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Zhou Hongjin:10.18周线收官黄金能否收复千五?黄金原油晚间行情走势交易策略

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  10month18日(周五)现货gold企稳于1490关口,美元指数依旧持投于近两个月的低位水平,而美国疲弱的经济数据重燃对经济放缓的担忧,以及对新英国脱欧协议可能面临的风险的担忧浮现,机构表示,地缘政治紧张局势再度升温,美联储可能继续降息,这将对金价构成支撑,而经贸尚未传来更多消息,美国近期多项经济数据疲软,投资者对经济衰退的担忧挥之不去,这提升了黄金的避险吸引力。国际油价震荡走低,近期油价低位徘徊,美油在50-55区间波动,整体上受到需求前景悲观,经贸局势充满不确定性,脱欧有限提振的几大影响,而美国库存数据也释放出不同的信号,APIcrude oil库存大增逾千万桶,而EIA原油库存增加,但汽油库存减少382.3010000 barrels, reduced inventory of refined oil256.20万桶,成品油库存大幅下滑支撑了油价。
  

  Gold trend analysis:
  
  美联储降息预期的升温,美元的走弱给金价提供支撑;不过英国首相和欧盟达成初步协议,避险情绪不高,周六将迎来英国议会投票,不确定性较大,市场观望情绪较浓,金价暂时处于震荡走势,留意1480-1500区域突破情况。
  
  日线来看,震荡;中线留意布林线轨道1472.78-1523.80Regional breakthrough situation; Short term attention1477.11-1503.24区域突破情况,分别是近一周的低点支撑和高点阻力。目前MACDandKDJ的信号较弱,由于金价守住了布林线下轨支撑,若顶破布林线中轨1498.29附近阻力,则增加短线看涨信号;1557-1459Downtrend50%回撤位阻力和下行趋势线阻力在1508.25附近。鸿ㅣ金认为若金价跌破周三低点1477.10附近支撑,则增加短线看空信号。 短线的话,隔夜低点1483.50附近也形成了一些支撑。
  
  4小时来看,震荡;留意布林线轨道1480.39-1498.22区域突破情况。目前布林线轨道水平运行,上轨对金价形成压制,KDJ有死叉趋势,留意布林线中轨1489.30附近支撑,关注3268735920若失守该支撑,则可能会重新试探布林线下轨1480.39附近支撑。不过,MACD金叉信号仍在,若强势顶破布林线上轨1498.22附近阻力,则有望重新上探1519.65Nearby resistance;1503.24and1511.47附近也存在一些阻力。综合来看,今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可;
  
  Focus on resistance above:1498.23;1503.24;1508.25;
  
Pay attention to support below:1489.30;1483.50;1477.10;
  

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Callback1489Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1498-1500;
  
  2Rebound1500Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1490-1488;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
  
  Analysis of crude oil trend:
  
  美国成品油库存降幅大于预期,美元指数大幅走弱,共同给油价提供支撑;而且英国若有序脱欧也避免需求面受到进一步冲击,这给油价上涨提供了机会。若无新的利空消息出来,短线油价存在震荡上攻的机会。
  
  日线来看,低位震荡;KDJGolden fork,MACD也初步结成金叉,短线油价偏向震荡上攻,初步阻力在20Daily moving average54.24附近,上周高点阻力在54.93Nearby,100Daily moving average resistance55.68Nearby,200Daily moving average resistance57.12附近。鸿ㅣ金认为若顶破200日均线,则增加中线看涨信号。下方10The daily moving average is supported by53.48附近,由于目前均线交织,短线看涨信号还比较若,若回落至10日均线下方,则削弱短线看涨信号。本周低点支撑在52.39附近,上周低点支撑在51.38Near.
  
  4小时来看,震荡;布林线收口,留意布林线轨道52.48-54.13Regional breakthroughs; at presentMACDandKDJ金叉,略微偏向震荡上破。鸿ㅣ金认为若油价失守布林线中轨53.31附近支撑,则削弱向上突破的可能性。综合来看,短线走势变数较大,失守53.31前,略微偏向震荡上攻;所以今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
  
  Focus on resistance above:54.24;54.93;55.68;
  
Pay attention to support below:53.31;52.48;51.38;
  

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
  
  1Rebound54.9Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.5-53.3;
  
  2Callback53.3Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.6-54.8;
  
  盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准,添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
  
  1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
  
  2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
  
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  4、关于解ㄒ:因为周鸿金不知你的ㄒ单点位、仓位风险等具体ㄒ单情况,不能给出相应的解ㄒ策略。那么有需要的朋友可以咨询周鸿金或者关注“周鸿金”在此本人还是建议各位投资朋友以后做单不要抗单,仓位不要过重,避免下次再ㄒ,不是每次都是可以成功解ㄒ,不是每次都顺心如意,每一次的做单是应该有计划的做单,详情解ㄒ思路周鸿金将会在实盘实时在线给出,风险掌控及后续方案将会做出规划。
  
  鸿金寄语-----
  
  这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了,从满怀希望入市,到损失惨重害怕入场,亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有,或许真的不适合这个市场,无论从实力上,还是心态上,都不能做好,一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师,也以亏损告终,继续待在市场不开心,离开市场不甘心,这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。任何投资都是有一定风险的,要么不做,要做就做出一番名堂出来。那么在投资的道路上,我给不了你太多温暖,我只能让你找回自信,我给不了太多安慰,我只能从操作中让你学到经验,我给不了太多虚假的承诺,我只能在实战中让你读懂市场规律。没有不成功的投资,只有不成功的操作;订阅关注-恭粽耗“周鸿金”(薇-corezh66646)获取最新资讯、每日行情走势分析、交易策略指导。
  
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