Li Dingyuan:10.28今日开盘黄金是涨是跌？周一金价行情走势分析及操作建议

　　接下来的一周，将迎来一个“超级周”，美国方面，首先是美国三季度GDP数据，其次是美联储利率决议，最后是美国10月份非农就业报告；其他国家方面，加拿大央行利率决议、欧元区10monthCPI、欧元区三季度GDP、日本央行利率决议，也都需要投资者予以重点留意。当然，对于国际经贸局势和英国脱欧局势，投资者需要重点关注。此外，自周日(10month28day)起，欧洲国家开始实施冬令时，届时欧洲金融市场的交易时间将延后1个小时。自下周日(11month3day)起，北美地区进入冬令时，美国东部地区与北京的时差增加至13小时，美国和加拿大金融市场交易时间将较夏令时延后一小时；投资者需要对交易时间做相应的调整。
　　
　　个人观点：随着市场已消化美联储下周的降息预期，一旦美联储今年第三次降息，金价实际上会发生什么变化？本周gold和白银的短期技术形态明显改善——日线图上的短期价格下跌趋势被否定，这正吸引基于技术面操作的买家进场。此外，疲弱的经济数据扶助金价升穿1500美元，因交易员担心经济成长放缓，开始消化更多的降息。鼎缘认为美联储周三的声明是下周值得关注的关键事件，他们谨慎地认为，市场可能预期美联储主席会发出不切实际的鸽派论调。美联储降息在很大程度上已被黄金市场消化，这意味着任何鹰派暗示都可能推低金价。

　　

Gold Market Analysis
　　
　　国际现货黄金亚市早盘开于1503.4dollar/盎司后短暂下跌，美元/盎司后多头小幅上攻，金价温和上涨。欧市金价涨跌不定，陷入盘整之中，多空胶着。美市金价大幅反弹，盘中见大力拉升，金价直线上升，不断刷新前高，录得日内高点1517.70dollar/盎司后跳水，金价直线下坠，倒V反转，几乎回吐日内涨幅，录得日内低点1500.15dollar/盎司后企稳，小幅反弹后再度小幅转跌，终收于1504.30dollar/盎司的低位。如果金价面临突破1,525美元，那么我们可能会看到金价很快回落至1480美元。如果阻力确实打破，那么我们可以看到价格在1575USD.
　　
　　从技术上看，黄金多头在突破1510阻力位后，吸引了技术性买家，但未能守住此关口，不过总体具有近期技术面优势，日线图上有一条长达六周的下降趋势线也开始扭转。多头近期的目标是持稳在1500大关并攻克1520的阻力位；空头的目标则是控制金价在1500大关下方，并拉低至1450的关口。第一阻力位为1520USD, followed by1525美元。第一支撑位在隔夜低点1500.36美元；其次是1490USD.
　　
　　国际黄金短线操作建议：
　　
　　1Gold advice1518Short on the front line, stop loss1523, Objective1500-1495；
　　
　　2Gold advice1494Long on the front line, stop loss1489, Objective1499-1502；
　　
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　　crude oilquotations analysis
　　
　　原油技术面来分析，日线上看，周五原油受市场消息提振，延续上一交易日涨势，盘中创新高56.7美元，原油再经过漫长周期的连阴回撤后，终于崛起，当前MA均线走出双金叉形态，各项指标倾向于多头；4小时上看，就如鼎缘在前面说的，4小时图上，一步一个台阶，当每创一个新高都会落入震荡，震荡完毕后再次上涨，当前布林带开口形态，MA均线呈多头形态，KDJRandom indicators with three lines up,MACD指标顶背离，快慢线平行向前，综合来看，原油在周五创下新高，短期内会走入一个震荡趋势，会有短期回撤，但整体看涨不变。
　　
Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:
　　
　　1Suggestions for crude oil55.6Long on the front line, stop loss55.1, Objective56.3-56.8；
　　
　　2Suggestions for crude oil57.2Short on the front line, stop loss57.7, Objective56.7-56.4；

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