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Qin Zixin:10.24黄金持续震荡上行,1498不破必将下跌果断空!

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Wednesday(10month23day)纽约时段盘中,现货金价维持震荡攀升的走势,但日内金价仍然被限制在1500美元整数关口下方。来自英国脱欧的避险消息给金价带来支撑,同时美联储的降息预期,全球经济放缓的担忧情绪继续支撑金价,一些投资者转向gold避险,而有关各国央行将进一步放松货币政策的预期进一步支撑了金价。
Qin Zixin:10.24黄金持续震荡上行,1498不破必将下跌果断空!651 / author:Qin Zixin / PostsID:1499119

Message interpretation:
  
Local time22日,英国议会否决了约翰逊“脱欧”协议立法时间表,这意味着英国月底“脱欧”的计划落空,而提前大选或成解决危机的唯一途径。英国议会下院22日晚围绕“脱欧”举行两场关键投票。第一场投票原则上通过了“脱欧”协议相关法案,但第二场投票否决了首相约翰逊为推动协议尽快通过而制定的立法时间表。这意味着英国“脱欧”第三次延期的可能性大增。约翰逊被迫延期脱欧,增加了市场的不确定性,激发了市场的避险情绪提振金价打压了英镑。
  
  美联储将在北京时间下周四凌晨2点公布最新的利率决议,目前美联储已经进入决议之前的噤声期,市场仍在对美联储10月降息的预期进行定价。在9月会议纪要上,美联储承认“经济活动前景的下行风险有所增加,特别是源于国际贸易局势不确定性。”如果9月份降息是由于对国际贸易政前景不确定性的担忧,基于那些不确定性转化为实际经济结果的下降,可以证明10月的降息是合理的。这种降息预期,对金价也构成支撑。
  
  全球宏观经济环境的不利因素是企业首席财务官和财务总监关注的焦点。尽管摩根大通认为近期不会发生衰退,但是未来几个季度的全球增速或将放缓,我们预计2019年全球增长率为2.7%,2020The year will decrease to2.5%。这将是自全球金融危机以来的最缓慢增速。全球经济放缓的担忧情绪也是金价的支撑!
Qin Zixin:10.24黄金持续震荡上行,1498不破必将下跌果断空!528 / author:Qin Zixin / PostsID:1499119

Gold market analysis:
  
The daily chart continues to oscillate in the cycle of yin and yang, with small yang and small yin entitiesKThe line is smaller. Previous interval1498-1477Continuously fluctuate internally, and continue to observe fluctuations without breaking the range in the short term. And as time goes on. The defensive point of the downward trend line in the daily chart has shifted from the previous one1508Move down to1502附近,压力下移越来越低。整理时间越来越长,破位区间的机率也在加大,是向上突破还是蓄势下破?有待进一步确认。不过因为全球央行在全球经济放缓的情况下进一步下调了利率,美联储关于进一步降息的预期越发的明显,在中期走势上对于金价带来支撑,所以在美联储决议未发表前黄金很难走出较大的跌势,反而在脱欧告一段落后有走上涨预期的可能。
  
  4小时图上看,金价展开温和反弹,MACD红色动能柱显现并扩大,KDJ随机指标转而大幅走高,指示黄金反弹动能强化,料进一步扩大上行空间。目前黄金在昨日延续慢涨之后获得支撑仍旧处于反弹走势,能否延续需要关注1498-And above1500压制。若不能有效突破,黄金还是会跌落。上方短期重点关注1495one1498线阻力,下方短期重点关注1485-1480一线支撑。短线操作上,早盘反弹1496-98再空,若是破位1498则看1500阻力关口,目标看向1490-88!多单则回落1485附近尝试继续多!
Qin Zixin:10.24黄金持续震荡上行,1498不破必将下跌果断空!482 / author:Qin Zixin / PostsID:1499119

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  黄金回调至1483-1485Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1490-1495frontline;
  
  黄金反弹至1496-1498Short nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1490-1485frontline;
  
  行情虽然震荡反复,但是反复之中有规律,压力支撑位置就是我们进出场的关键依据!没有经历过交易洗礼的朋友,你们也未必能看懂。当然在交易之余,我也会公布一些适用的技术指标和盘面解读,帮助你们快速的了解这个市场,把握K线背后的语言!
  
Message from Zixin:
  
Reading ten thousand books is not as good as traveling ten thousand miles, traveling ten thousand miles is not as good as reading countless people, reading countless people is not as good as leading the way by famous masters, and leading the way by famous masters is not as good as leading the way by famous masters. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Follow Qin Zixin for more investment insights,Grasp the trend and help you make steady profits!
  
Author: Qin Zixin
  
  V-Letter:QZX322  WeChat official account: Qin Zixin
  
Author's Message: Investment carries risks  Be cautious when entering the market
  
Writing time:2019/10/23
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