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投资朋友们早上好:
The financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people make money, others must also lose money. The most important thing about investing is not how much money you can earn in a week. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits in the long run. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods and strategies. As long as they are suitable, achieving stable profits is a good method, but there is really no shortcut to making profits in investment, Only like an ascetic monk, do homework diligently every day and accumulate diligently. Only by steadily grasping short-term returns on a daily basis can we go further on the investment path. Do not rush for quick success or profit, go against the trend, and compete with the market for long or short.
InternationalgoldInformation analysis:
10month4日美元连续第四天下跌,在逊于预期但整体稳健的美国就业报告出炉后一度走高,鉴于美国政治风险和经贸谈判正在进行,投资者保持谨慎态度。金价持稳,之前一份报告显示美国前几个月的就业增长数据被向上修正,9月失业率降至近50年来最低的3.5%,令市场对美联储今年将大幅降息的押注降温。
United States9Growth of non-agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment13.6万人,前值则从13万大幅修正为16.8万,表明就业温和增长。失业率降低0.2个百分点至近50年低位的3.5%,可缓解金融市场对经济放缓至衰退边缘的担忧。平均时薪增速保持不变,制造业就业人数为六个月来首次下降,零售业继续裁员。尽管如此,经济学家预计,鉴于贸易政策的不确定性,美联储年内至少再降息一次。
非农前: Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is85.0%,维持当前利率的概率为15.0%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is45.7%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is47.7%,维持当前利率的概率为6.6%。
非农后: Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is79.6%,维持当前利率的概率为20.4%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is44.4%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is46.5%,维持当前利率的概率为9.2%。
Outlook10month7day-13日当周,关注重点包括鲍威尔在内的美联储人员讲话,主要事件风险仍在于英国脱欧谈判进展,以及欧美和中美冒易摩擦如何推进。数据方面重点关注中国社会融资和冒易帐、美国CPIUKGDP、加拿大失业率及三大机构crude oil月报。非农数据公布后的一周,市场不会平静。
Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:
现货黄金日线来看,虽为三连阳,可昨日却收出长上影线形态,这说明多头遇到的压制越来越强,而尾盘金价回落到1512之下,更是表明行情存在诱多行为,或许目前5Daily moving average at1493附近呈上扬形态有利多头,但10日均线依旧保持下行,其它各周期指标也未形成多头排列,加之布林带整体向上力度不强,KDJ死叉,随机指标温和走高,中的快线率先触及80轴后,向下拐头意愿强烈,MACD背离死叉,绿色能量柱缩量,指标则继续维持下行放量形态,所以,日线整体可期支撑下破且延伸。
Spot gold4小时来看,自周二盘金价反弹以来,一直处于短期均线上方运行,并带动短期均线向上延伸,当前分别于1504and1508构成短期支撑,按理说应当在支撑之上顺势看涨,但是,通过仔细观察可以发现,目前短期均线有向下拐头的迹象,其它各周期指标也存在转向空头排列的意愿,再加之布林带整体上行势能衰竭,MACD金叉,红色能量柱缩减KDJ死叉,随机指标向下放量明显,因此4小时级别整体应看冲高回落走势。综合来看,今日操作思路上万胜道金个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1515-1517Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1494-1496Frontline support.
黄金最新操作参考建议:
1Gold rebounded above1515-1517Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1508-1510frontline;
2The price of gold has fallen below1494-1496Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1504-1506frontline;
The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. The specific operating strategy is based on Wansheng Daojinws94458Based on actual offer guidance)  
Top priority: Remember to strictly carry out stop loss during operation. I will give a prompt every day to strictly carry out stop loss!
——万胜道金告诉大家黄金被套频繁亏损最直接的原因——
1.Likes to buy at the bottom but doesn't know how to buy at the bottom, especially at historically low prices. Seeing that my own costs are lower than others, my heart is filled with joy. But I didn't expect that since the price has hit a historic low, there may be many new lows to come. It was supposed to be the market's last chance for you to make an appearance, but you went against the trend and even had your account funds cut in half within a week. I don't know how to copy the bottom and end up copying myself.
2.Not willing to stop loss: There are actually many articles related to this issue online, and talking too much doesn't make much sense. It can only be said that if you lose more, you will know the importance of stop loss. Some retail investors see that after a stop loss, the gold price rises again within a few days. "Next time, they will have a lucky mentality and stop cutting losses, which is obviously not feasible." Cut off losses and let profits run "is a wise saying. But then again, if you don't have your own profit model, your outcome is to buy, stop loss, buy again and stop loss, which is meaningless, and eventually slowly grind down your capital.
3.Don't dare to chase high: Many retail investors have a fear of heights, thinking that once the gold price rises, they will be trapped in chasing after it. What should they do? Perhaps you think this is chasing the rise and killing the fall, but I can tell you that the trend of the market is not directly related to the high or low price of gold. The key to whether to chase after the rise and kill the fall lies in looking at the "trend", which is precisely because our retail investors do not have enough control over the trend, so they mistakenly think that chasing after the rise and killing the fall. The safety of intervening after the formation of an upward trend is very high, and in the short term, there is actually a lot of profit. The core issue is how to determine whether the upward trend has formed, which has different standards in different market environments. If you lack the ability to control trends, it is recommended that you do not blindly operate alone. Learning or teacher guidance are both good choices.
4.Countering the trend and resisting orders: Operation against the market-If the direction is reversed, resist; Resisting losses intensifies; If it really doesn't work, stop loss; The direction of the stop loss has returned, or when the market rises, it falls; when buying, it rises, and it can never keep up with the rhythm.
5.Frequent operation: Frequent operation-无论单子理不理想,“负责任”的老师一个劲儿的给你做思想工作,说什么这个单子必赚无疑,不甘心的你听之任之,结果亏得灰头土脸,“不负责任”的老师可能找各种借口不给实时指导,给个区间让你来回操作即可,这我就搞不懂了,仓位是自己的,自己不知道控制?难道要等到爆仓才幻想着有没有后悔药吃?
How to invest in gold steadily:
The ups and downs of the market sometimes have traces to follow, and sometimes they are unfounded. The standard for deciding whether to participate in the market is whether to find sufficient reasons to persuade oneself through one's own trading system, and these reasons are the necessary adjustments in the trading system to determine a complete set of transactions-Position holding-adjustment-defense-目标”缺一不可,而盲目的横冲直撞只会让自己的交易杂乱无章,所有人都可以接受不明不白的盈利,但只有能总结出明明白白的损失的交易者才能走的更远!投资是一门平衡的艺术,懂得了权衡与取舍,才算成熟,才不为固执所累,还在为之困惑的投资者们不要担心,投资路上你我共同加油。
万胜道金做单风格:我不做一单资金翻倍的承诺,只给你最稳健长赢的指导
Comprehensive analysis team: Wansheng Daojin analysis team
Analysis writer: Wan Shengdao Jin---(ws94458)
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