Zhang Benxin10.7黄金多空博弈最新走势分析策略原油51.6Direct multiple

　　前言要想在这个市场里长久持续的走下去，必须有一套完整的交易体系，包括仓位技巧、风险控制和技术体系，这样的话，才能在震荡行情中，给你明确的指引，即便利润小，但是很轻松，也很有成就感；在单边行情中，能让你胸中有趋势，如果看对了，争取利润最大化，而看错了的时候，能控制好风险，并能客观调整思路，顺着趋势扭亏为盈。盈利之路不会一帆风顺，中间有止损，有止盈，这才是交易之路。好的心态也能成就好的未来,Leading the appreciation of positions,Achieve millions of wealth!

　　------goldTrend analysis



　　黄金日线来看，在三连阳后出现影响十字星，昨日却收出长上影线形态，这说明多头遇到的压制越来越强，而尾盘金价回落到1512之下，更是表明行情存在诱多行为，或许目前5Daily moving average at1493附近呈上扬形态有利多头，但10日均线依旧保持下行，其它各周期指标也未形成多头排列，加之布林带整体向上力度不强，KDJ死叉，随机指标温和走高，中的快线率先触及80轴后，向下拐头意愿强烈，MACD背离死叉，绿色能量柱缩量，指标则继续维持下行放量形态，所以，日线整体可期支撑下破且延伸。


　　黄金四小时走势图分析，四小时图黄金布林带目前高位逐渐缩口运行，附图指标MACDThe fast and slow lines are on0轴上方逐渐粘合，有形成高位死叉的趋势，黄金本周预期会高位震荡一段时间，短期多头能量在衰减。四小时图黄金今日上方压力看1512-14美金区间，下方支撑先看1502美金，进一步看1495美金区间。黄金今日亚欧盘时段先看1515-1495美金区间震荡。


　　综合来看，今日短线操作思路上张本鑫个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注1512-1515Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1495-1497一线支撑。行情千变万化，点位仅供参考


　　黄金最新操作建议


Gold rebound1511-1513Short nearby, stop loss4Points, target1505-1500Nearby. Break the position to see1495frontline;


Gold Callback1495-1497Long nearby, stop loss4Points, target1503-1505Nearby, break down and take a look1508frontline;


　　------crude oilTrend analysis


　　刚刚过去的一周，国际油价连续第二周大跌，NYMEX原油价格本周大跌逾5%, creating7月中旬以来最大周度跌幅，且刷新近两个月低点。制造业危机向服务业蔓延，市场忧心全球经济增长放缓将损及燃料需求。沙特阿拉伯石油产能已经完全恢复到遭受袭击前的水平。厄瓜多尔将从1month1日起退出OPEC。


　　从技术面来看，原油在50.52附近位置的支撑极强，该位置是2019year1month14以来的低点所在，1month4Daily low point support at50.38附近，同时6month5日油价也曾在该位置附近获得支撑，6month5日低点为50.60，而且自5month1日以来，油价大致处于50.52-63.96区域的箱体宽幅震荡，目前箱体下轨给油价提供了较好的支撑，日线图KDJ运行至超卖区域，短线油价下破50.52附近支撑的可能性较小。周四油价在重要支撑处录得十字星，张本鑫认为周五收盘录得阳线，已经形成局部的“启明之星”底部信号，这将增加后市短线看涨信号，需要予以留意；目前5Daily moving average resistance53.2Nearby,10month1Resistance to daily highs54.84附近，若能收复该位置，则增加短线看涨信号。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上张本鑫个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注53.8-54.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.6-51.8Frontline support.


Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:


　　1、原油上方反弹至53.8-54.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target53.0-53.2frontline;


　　2、原油下方回调至51.6-51.8Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target52.6-52.8frontline;

　　------Deconstructing strategy



Different situations have different ways of unraveling, so what should be done specifically in case of a single quilt being unraveled?


Scenario 1: When tying up, according to the chart analysis, if the purchased price is at a high level, the loss must be immediately stopped.


Scenario 2: If the purchased price is in the middle range, you can temporarily wait and see based on the situation at that time, in order to unwind and leave the market or reduce losses when the position is high.


Scenario 3: If the purchased price is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop the loss. After the purchased price stabilizes, one should dare to cover the position at a low level in important support positions, dilute costs, and rescue the high locked position together in the subsequent rebound market.


Scenario 4: If the price of the purchased item is on an upward trend, there is no need to stop the loss. Patiently holding it for a period of time will inevitably unwind, and there may even be a possibility of significant profits.


Scenario 5: If the purchased price is in a balanced and volatile trend, there is no need to immediately stop the loss. Be patient and wait for the price to enter a high level of a volatile cycle. Once the situation is resolved or the loss is small, you should decisively exit the market., Teaching people how to fish is not as good as teaching them how to fish. Here, not only are there calling for a spot, but there are also operational ideas and skills for making orders!


Scenario 6: If the price of the purchased item is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, the loss should be immediately stopped, and one must not be worried about gains or losses and have illusions. Any hesitation or hesitation may result in deep confinement.


Message: The retention of a glass of wine in the port of millions of people, the breakthrough of a sentence in the waiting of tens of thousands of people, even if exhausted, we will continue to embrace tomorrow. You cannot be my guest, just as I cannot be your teacher. Today's persistence will cause tomorrow's regret. Some people celebrate the market they seized, while others regret making mistakes in the market. You're here, I'm here, you're not here, I'm still here!


May you and I start with words and match our personalities,Trapped in technology, long after kindness, finally character.


Wen/Zhang Benxin