刘煜贤：下周黄金趋势分析报告

　　本周初gold试图反弹走强，但是最后两个交易日出现大幅回落。因为虽然中东地缘风险以及美元下滑等因素提供支持，但是由于风险偏好情绪主导了金融市场，避险需求下滑令黄金价格严重受挫。
　　
　　黄金今年以来之所以涨幅突出，主要的驱动之一就是贸易紧张关系引发的避险需求。但是进入9月后，市场不断憧憬中美将取得贸易谈判进展，避险需求开始减弱，而至近日新一轮谈判开始，最新一些迹象显示的乐观预期大幅提振市场情绪，投资者不但减少了避险买盘，并且开始清理避险头寸。根据周五的报道，特朗普表示谈判进展非常顺利，受此影响风险资产普涨而包括黄金在内的避险资产全线走低。
　　
　　如果此次果真达成一定程度的贸易协定，料给全球市场风险偏好带来提振，而黄金这类资产可能遭遇负反馈式的下跌。即目前还只是乐观预期导致的避险头寸解除，而一旦价格大幅下滑，那么此前拥挤的多头可能争相平仓引发踩踏，届时或迎来更趋势性的回调。
　　
　　尽管贸易谈判取得进展以及欧盟峰会将落实最终的脱欧协议，但是美联储将从10month15日开始每月购债600亿，以及中东局势进一步升级，这些多空交织的基本因素，将对下周黄金购债重要的影响。此外，市场预期美联储年底再次降息将对黄金中长期构成利多。因此，下周预期黄金先跌后涨的可能性较大。
　　
　　技术上，黄金收盘于1488The support pressure level is much lower at high altitude, and the pressure level is much lower1490, support position1470，本周周一1509Short to1503Tuesday1498做多到1505，周三早间1504做多到1510In the evening1504and1501做多到1516。周四1508Stop loss1503In the evening1503Short to1495。周五晚间1495Short to1488In the evening1481,1486继续做空收割1475。截止目前本周共计盈利51个点，止损一单。自己看博客以及学员群，全在计划之中。
　　
　　技术图黄金本周反弹在9月以来下行趋势线受阻回落，直接跌穿1500以及重要支撑1480，发出了将跌幅扩大的初步信号，特别是如果有效下破1470，那么基本上可以确认黄金将迎来更大的跌幅。而若反弹，则关注1490短线压制，若出现上破则走势可能继续陷于之前的区间范围内。
　　
Short term operation, refer to the following:
　　
　　1，压力位1490，1497，1503support level1480，1470，1460
　　
If you have any difficult or complicated symptoms, you can add an author for consultation! The trading of nine gold and ten silver is currently underway, and the actual price has been made public. We are not seeking perfection, but rather a clear conscience and a return on long-term trust.
　　
WeChat announced the current price list in advance,17Investors who have lost tens of thousands of dollars are on the road to recoup their losses!
　　
After passing through17After a loss of ten thousand US dollars, Mr. Li did not lose confidence in the market, but chose to believe in Liu Yuxian and invest in gold2.1Ten thousand dollars to keep up with the operation, making a profit in less than a week2.3Ten thousand US dollars, for the purpose of capital turnover, I choose to withdraw the principal first. Leaving profits to continue operating, you may have doubts about how it is possible to double in a week, but the fact is that out of ten orders, five were announced by Liu Yuxian in advance on WeChat. We have a track to follow in every order we operate, and it is not just a pipe dream! Every day, the current price list is announced and friends in need can follow. My daily analysis of thoughts is all on WeChat, and Pengyouquan fully publishes transactions in real time. Join us to searchV：lyx201037663
　　
Liu Yuxian
　　
　　10.12(Writing)