Li Dingyuan:10.19下周黄金还会跌吗？周一金价行情走势分析及操作建议

A big market implies a big opportunity, and many people will strive for it. However, high profits are accompanied by high risks. Seizing it can lead to substantial profits, but not seizing it can lead to liquidation. So after each major market trend, there will always be a group of customers who sell out, because the larger the market trend, the harder it is to grasp the fluctuations. Never go against the market trend. It is taboo to go against the market trend. You cannot defeat the entire market alone, just follow the trend. The market is ever-changing, and even strong analysts cannot guarantee to get all the market trends. The friends I work with are built on trust, and it is impossible to joke about their money just because they cannot grasp the market accurately. That is irresponsible to customers and also undermines oneself. In spot trading, due to the use of leverage in the market, high returns are accompanied by high risks. Therefore, in the process of trading, it not only requires us to have a strong sense of risk, but also requires us to master basic technology, have a good mentality, and a series of methods that can help us succeed in trading.
　　
Message: Friday(10month18day)美市盘中，美元指数全面下跌，最低触及97.40，创下逾两个月以来的最低水平。近期以来，美国经济数据恶化，再加上美联储进一步宽松的预期，使得美元持续遭遇打压。在美元承压下跌之际，现货gold也小幅下跌，英国脱欧协议的达成使得市场风险情绪回升，不过疲弱的经济数据使得黄金的跌幅受到抑制。展望美元后市前景，李鼎缘分析认为，美元指数的月线图表形态显示，在超卖区出现顶背离，令行情面临巨大的下跌风险。
　　
　　货币市场预期美联储在10month30日会议上降息的可能性为82%。达拉斯联储主席表示，非常支持美联储7Month and9月的降息。美联储的行动应该是有限的、适度的、克制的。他还表示，美联储不会在“全面降息周期”中，将以“更有限、更克制的方式”进行适当的调整。“全球经济增速正在下降，美国对全球经济放缓并不具有免疫性。近期的预测是目前至2020年年底前只降息一次。美联储则表示，降息可能会刺激金融风险、损害经济，目前的观点是并不呼吁降息。

　　

　　下周黄金走势分析：技术面来看，中线留意日线布林线轨道1472-1523.Regional breakthrough situation; Short term attention1477-1503区域突破情况，分别是近一周的低点支撑和高点阻力。目前MACDandKDJ的信号较弱，由于金价守住了布林线下轨支撑，若顶破布林线中轨1498.21附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；1557-1459Downtrend50%回撤位阻力和下行趋势线阻力在1508.附近。李鼎缘认为若金价跌破周三低点1477附近支撑，则增加短线看空信号；短线的话，隔夜低点1483.附近也形成了一些支撑。
　　
Short line4小时留意布林线轨道1480-1498区域突破情况。目前布林线轨道水平运行，上轨对金价形成压制，，KDJ死叉运行，留意布林线中轨1489附近支撑，关注这个若失守该支撑，则可能会重新试探布林线下轨1480附近支撑。不过，MACD金叉信号仍在，若强势顶破布林线上轨1498附近阻力，则有望重新上探1519Nearby resistance;1503and1511附近也存在一些阻力。综合来看，下周一操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　周一黄金开盘操作建议：
　　
　　1Callback1484Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1495-1497；
　　
　　2Rebound1498Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1490-1488；
　　
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Four key elements to note when making an order:
　　
　　1Trend is always the king of steady profits, follow the trend, and the day when going against the trend will eventually lead to losses, go against the trend and die.
　　
　　2Every time you place an order, be sure to enter the market with a light weight and gradually increase your position to avoid losses caused by sudden issuance.
　　
　　3Every transaction must have a strict stop loss, do not arbitrarily amplify the stop loss or do not set a stop loss.
　　
　　4What you need is not just a good suggestion, but also a good mindset!
　　
The entry point for investment relies on technical analysis, followed by mentality, position management, and luck. The emergence, maintenance, and expansion of profits rely on mobile stop loss and stop profit.
　　
Investment is originally a self-cultivation, with only a starting point and no ending. For example, when cutting an onion, you always close your eyes, thinking that you won't shed tears, but when you cut it, you still cry. Investment is not worth it. Carrying it alone, you think you can get through today, but tomorrow's wind and rain still wipe away all your extravagant hopes. So, the highest investment level: strict stop loss, refusal to resist orders, in order to get your share of wealth.
　　
　　从你看到鼎缘文章起，恭喜你开始走上投资理财轨道，相信我们不仅是投资理财的良师益友，还是生活中的知己朋友。做单需要勇气，持单需要分析!Success does not rely on luck, choice is greater than effort!Win once with the right market, win once with the right person!You win and I accompany you to conquer the world, watching a prosperous era;If you lose, I will accompany you and help you rise again.
　　
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Comprehensive guidance teacher: Li Dingyuan Analysis Team
　　
Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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