美黄金消息面:Last Friday(10month18day),金价持稳,因美元走软,英国可能无协议脱欧、贸易不确定性,以及对全球经济放缓的担忧使黄金价格保持在周线小幅上涨的轨道上。纽约商品交易所12The price of gold futures for monthly delivery has fallen4.20USD, decline0.3%, received at1494.10dollar/盎司;上周黄金期货价格累计上涨约0.4%。黄金上周的走势不尽人意,金价始终未能上破1500USD.Kitco最新的每周黄金调查显示,尽管普通市场投资者短期仍看好金价会上涨,但是华尔街人士预计金价会在本周下跌。
Commodity Futures Trading Commission of the United States(CFTC)最新公布的持仓报告显示,投资者看空黄金的情绪十分浓厚。截至10month15日当周,投机者持有的黄金投机性净多头减少了22535Hand to253027手合约。其中空头仓位增加了7523Hand to66343手,增幅为8month27日以来最大,当前空头仓位数量已达到今年6The highest level since the beginning of the month.
本周,英国脱欧的后续发展仍将是市场的焦点,一旦本周英国议会否决了新版脱欧协议,硬脱欧风险增大,市场避险情绪可能会升温,从而刺激金价,尤其是以英镑和欧元计价的黄金价格势必大幅走高。不过亦有分析认为,黄金走势可能更多的是受贸易局势影响。
此外,本周投资者仍需关注经济数据,特别是法国、德国、欧元区制造业PMIData and the United StatesMarkitManufacturing and service industriesPMI数据,任何不及预期的数据都将推升市场的恐慌情绪,助燃金价的上涨。 Technical aspects of Meijin:从日线上来看,上周前期止跌1480回调后陷入震荡,布林带三轨走势平缓,MA5/MA10The moving average shows a dead cross and flattens to the right,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5、MA10Between moving averages,MACD快慢线交死叉逐步向右绿色动能缩量,KDJ三线呈死叉平缓收口右行,日图行情趋势震荡;4小时图上,布林带微幅收口,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉缓和运行,K线交投于布林中轨上方,MACD快慢线呈金叉缓和上行红色动能缩量,KDJ三线呈死缓和下行,金价短线行情偏震荡。
综合来看,今日日内操作上建议区间内低多为主,高空为辅。上方初步阻力在1501Further resistance1505,下方初步支撑在1484Further support on1480。 美黄金(1912Contract trading strategy
1Above1501Short term short selling, stop loss4USD, target1492-1493Nearby;
2Below1484-1486短线做多,止损4USD, target1500/1505Near. Reading instructions: Investment carries risks, and trading requires caution. This analysis is provided by the Futures Gold Strategy and is for reference only. It is not intended as the final basis for placing orders.