Li Dingyuan:10.15今日黄金行情走势如何？日内金价行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

　　国际黄金消息资讯解析：
　　
　　因市场对中美达成贸易协议前景的乐观情绪减弱，现货黄金周一(10month14day)Closing up4.24USD, increase0.28%, to1493.00dollar/盎司，前一交易日触及近两周低点1473.90dollar/ounce.
　　
　　黄金基本面利好因素：
　　
　　现货黄金周一(10month14day)小幅走高，美市盘中最高触及1497.00dollar/盎司，依然受困于1500美元关口，上周中美达成“相当实质性第一阶段协议”一度令黄金走势承压，但目前看来对风险情绪的积极影响正在消散，部分资金重回避险资产。与此同时，未来几天对于英国至为关键，英国正在为10month31日脱欧做准备，英国与欧盟周日表示，要确保达成英国退欧协议，还有许多工作需要完成。目前脱欧的不确定性依然较高，投资者情绪也再度紧张。周四（10month10The United States announced in Japan9Monthly CoreCPIMonth on month growth0.1%Expected growth0.2%；CPI环比持平，预期增长0.1%。有机构评论称，美国9monthCPI月率持平，潜在通胀回落，加上贸易局势导致经济前景面临风险，支撑了美联储将在10月进行第三次降息的预期。周三（10month9The United States announced in Japan8月批发销售月率为0, lower than the previous value0.3%和预期0.2%； U.S.A8月批发库存月率为0.2%，低于前值和预期0.4%，数据对市场影响不大。世界黄金协会（WGC）在周二发布的最新报告中称，全球黄金支持的交易所买卖产品的持有量超过了2012年的水平，并在9月创下历史新高。9monthETF持有量增加了75.2吨，总计2808Tons.WGC表示：“在全球央行实行宽松货币政策的背景下，持续的地缘政治不确定性，包括迫在眉睫的英国脱欧期限和中东紧张局势以及国会的动荡加剧，全球黄金需求在整个月中依然强劲。”周二（10month8The United States announced in Japan9月生产者物价指数年率为1.4%，低于前值和预期1.8%，月率创八个月来最大跌幅。机构评论称，受商品和服务成本减少影响，这或将给予美联储本月再次降息的空间，以限制贸易局势和全球经济增速放缓导致对经济增速的拖累。
　　
　　黄金基本面利空因素：
　　
Friday（10month11The United States announced in Japan9月进口物价指数年率为-1.6%Compared to previous values-2%和预期-2.1%有所上升，好于预期，美股受到提振；除去石油在内的其它商品价格走低，这表明进口通胀或仍受抑。美国9月出口物价指数年率为-1.6%Compared to previous values-1.4%有所下降。美国10月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值为96, higher than the previous value93.2和预期92，对美股也形成利好。周四（10month10日）公布的美国上周季调后初请失业金人数为21万人，低于前值和预期21.9万人，机构评论称，美国当周初请失业金人数意外录得下滑，表明尽管经济增速转向温和，雇佣速度有所放缓，劳动力市场仍然保持强劲态势。此前初请失业金人数连续三周录得增加，可能是因为通用汽车罢工事件导致。尽管失业率处于低位，但经济增速走低的环境也使得劳动力市场对劳动力需求有所放缓。周五（10month4日）公布的重磅数据9月非农新增录得13.6Ten thousand,8月新增上修至16.8万，使得9月非农不及前值和预期。然而失业率挫至3.5%成为意外的喜讯但薪资增幅环比停滞的表现暗示通胀没有抬头。周五（9month27The United States announced in Japan8月耐用品订单较7Monthly increase0.2%，高出预期，预期为下降1.0%。8月个人收入上升0.4%，符合预期；

　　

Analysis of the latest trends in international gold:
　　
　　黄金上周四的抛售完全符合预期，也没有让人失望，在支撑位附近收盘，这导致了周五的小反弹，如果反弹足够远的话，1510美元应该是这次反弹的顶部。金价收于1500美元下方，证实了金价试探近期低点1460美元的可能性。我们的第一个目标是1440美元，但要知道黄金不会直线下跌。一个简单的事实是，黄金已经连续创下新低，而且还会继续。然而，与此同时，地缘避险紧张局势对黄金提供了一定程度的支持，上周五对伊朗油轮的打击充分提醒人们，中东一切都不好。因此，李鼎缘认为风险偏向下行，但显然有几种相互矛盾的力量正在使价格走势波动。
　　
　　从技术面来看，日图显示，黄金本周反弹在9月以来下行趋势线受阻回落，直接跌穿布林带中轨1500以及重要支撑1485，发出了将跌幅扩大的初步信号，特别是如果有效下破布林带下轨（1470附近），那么基本上可以确认黄金将迎来更大的跌幅。上行方面来看，如果金价反弹，则关注1495附近阻力，若出现上破该水平的反弹，则走势可能继续陷于区间震荡。从4小时图上看，金价暂于低位窄幅整理交投，MACD绿色动能柱略微缩窄，KDJ随机指标温和走高，指示黄金短线下跌动能暂缓，或展开小幅反弹。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1500-1502Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1482-1484Frontline support.
　　
Latest operating suggestions for gold:
　　
　　1Gold rebounded above1500-1502Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1492-1494frontline;
　　
　　2The price of gold has fallen below1482-1484Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1492-1494frontline;
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

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