消息面:美联储利率决议将于本周四(10month31In the early morning of the day02:00公布,目前市场普遍预计该行将于本次决议宣布年内的第三次降息,而这可能对gold短期的走势造成影响。全球经济增长疲软叠加贸易政策的不确定性可能继续施压美联储逆转其去年四次加息的政策路径。但美联储最新的点阵图显示,预计至2020年底之前美联储的基准利率将保持在1.50%-1.75%区间内,因此其会否在本周的会议降息依然有待观察。换言之,投资者可能愈发关注美联储12月的政策会议,届时其将公布最新的职员预测,投资者期望从中获取有关美联储会否进一步下调其利率政策的预期。然而,随着美联储内部分歧的扩大,这可能引发市场对美联储政策失误的担忧之情。
原油方面,美油跌破55dollar/桶,日内跌幅达2%,一度受益于避险乐观的情绪,但投资者预期美国原油库存料增加,调查显示上周美国原油库存料增加70万桶,之前一周的美国原油库存意外下降。澳新银行称投资者仍更加看重需求增长减弱,而非供应趋紧。而OPEC+进一步减产也存在分歧,OPEC+Will be on12月讨论产量协议时,考虑美国石油产量增长放缓的因素。不过,俄罗斯表示现在谈论进一步减产还为时过早。
原油四小时线来看K线走势基本跟黄金一样经过昨日的深度回调,K线日内涨到56.92一线受阻,晚间冲高回落走空一度跌至下方54.5一线,短期来看MA5AndMA10The moving average is at56.28一线形成死叉后就持续性的下探走空,K线位于布林带中轨下滑布林带通规形成收袋趋势,MACD均线形成死叉后依然还是持续性的下探绿色能量柱持续放量。目前来看原油的空头趋势还是十分明显有劲,短期之内我们可先看至下方支撑点54.4frontline.KDJAndRSI均线均形成死叉三线并行下探。综合来看,今日午夜短线操作思路上万杰理财个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注55.8-56.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below54.4-54.6Frontline support.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break55.8-56.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target54.8-55.0frontline;
2The downward correction of crude oil does not break54.4-54.6Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target55.4-55.6frontline;
(行情千变万化,点位仅供参考,如若出现破位亦可咨询万杰理财了解最新行情,具体操作策略进场点位以万杰理财ws94458Based on actual offer guidance)
Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.