Register now, make more friends, enjoy more functions, and let you play in the community easily.
You need Sign in Can be downloaded or viewed without an account?Register Now
x
Information analysis:
United States9Growth of non-agricultural employment population after seasonal adjustment13.6万人,前值则从13万大幅修正为16.8万,表明就业温和增长。失业率降低0.2个百分点至近50年低位的3.5%,可缓解金融市场对经济放缓至衰退边缘的担忧。平均时薪增速保持不变,制造业就业人数为六个月来首次下降,零售业继续裁员。尽管如此,经济学家预计,鉴于贸易政策的不确定性,美联储年内至少再降息一次。
非农前: Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is85.0%,维持当前利率的概率为15.0%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is45.7%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is47.7%,维持当前利率的概率为6.6%。
非农后: Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is79.6%,维持当前利率的概率为20.4%; reach12Monthly interest rate reduction25The probability of a basis point is44.4%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is46.5%,维持当前利率的概率为9.2%。
现货黄金日线来看,虽为三连阳,可昨日却收出长上影线形态,这说明多头遇到的压制越来越强,而尾盘金价回落到1512之下,更是表明行情存在诱多行为,或许目前5Daily moving average at1493附近呈上扬形态有利多头,但10日均线依旧保持下行,其它各周期指标也未形成多头排列,加之布林带整体向上力度不强,KDJ死叉,随机指标温和走高,中的快线率先触及80轴后,向下拐头意愿强烈,MACD背离死叉,绿色能量柱缩量,指标则继续维持下行放量形态,所以,日线整体可期支撑下破且延伸。
Investment is not speculation. Seize the right moment, refuse blindness, take a break if there is no time, and cherish every drop of blood and sweat you earn! Investment carries risks, so we need to be cautious when entering the market, grasp the most accurate trend, and make our investments more rational.
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00(Never stopping on weekends, available for consultation at any time))
Comprehensive guidance teacher: Peng Yuxin's analysis team
撰稿人:彭宇鑫
Author's message: May you and I start with words, adapt to character, fall into technical difficulties, persist in kindness, and finally have character.