Spot Gold Shengyuan:10.30黄金走势分析，黄金今天操作思路，先跌后涨

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Spot Gold Shengyuan  10month30Daily News gold价格周二跌至一周低点，目前影响金价的因素在于市场普遍看好的贸易相关消息以及英国脱欧进展。眼下，黄金投资者需关注其他金融市场对美联储本周会议的反应。外界普遍预计美联储将在此次会议上下调美国利率，北京时间周四凌晨2:00，美联储将宣布最新的利率决议，随后02:30Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference.

周二黄金继续小幅下行，报收小阴线。一方面市场还是在等待美联储在周四降息之后，对经济的评估以及鲍威尔对于此次降息之后的态度。我们还记得美联储主席在7月份说，此次降息是正常经济周期的一次调整。当然情势会发生变化，市场也就是随着其态度，做相应的调整。由于本次降息是大概率的，黄金突破1500美元之后仍回落，就说明短期黄金上升动能不强。主因是黄金年内升幅已经不小。且美联储货币政策走向并不清晰和连贯。市场颇为犹豫。

Gold trend analysis:

今天小非农携美联储利率决议上阵，黄金周初两个交易日形成阶梯式下跌，昨日金价早盘企稳1490关口后，午盘时段形成小幅拉升承压1495一线阻力，欧盘时段金价继续延续空头小时图下行破位1490关口支撑，美盘前首轮下跌触及1484一线低点，日线小阴收尾。目前日线图布林带保持缩口，均线系统粘合，RSI指标处于中轴50数值调整，日线金价保持调整，选择方向。四小时图均线系统形成死叉开口向下，金价围绕布林线中下轨运行，RSI指标承压中轴50数值下方调整！短线金价偏空运行！

今日黄金技术面偏空，基本面消息有公布ADP就业数据及凌晨2点美联储公布利率决议，小非农市场预期不及前值利多金银，不过笔者认为此次ADP就业数据将大于预期值12万，好于前值利空金银，注意金价先跌后涨。对于凌晨美联储公会的利率决议笔者认为大概率出现降息的可能，一般在降息的前夕行情下跌，则数据公布后则价格上涨，加之鲍威尔的讲话一般偏于鸽派言论，所以结合基本面分析，金银将走空头先跌后涨！

日图连阴回撤符合预期，昨日盘中在1492.80再次做空看至1485.短线快速打盈。短暂且完美。日力方面重新回到区间弱势震荡。尾盘时段一直在1494.50高点之下承压震荡收尾，今日可能还会惯性的回落一点。进一步的下探就是要测试1480-1477附近的支撑。由于此位是比较重要的临界点。加上日图第三个交易日的回落，谨防低位反抽拉锯。今日黄金操作现货金盛缘建议日内关注1484-1494区间的震荡， 上方承压1494空，破位则等待1498、1500再空，下方如跌破1480-1483区域的支撑，则下看1476、1472一线，如数据大幅利空则金价下行低点要看1466frontline,1476、1472、1466等位置低多择机参与！具体策略以临盘发布为主。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

1、　空单：白天见1490震荡不破先短空 , Defense1494.5, Objective1485-1483nearby

2、　多单：1483-1485Regional long, stop loss1480, Objective1495-1500,1516｛强势上涨继续上看｝，若下方如跌破1480-1483区域的支撑，则下看1476之后再操作多单

3、盘间行情实时瞬息万变，具体操作策略以现货金盛缘（微信号：swj178）Guidance based on actual inventory;

crude oilTrend analysis:

原油昨日下探回升收平，早盘开盘即是日内高点。极弱表现阴跌向下，延续至美盘时段触碰54.60附近轻微启稳反抽，重新回到早间下跌口55.85高位，最终收盘在55.45附近。日图收盘小阴十字K线。先跌后涨的走势符合预期。不过点位都没能给到机会，56.10Short selling54.30做多都踏空进场位置。

原油延续空头调整，凌晨油价走预期上行突破55.5阻力触及55.9高点！收线高位日线收取一根长下影阴K，目前日线图MA10Daily moving average andMA30The daily moving average forms a golden cross,MA10日均线上破MA30日均线勾头向上，目前10日均线上移55.0关口，均线系统日线图开口向上，RSI指标围绕50数值中轴位调整，四小时图形成连阴下跌后昨日止跌54.5出现大阳反攻，单阳不成林，单阳K线不足以形成反转，四小时图均线系统保持开口向下，RSI指标处于中轴50数值下方运行，短线油价将继续保持偏空运行！今日原油操作下方回撤54.8附近短多，上方承压56.0关口布局空，形成破位54.5则持空下看54.0、53.6一线目标。到达53.6下方择机再多。

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

1Suggestions54.80先轻多，防守54.30, Objective55.50-55.80Standing55.80Look up56.80nearby

2、若遇损则在54.30-54.0一带再分别多一次，防守放在53.70即可，目标回看55.50-55.80-56.80.rely on54.0做防守看回升

Let's first look at the trend from the perspective of the large cycle. Let's first look at the daily chart and combine it with the hourly chart. If the bulls are strong, then the strategy for taking orders is mainly to call back and take long positions;After optimistic about the trend, we will determine the approximate entry point and how to choose the right entry point. Then, we will judge the support and resistance levels based on the daily and hourly lines;多次试探未突破的那么我们即可判定为当前的支撑位，判定阻力位同理可得出操作方向。只有经过自己的不断摸索不断学习，自己掌握投资的技巧，拥有自己的交易分析技巧和交易系统才能在这个市场上长期生存。过分的依赖别人的分析不是好事。然而投资也是需要经验的，不能盲目而为；要理性分析，依势而动；只有认清市场趋向并顺势而为，才能将风险降到最低。每个人都想在投资中稳赚不赔，但是除了要有想法更需要有技巧！

In the personal opinion of Professor Shengyuan of Spot Gold, investment itself is a game, not only a science, but also an art. Most people may not understand investment and think it is just about making money. However, the true meaning of investment lies in the ability of investors to learn how to use and control money, that is, the ability to make money. As a financial investment, it is a very special investment. Professor Shengyuan of Spot Gold has been engaged in the financial industry for many years, studying international situations and hot events. The financial field is vast and profound, with daily market fluctuations. All I can do is use my years of research experience to help everyone. Friends who often make mistakes in direction and have poor control over entry and exit points, such as hedging, unlocking, and losing money, can communicate with me.
Wen/Spot Jinshengyuan (WeChat:swj178）