10.8本周操作切勿盲目追涨杀跌，今日黄金走势分析策略

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　　美联储官员卡什卡利表示，通货膨胀现象并没有因为工人们重返就业市场而有所好转。如果再次陷入经济衰退，采用QE将是合适的。经济面临众多风险，乐见美联储降息。

　　全美商业经济协会（NABE）在周一发布的一项调查显示，美国2020yearGDP增长将是自2016For the first time since the beginning of the year, it has fallen below2%。（之前对明年的普遍预期是2.1%，现在已经下降到1.8%。 ）

　　美国总统表示，希望看到大幅度的降息。美国通胀如此低，美国有资格降息。他已经告知土耳其，若做出不人道的事情，他们就可能遭受严重的经济创伤。

　　世界gold协会发布报告称，世界中央银行在8月份购买了62.1吨黄金，卖出了4.8吨黄金。世界黄金协会在其第二季度黄金报告中指出，各国央行在今年上半年购买了374.1吨黄金，这是该理事会19年历史上全球黄金储备最多的一次增长。今日重点关注

　　13:45 Switzerland9Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment

　　14:00 Germany8Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment

　　14:45 France8Monthly trade account

　　18:00 U.S.A9monthNFIBSmall Business Confidence Index

　　20:30 U.S.A9monthPPIMonthly rate

The next day01:35 美联储埃文斯发表讲话

The next day01:50 美联储主席鲍威尔发表演讲

　　

Technical aspect:
　　国际黄金周一跳空高开震荡收跌，周一亚盘交易时间金价维持震荡下行，进入下午盘金价逐步维稳于1504一线连续下探短线低点1504一线仍显示出阶段性支撑位影响，欧盘交易时间金价小幅加速上探回踩1508一线后形成高点压力位加速反转表现，欧盘交易时间金价维持日内偏震荡走低延续逐步维稳于1498一线支撑位价格区间。晚间美盘交易时间金价日内首次触及1496一线显示出阶段性较强支撑位影响行程对1503一线回踩表现，周二凌晨手大量卖单打压金价震荡走低，再度下探1498一线形成加速下探价格区间再度下移表现，最低触及1488一线后维稳于1493一线收盘，短期连续走低过程中仍显示出阶段性反弹幅度为偏震荡走低不具备对多单深度套单价格表现。日线录得小幅阴线，短期金价再度形成对日线60日均线下探表现，整体日线移动平均线呈粘合迹象，短期金价较难摆脱偏震荡走势。小时线显示当前金价震荡走低，震荡重心逐步下移，小时线移动平均线呈整齐向下发散排列，短期金价区间仍有进一步下移风险。胜贤以谨慎降低日内多单进场预期维持偏区间操作思路。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

Multiple orders:
Radical1483Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1487upper
Robust1473Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1478upper

Empty order:
Radical1497Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1494Below
Robust1504Frontline participation, stop loss3-5Point, profit target1500Below

Goldcrude oil被套频繁亏损最直接的原因：

　　1.Likes to buy at the bottom but doesn't know how to buy at the bottom, especially at historically low prices. Seeing that my own costs are lower than others, my heart is filled with joy. But I didn't expect that since the price has hit a historic low, there may be many new lows to come. It was supposed to be the market's last chance for you to make an appearance, but you went against the trend and even had your account funds cut in half within a week. I don't know how to copy the bottom and end up copying myself.

　　2.Not willing to stop loss: There are actually many articles related to this issue online, and talking too much doesn't make much sense. It can only be said that if you lose more, you will know the importance of stop loss. Some retail investors see that after a stop loss, the gold price rises again within a few days. "Next time, they will have a lucky mentality and stop cutting losses, which is obviously not feasible." Cut off losses and let profits run "is a wise saying. But then again, if you don't have your own profit model, your outcome is to buy, stop loss, buy again and stop loss, which is meaningless, and eventually slowly grind down your capital.

　　3.Don't dare to chase high: Many retail investors have a fear of heights, thinking that once the gold price rises, they will be trapped in chasing after it. What should they do? Perhaps you think this is chasing the rise and killing the fall, but I can tell you that the trend of the market is not directly related to the high or low price of gold. The key to whether to chase after the rise and kill the fall lies in looking at the "trend", which is precisely because our retail investors do not have enough control over the trend, so they mistakenly think that chasing after the rise and killing the fall. The safety of intervening after the formation of an upward trend is very high, and in the short term, there is actually a lot of profit. The core issue is how to determine whether the upward trend has formed, which has different standards in different market environments. If you lack the ability to control trends, it is recommended that you do not blindly operate alone. Learning or teacher guidance are both good choices.
　　
　　4.Countering the trend and resisting orders: Operation against the market-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.

　　5.Frequent operation: Frequent operation-无论单子理不理想，“负责任”的老师一个劲儿的给你做思想工作，说什么这个单子必赚无疑，不甘心的你听之任之，结果亏得灰头土脸，“不负责任”的老师可能找各种借口不给实时指导，给个区间让你来回操作即可，这我就搞不懂了，仓位是自己的，自己不知道控制？难道要等到爆仓才幻想着有没有后悔药吃？

Sheng Xian's message: Trend is king, follow the trend, go against the trend is death, and being suitable for oneself is the best


Wen/Wan Shengxian