会议的取消让原本定于签署商贸协议的计划受到影响,后续需密切关注其进展,同时昨日美众议院通过的弹劾造成美股大跌,美元大跌,由此引发的连锁反应还会继续影响着市场走向,避险情绪短期内不会消除。全球经济衰退这已经是共识,而且是衰退的开始,黄金作为避险货币,上涨仅仅是刚刚开始!
下周黄金走势预测: 日线图上看,黄金已经一个月内第四次重返1500美元关口上方,考虑到黄金在时间上调整充分,加之多次企稳1497关键支持,暗示后市升势将一触即发。值得一提的是,黄金自9月以来已经形成三个红色中枢,目前黄金经历两个月时间已成功构建第三个红色中枢,暗示后市将延续此前升势。短期内若黄金突破1520美元,后市有望将进一步反弹挑战1550USD or even1557Horizontal.
Gold4小时来看:金价整体守住大幅反弹行情,但MACD红色动能柱略微缩窄,KDJ随机指标略偏承压走低,指示黄金短线涨势可能暂歇,或小幅回调。下方初步支撑在1505Nearby, further support at1500Nearby, due toKDJThere is a dead cross trend,K线在多重阻力附近录得十字星,暗示上方阻力较强,若金价回落至1500下方,则增加短线看空信号。操作上昕儿建议下周黄金上方关注1517-1519Resistance; Follow Below1505-1500Support;
Message from Zixin: Reading ten thousand books is not as good as traveling ten thousand miles, traveling ten thousand miles is not as good as reading countless people, reading countless people is not as good as leading the way by famous masters, and leading the way by famous masters is not as good as leading the way by famous masters. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Follow Qin Zixin for more investment insights,Grasp the trend and help you make steady profits! Author: Qin Zixin V-Letter:QZX322 WeChat official account: Qin Zixin Author's Message: Investment carries risks Be cautious when entering the market Writing time:2019/11/2