Monday(10month7日)欧洲时段,现货黄金回落至千五关口下方,跟随美元指数同步回落,因避险需求有所减弱,张晨雷认为,当前对黄金持中性态度,鉴于近期美元的走势,以及美联储或将在下次利率决议时让多头大失所望,黄金正面临艰难时期。CFTC截止至9month25Solstice10month1日当周黄金投机性净多头减少43451Hand contract, to268993手合约,表明投资者看多黄金的意愿降温。COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time10month8day01:32-01:38七分钟内买卖盘面瞬间成交20205Hand, total contract value exceeds30USD100mn
Analysis of gold market trend:
Technically speaking, the daily chartKDJGolden fork,MACD绿色柱萎缩,金价从布林线下轨下方反弹至布林线中轨下方,但1500整数关口和布林线中轨1504.3仍然对金价形成压制,进一步阻力在1520Nearby, then9month12Daily high point1524.27附近也存在较强的阻力,1557以来的下行趋势线阻力也在该位置附近,刘论鑫认为若不能顶破该阻力,则后市金价仍偏向震荡下行;上方进一步较强的阻力在9month25Daily high point1535.73附近,若意外顶破该阻力,则金价有望进一步试探布林线上轨1541.13Nearby resistance.5Daily moving average resistance1499.03附近,在收复该位置前,后市下行风险。初步支撑上周四低点在1495.79Nearby, then1266-1557Upward trend23.6%Retreat position1488.76附近支撑,若下破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。综合来看,今日操作思路上刘论鑫个人建议高空为主,低多为辅。
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1Rebound1500Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1490-1488;
2Callback1484Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1494-1496;操作仅供参考,详情刘论鑫实盘给出。