Li Dingyuan:10.11今日黄金还会跌吗？今日黄金行情走势分析及操作建议

PerplexinggoldIt is always full of surprises and changes, and many people always lose their direction in the complex market. In this rising and falling market, it is difficult to firm their own thinking. When operating trading, it is necessary to control risks well, strengthen their own thinking, stop losses in a timely manner when wrong, and persist in holding near the target. Don't follow the crowd and be afraid of making mistakes, which can lead to confusion and distorted operations. My name is Li Dingyuan. Any market is also following the laws of nature; Survival of the fittest survival of the fittest, one think two do three success, one wait two see three fail; Thinking is the problem, doing is the answer; Lose in hesitation, win in action!

　　

　　影响黄金消息资讯解读：
　　
Thursday（10month10日）公布的CPI环比在9月份涨幅不及预期，因二手车成本创出一年最大跌幅。美联储官员讲话称担忧美国经济状况，但会根据实际情况决定是否支持降息。CPI数据不及预期或成为美联储第三次降息的理由。数据公布之后，现货金价短线小幅冲高后迅速下挫8美元。而后受贸易紧张局势缓解影响，现货黄金跌破1500USD.
　　
　　数据疲软增长不及预期，美国劳工部公布的数据显示，9月核心消费者价格指数环比上涨0.1%，不及经济学家预估中值。该指数同比增长2.4%，与预期和8月涨幅一致。整体CPI环比持平，同比增长1.7%，逊于预期。CPI数据弱于预期，反映了二手车价格环比下降1.6%的影响，新车成本连续第三个月下滑，跌幅为0.1%。服装价格下降0.4%, for4月以来首次下降。
　　
　　其他类别则比较坚挺。占CPI约三分之一的住房成本增长0.3%，跟踪租金价格的业主等效租金增长0.3%。劳工部CPI指标往往快于商务部的个人消费支出价格（PCE）指数，后者是美联储2%通胀目标的跟踪指标。美联储借助核心PCE来更好地了解基本价格趋势。核心PCE指数已经显示上涨迹象，8Monthly year-on-year growth1.8%, for1月以来最大涨幅。但CPI数据表现疲软，可能会加剧投资者对美联储10月份降息的押注。赞成降息的官员可能会认为通胀率超过美联储目标的可能性微乎其微，而贸易紧张局势可能还会持续一段时间。
　　
　　今日投资者将继续关注中|beautiful|冒|易谈判方面的最新进展。若谈判传出乐观消息，市场风险偏好情绪可能会进一步回升，从而继续打压金价。另一方面，若贸易谈判进展不顺，市场避险情绪料升温，这将推动金价反弹。
　　
　　今日重要事件及财经数据：(中国台湾证券交易所休市一日)14:00 Germany9monthCPI月率终值；16:00 China9monthM2货币供应年率；16:00 IEAMonthly announcementcrude oilMarket report;20:30 U.S.A9月进口物价指数月率；22:00 U.S.A10月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值；次日01:00 From the United States to10month11日当周石油钻井总数；次日01:15 美联储罗森格伦发表讲话

　　

　　现货黄金最新走势分析：
　　
　　金价从一周高点回落，因经贸紧张局势有所缓解，股市攀升且降息预期降温，美联储卡普兰让投资者的降息预期有所降温。钯金盘中触及纪录高位每盎司1706.11美元，有分析师指因供应不足。达拉斯联储主席卡普兰周四表示，我们正在进行的降息应受到限制，约束和适度，而不是开始一次全面的降息周期。
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDRandom indicators flatten out,KDJ有结成死叉的迹象，布林线中轨仍对金价形成压制；布林线开始收口，中轨略微向下，短线走势存在一定的变数；留意1487.04-1519.65区域突破情况，1487.04是过去四个交易日低点支撑，1519.65是上周高点阻力所。若上破1519.65阻力，则有望进一步试探布林线上轨1526.23附近阻力；初步阻力在5Daily moving average1498.61Nearby, further resistance30Daily moving average1504.95Nearby,1510Gateway and10month4Daily high point1515.02附近也分别存在一些阻力。鼎缘认为若下破1487.04附近支撑，则可能会重新试探10month1日多单1459.14附近支撑；短线4小时布林线轨道水平运行，KDJDead fork,MACD重新结成死叉，金价短线可能会重新震荡跌向布林线下轨，目前布林线下轨支撑在1489.67附近；李鼎缘认为若进一步下破，则有望打开较大的下行空间。不过，若金价收复林线中轨1501.69，并强势顶破布林线上轨1513.73附近阻力，则有望打开新的上涨通道。关注阻力：1501.69；1504.95；1510.00；关注支撑：1491.23；1489.59；1487.04；综合上述观点来看，今日操作思路上李鼎缘个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1489Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1498-1500；
　　
　　2Rebound1505Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1496-1494；
　　
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How to invest in gold steadily:
　　
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-The goal "is indispensable, and blind rampage will only make one's trading disorderly, and everyone can accept unclear profits. However, only traders who can summarize clear losses can go further! Investment is a balanced art. Only by understanding trade-offs and trade-offs can one be considered mature and not burdened by stubbornness. Investors who are still confused about it should not worry.
　　
If you can find me, I can help you:
　　
When the market is in a strong uptrend and sometimes rapidly falling, you cannot control the direction of the market. The only thing we can do is to keep the principal. When the market is uncertain, we can take our positions out of the market and wait and see. There is no need to waste our energy on unclear actions. Is the market up or down? The most important thing to worry about is what measures you will take to respond to market changes, how much profit you can make when you are right, and how much you can avoid when you are wrong. I hope Li Dingyuan's article can bring you small gains.

　　

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Analysis writer: Li Dingyuan  Wei-Core（ ldy86588） Official account (Li Dingyuan)
　　
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