张晨雷10.7今日黄金原油还会涨吗？独家操作建议指导策略

　　市场是多棱镜，不同的角度，看到不同的结果。同一时间有人看空，有人看多，才会产生博弈。但总有一个方向是错的，当大部分人都看好一个方向的时候，很可能大部分人都错了。失去的机会已时过境迁，无需纠结。你认为的机会也许一文不值，你认为没有价值的东西或许最终改变你。繁华三千，看淡即是云烟；烦恼无数，想开就是晴天。带着盈利的心态才能做出盈利的交易，机会就在思想的拐角处出现。只要信念还在，希望之光就会驱散绝望之云。交易如同攀爬，只有登上绝顶，才能享受奇观胜景；若遇难而退，中途放弃，只会于机会擦肩而过，在交易中，最重要的就是要敢于出手，面对机会，果断出击，这样才不至于错失机会，追悔莫及。彩虹总在风雨后，人面对的最强大的敌人是自己，很多时候是迷失在自我设置的障碍里无法自拔，突破自我，才能掌控人生。正确分析失败的原因，及时补救，方能扭亏为盈。磨练心智，提高交易技巧，磨刀不误砍柴工，没时间学习，就没有机会成功
　　
　　————goldMessage surface analysis
　　
　　上周初，由于受到强势美元打压，加上美中贸易谈判可能取得进展的希望提振了股市，打击了黄金的吸引力，金价曾创下8month6Recently, it has reached a new low1459dollar/盎司。但随着新一波美国经济数据不尽如人意，美元指数迅速转跌，金价进而收复全部跌势并转升，盘中录得9month25Recent highs1519.53dollar/盎司，终盘收涨0.52%to1504.65dollar/ounce.
　　
　　早先有美国媒体引用知情人士消息报道，特朗普政府正讨论采用多种措施，限制美国投资流入中国企业。但美国财政部发言人对其中一项措施作出回应，称美政府并未考虑禁止中国公司在美股票交易所上市。在中美贸易纷争的大背景下，全球经济指标持续疲弱，推动金价今年迄今录得逾17%的涨幅。在中美贸易纷争的大背景下，全球经济指标持续疲弱，推动金价今年迄今录得逾17%的涨幅。投资者将密切关注将于下周恢复的中美贸易磋商。美联储10month30日降息25个基点的预期超过75%，较一周前大幅提升逾25个百分点。年内累计降息四次的可能性也大幅提升，即下半年所有政策会议都决定降息。在此背景下，我们看到对黄金等避险资产的需求大幅回升，这也重燃10月底降息的前景。张晨雷认为：“预计美联储今年至少还会再降息一次。美国经济短期内不会出现坠崖式收缩，金价走势也难免反复，但总体看涨趋势应该会保持不变。”
　　
————Analysis of Gold Market Trend
　　
　　技术面来看，金价在1460附近获得支撑后展开反弹，收复1500关口，日线图KDJ金叉，增加了短线看涨信号，留意布林线中轨1506.57附近阻力，张晨雷认为若能收复该位置，后市可能会重新试探布林线上轨1544.49附近阻力；另外，9month26Rihe1512.39和上周高点1535.75附近也存在一定的阻力。不过，由于布林线中轨依然对金价形成压制，而且MACD死叉信号仍在，张晨雷认为若金价回落至5Daily moving average1491.05下方，则削弱短线看涨信号；布林线下轨支撑在1468.72附近，若进一部失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号。综合来看，操作思路上张晨雷个人建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注1515-1517Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1494-1496一线支撑。行情实时变化，添加张晨雷WeiXinNumber（zc4867）Get daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout. We welcome like-minded individuals to come and have a long conversation!
　　
　　————黄金可参考建议
　　
　　1Suggestions1515Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;
　　
　　2Suggestions1494Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1504-1506frontline;
　　
　　————crude oilMessage surface analysis
　　
　　国际油价连续第二周大跌，跌幅较上周有所扩大，且创下近两个月新低。宏观面释放出新的不祥之兆，市场忧心全球经济增长放缓将损及燃料需求。沙特阿拉伯石油产能已经完全恢复到遭受袭击前的水平。不过中东局势不稳和美国钻探活动持续下降，料牵制原油空头。NYMEX原油价格本周大跌逾5%to53.01dollar/Bucket7月中旬以来最大周度跌幅；ICE布伦特原油价格本周跌近4.5%to58.43dollar/Bucket, for8月上旬以来最大单周跌幅。两市盘中均刷新8month7日以来新低，分别至50.99dollar/Bucket and56.15dollar/Bucket.
