Zhou Hongjin:10.11黄金冲高回落，原油低位反弹；黄金原油最新行情走势分析及操作建议

　　并不是所有的痛，都可以呐喊，也不是所有的爱，都可以表白，不要过分展现悲伤，因为，谁都没有比谁生活得容易。当金钱站起来说话时，所有真理都沉默了。交易远比想象的要残酷，对错都显得赤裸直接，任何时候都需要保持谨慎，每一次出手都经过反复斟酌再下定决心，不然只是激情当初有多感天动地，以后就有多万劫不复。面对远比想象的需要勇气，所以应该更加小心翼翼。
　　10month10日随着投资者对经贸前景和英国可能与欧盟达成脱欧协议的乐观人气升温，英镑兑美元创下3月中旬以来最大单日百分比涨幅，美元指数跌至两周低点，日元表现最弱。现货goldfall drastically1500美元，从一周高点回落超20美元，因经贸紧张局势缓解，股市攀升且降息预期降温。由于对经贸谈判感到乐观，美油一度涨2.62%, refreshing the highest point in the past three days to53.97dollar/桶，为逾三周来最大涨幅。

　　

　　Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　金价从一周高点回落，因经贸紧张局势有所缓解，股市攀升且降息预期降温，美联储卡普兰让投资者的降息预期有所降温。钯金盘中触及纪录高位每盎司1706.11美元，有分析师指因供应不足。达拉斯联储主席卡普兰周四表示，我们正在进行的降息应受到限制，约束和适度，而不是开始一次全面的降息周期。
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDRandom indicators flatten out,KDJ有结成死叉的迹象，布林线中轨仍对金价形成压制；布林线开始收口，中轨略微向下，短线走势存在一定的变数；留意1487.04-1519.65区域突破情况，1487.04是过去四个交易日低点支撑，1519.65是上周高点阻力所。若上破1519.65阻力，则有望进一步试探布林线上轨1526.23附近阻力；初步阻力在5Daily moving average1498.61Nearby, further resistance30Daily moving average1504.95Nearby,1510Gateway and10month4Daily high point1515.02附近也分别存在一些阻力。关注3268735920若下破1487.04附近支撑，则可能会重新试探10month1日多单1459.14附近支撑；短线4小时布林线轨道水平运行，KDJDead fork,MACD重新结成死叉，金价短线可能会重新震荡跌向布林线下轨，目前布林线下轨支撑在1489.67附近；鸿*金认为若进一步下破，则有望打开较大的下行空间。不过，若金价收复林线中轨1501.69，并强势顶破布林线上轨1513.73附近阻力，则有望打开新的上涨通道。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:1501.69；1504.95；1510.00；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1491.23；1489.59；1487.04；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Callback1489Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1498-1500；
　　
　　2Rebound1505Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1496-1494；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　由于对经贸谈判感到乐观，美油一度涨2.62%, refreshing the highest point in the past three days to53.97dollar/桶，创出逾三周最大涨幅。鸿*金认为，如果双方达成一个迷你经贸协议，以帮助实现更大的协议，这肯定对能源产品的预期需求是积极的。
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACD死叉但绿柱开始萎缩并有结成金叉迹象，KDJ金叉，油价在隔夜低点51.38附近获得支撑后成功收复10Daily moving average and5日均线，留意52.04-54.00区域突破情况，52.04是上周五低点支撑。鸿*金认为若上破54.00附近阻力，则增加短线见底信号，进一步阻力在10month1Daily high point54.84Nearby,9month25Resistance at daily low points55.55Nearby,38.2%Resistance to retreat position55.73nearby(near20Daily moving average)，强阻力在200Daily moving average56.78附近，关注3268735920该位置的得失可以为中线走势提供参考。若下破52.04附近支撑，则油价可能会重新试探上涨低点50.99附近支撑，甚至是8Monthly low point50.52附近支撑。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议低多为主，高空为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:54.00；54.84；55.55；
　　
Pay attention to support below:53.17；52.04；50.99；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Callback52.0Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target53.8-54.0；
　　
　　2Rebound54.8Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target53.4-53.2；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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