Li Dingyuan:10.28黄金稳站千五震荡上行，日内金价原油走势分析及操作建议

　　悠悠乱市，清者自清，浊者自浊。一个投资人经过市场长期的洗礼于磨练之后才能逐渐强大起来，而这种强大将是持续且循序渐进的，这种强大是踏上赚钱之路的根本。市场，永远是市场，残酷的现象不会因为你的亏损而改变，更不会因为你的眼泪和抱怨而终止，改变自己的命运，只有不断的学习投资技巧，提高自己的实力。我是李鼎缘，接下来就带大家看看gold后市走势分析策略
　　
　　黄金资讯解读：
　　
Monday(10month28day)亚市早盘，国际现货黄金位于1504.80dollar/盎司水平交投。上周五金价遭遇高台跳水，在大幅涨至1517.80dollar/盎司高点后大幅回撤下挫，最低触及1500.44dollar/盎司，主要受中美贸易积极消息影响。本交易日目前来看，金价暂时呈现窄幅整理交投.
　　
　　据报道，欧盟可能在周一(10month28day)召开欧盟紧急峰会。与此同时，英首相提出的在12month12日提前大选的动议也将交由议会在周一投票。但这份动议要获得通过，必须得到议会至少三分之二议员(434位议员)赞成。英国首相发言人表示，如果大选动议在周一遭到议会否决，首相将继续推动脱欧计划。接下来需持续关注英国脱欧最新进展，任何意外消息均可能引发市场大幅波动。与此同时，投资者还需密切紧盯中美贸易局势进展，如果继续释放新的利好消息，则市场避险情绪降温，贵金属和日元等避险资产将遭遇进一步的抛售。反之，如果出现意外消极消息，则市场避险情绪发酵、加之英国脱欧的不确定性，贵金属和日元等避险资产将大获提振。本周接下来市场除了需持续关注英国脱欧进展和中美贸易局势，还将再度迎来多重重磅风险事件的洗礼，其中就包括美联储(FED)利率决议、美国10月非农就业报告以及美国第三季度GDP数据。目前来看，市场似乎已经消化美联储下周降息的预期，一旦美联储今年第三次降息，美元恐遭猛烈抛售，黄金则可能趁机扶摇直上。
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　黄金日图连阳反弹后在布林道上轨处承压，尾盘金价承压1517形成快速回撤，多头好景不长，凌晨金价出现瀑布下跌击穿1510down1500关口！虽有虚破，但没有打破上轨的压制，回落收盘在压力之下，同时上轨压制收口。今日仍在上轨处会承压，配合K线上影线较长，周初预计还是拉锯，只是由之前的区间上移了一些。上轨压力在1512.如若本周不冲破上周五的高点1517.80.很有可能又重新回到1490-1483区间下轨震荡。
　　
　　日线收取一根长上影小阳显示上方1515、1518区域阻力有效，不过纽约收盘价依然处于MA10、30日均线位1492/1497upper,RSI指标站上中轴50数值偏多运行。短周期四小时图金价形成连阳突破后转大阴回撤，均线系统开口向上,RSI指标靠近80数值后承压拐头向下，布林线开口向上！结合日K结构和四小时图分析，黄金本周周处将维持震荡低多思路布局，李鼎缘个人建议短线操作此位之下先冲高空。首先1500关口亚欧盘守住低多，上方关注1508、1515的短线阻力，欧美盘承压1512-1515后择机再空！
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1See below1500-1502Long, stop loss1494, Objective1508-1510Nearby;
　　
　　2Suggestions1511-1512短空，止损1517, Objective1502-1500Nearby;
　　
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Internationalcrude oilMarket trend analysis
　　
　　刚刚过去的一周，油价展开相当强势的反攻，美油和布油双双录得9月底以来最大单周涨幅，WTI原油周线大涨5.2%，布伦特原油周线也上涨4.4%。与此同时，WTI原油日图连续4个交易日强势上涨，周线也强势收涨报56.66dollar/Bucket, highest touch of the week56.74dollar/桶；布伦特原油也摘得4连阳，且周线强势收涨报62.02dollar/Bucket, highest touch of the week62.11dollar/Bucket.
　　
　　原油技术面来分析，日线上看，上周五原油受市场消息提振，延续上一交易日涨势，盘中创新高56.7美元，原油再经过漫长周期的连阴回撤后，终于崛起，当前MA均线走出双金叉形态，各项指标倾向于多头；4小时上看，就如李鼎缘在前面说的，4小时图上，一步一个台阶，当每创一个新高都会落入震荡，震荡完毕后再次上涨，当前布林带开口形态，MA均线呈多头形态，KDJRandom indicators with three lines up,MACD指标顶背离，快慢线平行向前，原油在周五创下新高，短期内会走入一个震荡趋势，会有短期回撤，但整体看涨不变。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注57.8-58.3Frontline resistance, short-term focus below56.1-55.7Frontline support.
　　
　　原油可参考操作建议
　　
　　1Suggestions57.2Close in, stop loss57,7, Objective56.5-56.3；
　　
　　2Suggestions56.0Close in, stop loss55.5, Objective56.8-57.0；
　　
Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.  
　　
　　投资的首要原则是规避风险，如果不能规避风险，那么赚3单的钱，一单就会还回去了，得不偿失，任何一个人的成功都有其方法，而投资交易也必有其原则，积少成多、以小搏大是交易的根本。而有很多人却忘记了初衷，把利益看在眼前，却把风险挂在墙上，其实一个成功的投资者所依靠的并不是一门独特的技术指标，也不是非常精准的技术面的分析，而是具备正确的操作理念和方法，尊重趋势顺势操作，避免武断、茫然，积小胜为大胜。
　　
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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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