　　
　　美国劳工部公布的报告显示，美国9月份就业增长温和，失业率降至3.5%, approaching50年来的最低水平。不过，此前一系列美国经济报告疲弱，9月份制造业活动降至逾10年低点，服务业增速也大幅放缓至近三年新低。张晨.雷认为：“制造业呈现的危机现在看来正蔓延到先前表现强劲的服务业，这对石油需求来说不是好消息。运输需求下降，打压能源需求前景。”
　　
————Analysis of crude oil market trend
　　
　　原油日线图来看一直是持续收阴，最近的原油只要是反弹就可以做空，周四原油也是再次破位新低连阴下跌，日线上技术面空头趋势明显，整体看空不变；四小时来看，连连阴下跌，可是昨日触及51低位后，紧接着收得一根小阴十字星再转阳反弹上涨，随后午夜拉升到52上方，从四小时图看，周四原油试探低位51附近之后企稳反弹，晚间也是持续走高到53上方，目前可以初步判定原油下方支撑很强，目前布林带朝上运行，KLine operation and near the Bolin track,MA5AndMA10Dead fork upwards,MACDThe golden fork is upward, and the green energy column is released twice,KDJ三线粘合运行，行情多头趋势企稳。综合来看，周一操作思路上张晨雷个人建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方短期重点关注53.8-54.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below51.8-52.0一线支撑。（行情千变万化，点位仅供参考，详情关注张晨雷本人官||Wei:zc4867）
　　
　　————原油可参考建议
　　
　　1Suggestions53.5Stop loss without breaking into the empty space54.0, Objective52.8-52.5；
　　
　　2Suggestions52.0不破进多，止损51,5, Objective52.8-53.0；
　　
Personal feedback on making orders:
　　
　　1Spot: The spot where the order is placed is quite important, although gold.Crude oil operates in two modes: long and short. In fact, there are four operating methods: low, low, high, and high. In a unilateral trend, these four modes are all feasible. If you are in a volatile trend, remember not to be low or high. This is equivalent to chasing gains and selling losses. Remember, many people are chasing gains and selling losses.
　　
　　2Stop loss: Before placing an order, you should think about the stop loss price and whether it is reasonable. After placing an order, you should immediately fill in the stop loss price. Why do you need to fill in the stop loss at the beginning? If the market is not the situation you want to go, then you can reduce losses in the first place. Stop loss means to stop losses. Only small losses can maintain vitality, and sometimes you need to be willing to give up, It's not that you're losing this time and won't be able to earn back next time. You need to control the risks of your investment.
　　
　　3Positions: How funds are allocated is related to the level of psychological resilience. If a position is too large or full, once the trend reverses, losses will increase, and psychological stress will also increase. Often, it is not possible to carefully analyze market trends, resulting in incorrect operations.
　　
　　4Stop profit: Many people often fail to do a good job of stopping profit, resulting in profit orders becoming loss orders. In a unilateral trend, stop profit can be increased by using the push stop loss method to increase profit space. Stop profit often requires personal thinking to close positions, not every order must earn tens of thousands or even tens of thousands. In a volatile market, sometimes a few hundred profits add up.
　　
　　5Attitude: This is the most important point that every investor must grasp. When you enter this market, it is undeniable that everyone is trying to make money, but your attitude determines how far you will go on the investment path. What you need to achieve is to rather make small profits than lose money, rather than thinking about earning more and earning less.
　　
Note: The above analysis is for reference only, and the market is constantly changing. When making an order, be sure to bring a stop loss! Investment carries risks, so be cautious when entering the industry!
　　
　　张晨雷老师全方位指导时间：早7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00
　　
　　全方位指导老师：张晨雷分析团队
　　
Wen/张晨雷（官微：zc4867；公众号：张晨雷）