Li Dingyuan:10.24黄金震荡上行原油强势反弹遇阻压力今日金油操作建议

Wednesday(10month23day)纽约时段盘中，现货金价维持震荡攀升的走势，但日内金价仍然被限制在1500美元整数关口下方。来自英国脱欧的避险消息给金价带来支撑，同时美联储的降息预期，全球经济放缓的担忧情绪继续支撑金价。美联储将在北京时间下周四凌晨2点公布最新的利率决议，目前美联储已经进入决议之前的噤声期，市场仍在对美联储10月降息的预期进行定价。这种降息预期，对金价也构成支撑。分析认为，下周即将公布的美联储利率决议最有可能的情形仍是降息25个基点，同时美联储可能会继续强调全球经济增长和国际贸易局势对于前景的风险，且美联储很有可能会承认通胀仍低于目标水平。
　　
Yesterday,gold因市场对于脱欧事件的避险担忧，导致多头遭遇小幅刺激而走高。但是整体而言，黄金也只是企稳于1490之上，并未过度爆发以及进一步冲击千五大关，由此可见，多头动力当下也顶多只能说是苦苦支撑黄金，要想进一步爆发，还需其他消息面刺激才行。而且，就此事看来，脱欧一事并不能给黄金带来什么实质性的影响。对此，晟富也是奉劝各位无需过度关注此事。
　　
　　那么对于今日而言，脱欧的影响已经结束。而避险情绪来看，也获得了消退。再加上贸易事件的良好谈判以及美解除对土国的制裁，市场避险情绪无疑是获得了大幅消散。这一点无疑是利空黄金的。而且，美元大跌97而不破也得到了回升，美经济数据来看，之前的低迷也已经过去，这相对也是进一步对黄金造成了打压。而黄金冲高1496一线止步，多头败退相对也会导致市场空军增强。种种情况来看，黄金非跌不可。对此，各位切记，在市场并未有新的利好黄金消息面爆发之前，切勿做多或者追多，围绕反弹做空为主。

　　

　　10.24黄金行情最新走势分析：
　　
　　黄金市场需要新的催化因素来突破，无论多还是空。李鼎缘认为，1500dollar/盎司有着很强的阻力，而下行支撑则在1480to1475dollar/盎司区域。短期黄金在等待这一因素的到来，如果迟迟不能突破1500关口，那么黄金可能进一步走低，下行看向1470。上行突破1500后，则能看向1515to1525dollar/盎司。李鼎缘个人认为市场应当关注1480dollar/盎司的关键支撑水平，一旦这一水平被跌破，那么将出现技术面抛售。
　　
　　尽管对下周美联储降息的预期已经上升到93.5%，但降息的预期在金价高于1500美元时已经被市场消化。在金价未能突破1500美元的心理价位后，这反过来激励了抛售潮。日线图上看，金价继续呈现窄幅整理格局，MACDThe green kinetic energy column remains unchanged,KDJ随机指标转而走高，指示黄金多头蠢蠢欲动，接下来或继续展开反弹。4小时图上看，金价展开温和反弹，MACD红色动能柱显现并扩大，KDJ随机指标转而大幅走高，指示黄金反弹动能强化，料进一步扩大上行空间。李鼎缘综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1497-1502Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1485-1487Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1、建议：黄金上方反弹不破1497Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1488frontline;
　　
　　2、建议：黄金下方回调不破1485Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1493frontline;
　　
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　　10.24crude oil行情最新走势分析：
　　
　　美国能源情报署周二表示，随着美国原油产量和出口量的增长，美国向世界各地出售原油的目的地数量已经超过了进口原油的国家数量。周二受OPEC或许会在12月大会上讨论延长减产时间或加大减产力度等消息的影响，油价走高。但美国原油产量和出口量的增加将会减弱OPEC减产效果。由于贸易前景的乐观，提振原油价格大幅的上扬，但是全球经济增长放缓，抑制原油的需求。欧佩克能否在12月之后继续延长减产同样值得关注。
　　
　　原油日线图来看，昨日油价回落冲高，最终还是守住了李鼎缘了所说的53.0整数关口的支撑收下阳K线，终止了此前的二连阴下行的趋势!均线指标依旧是交织运行，MACD指标金叉开始逐步向上开口运行，红色能量柱开始放量；KDJ指标则是金叉运行，不过依旧是有成死叉的可能性；李鼎缘认为油价主要还是看震荡，但当前还是有震荡上行的趋势！上方初步阻力则是上个交易日高点56.6附近，进一步阻力则是20Weekly moving average58.3的压制，同时该位置还是100日均线所在的位置；下方初步支撑则是10Daily moving average and20Daily moving average53.80附近，进一步支撑则是昨日低点53.3Nearby, in addition5Daily moving average54.0附近也存在一定支撑。李鼎缘综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注56.6-56.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below54.8-55.0Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
　　
　　1、建议：原油上方反弹不破56.6Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target55.8frontline;
　　
　　2、建议：原油下方回调不破55.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target56.0frontline;

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Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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