Zhou Hongjin:10.16美元下滑黄金重挫，今日原油黄金行情走势解析及策略

　　花是浇死的，鱼是撑死的，人是气死的!人生在世，每个人或多或少都有自己的脾气，每每遇到不愉快时，无名的愤怒之火会迅速占据大脑，发飙生气完全不受控制。但不管因何生气，到头来受伤的还是自己。生活本来就有诸多烦恼，调整好自己的心态，学会享受当下才是最重要的。因市场行情而生气，最终受伤的还是账户，而对它只能温柔以待，任何暴戾和执拗终将被反馈回来，这就是市场的敬畏之处。
　　10month15日美元下滑，英镑兑美元触及1.28关口，跃升至5月中以来的最高水平，此前有报道称，英国和欧盟的官员已接近达成脱欧协议；日元表现垫底，美元兑日元创下8month1日以来新高。现货goldOnce fell more than1%, refresh day as low as1477.29dollar/盎司，振了投资者对股票的需求，风险偏好上升，投资者转向风险较高的资产。油价连续第二天下跌，因全球经济增长前景疲弱且全球最大经济体crude oil供应充裕。
　　COMEX 12Monthly goldfuturesClosing down0.9%Report1483.50dollar/Ounces, creating9month30The market has closed at a new low since the beginning of the day.WTI 11Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.78USD, decline1.46%Report52.81dollar/Barrel; Brent12Monthly crude oil futures closed lower0.61USD, decline1.03%Report58.74dollar/Bucket.

　　

　　Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　周二金价走弱，纽约商品交易所12The price of gold futures for monthly delivery has fallen14.10USD, with a decline of0.9%, received at1483.50dollar/Ounces, creating9month30日以来收盘新低；因风险偏好上升提振了投资者对股票的需求，投资者转向风险较高的资产，美国三大主要stock market index齐齐上涨。
　　
　　技术面来看，继续留意布林线轨道1474.44-1523.70区域突破情况；日线图MACDBonding,KDJ重新结成死叉，在顶破布林线中轨1499.06前，后市略微偏向震荡下行，隔夜低点支撑在1482.93Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports1474.44附近，该位置也接近上周低点，鸿ㅣ金认为若下破该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。进一步支撑在10month1Daily low point1459.14Nearby,7month19The daily high is supported by1453.09Nearby,1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1446.24附近。若金价顶破布林线中轨1499.06，并站在1500关口，则有望重新试探布林线上轨1523.70附近阻力。若强势进一步上破，则增加中线看涨信号。短线4hourMACDandKDJ金叉，短线偏向多头，鸿ㅣ金认为若顶破布林线中轨1496.05附近阻力，则有望再次上探布林线上轨1511.03附近阻力；短线的话，1503.24附近也存在一些阻力。由于目前布林线中轨对金价形成压制，KDJ也有结成死叉迹象，关注3268735920若金价回落至10average1492.1下方，则削弱短线看涨信号；布林线下轨支撑在1481.07附近，若进一步下破该支撑，则有望打开新的下行空间。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1489.82；1496.05；1501.07；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1480.37；1474.44；1470.00；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1475Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1488-1490；
　　
　　2Rebound1496Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1482-1480；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
　　
　　Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
　　原油价格连续第二天下跌，因全球经济增长前景疲弱且全球最大经济体原油供应充裕。解决经贸争端关键问题的希望有所减弱，抑制了能源需求前景；与此同时，国际货币基金组织(IMF)连续第五次下调2019年全球经济增长预期，也打压了市场信心。除此之外，投资者还关注美国供应增加。美国能源信息管理局预计，美国11月主要页岩油厂商的原油日产量增加5.810000 barrels to897Ten thousand barrels.
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartKDJGolden fork,MACD死叉但绿能开始萎缩，5Daily moving average10日均线结成金叉，短线走势变数较大，上方初步阻力在5Daily moving average53.66附近；进一步阻力在上周五高点54.93附近，布林线中轨阻力在55.54附近，该位置也是63.38-50.99Downtrend38.2%回撤位，鸿ㅣ金认为若意外顶破该阻力，则增加中线看涨信号；10Daily moving average53.14目前给油价提供支支持，若再次失守该位置则增加短线看空信号。短线4hourMACDDead fork,KDJ死叉但有结成金叉迹象，油价反弹收到布林线中轨53.47附近阻力压制，关注3268735920若不能有效收复该位置，则油价短线偏向进一步试探布林线下轨52.08附近支撑，若进一步下破，则可能会打开新的下行通道。布林线上轨阻力在54.86附近，若油价收复布林线中轨并意外顶破布林线上轨54.90附近阻力，则增加短线看涨信号；进一步阻力在38.2%Retreat position55.75Nearby, strong resistance56.84附近。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：53.66；54.93；55.54；
　　
Pay attention to support below:53.14；52.08；50.99；

　　

Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound53.9Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target52.7-52.5；
　　
　　2Callback52.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target53.4-53.6；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646获取实时策略及免费解ㄒ。
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
　　3Experience benefits: For investment friends who are interested in consulting and cooperating, it is convenient for mutual trust in future cooperation and can be experienced with screenshots of actual positions3Tian Shou Dan, you can choose whether to cooperate based on your earnings in the future! I believe this welfare is a good turning point opportunity for friends who have suffered long-term losses in the market and investors who have lost confidence. Whether you seize the opportunity depends on your choice.
　　
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