Zhou Hongjin:10.2黄金止跌反弹原油创新低；黄金原油早间行情走势分析及操作建议

　　10month1日美元从逾两年高位回落，稍早触及2017year5The highest since the beginning of the month99.67，因数据显示美国制造业疲弱。受避险需求推动，瑞郎和日元涨幅居前；澳元兑跌至2009年以来最低水平，澳洲联储周二降息至纪录新低。金价止跌反弹，美元走软支撑了金价，此外欧美股市大幅下挫也提振了gold的避险需求。由于负面的经济信号使全球能源需求前景变得黯淡，美油跌至逾一个月低点。

　　

　Analysis of Gold Trends:
　　
　　周二金价在盘中稍早触及近两个月低点后逆转走势，现货黄金一度涨超1%，收复1480关口，较日低回升逾20美元，因美国疲弱的制造业数据提振了对美联储再次降息的押注，导致美元回吐涨幅，此外欧美股市大幅下挫也提振了黄金的避险需求。
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，均线死叉后空头排列，布林线轨道轻微开口，金价失守9month18日触及的逾一个月低点1483.50附近支撑，鸿|金认为若不能快速收复该位置，则后市偏向进一步下跌；目前布林线下轨1468.31仍然给金价提供支撑，周一低点支撑在1464.55Nearby,7month19The daily high is supported by1453.09Nearby,1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retraction position support1446.21Nearby,100The daily moving average is supported by1427.14Nearby; Strong support in8month1Daily low point1400.58Near.9month18Daily low point1483.50也已经转化为初步阻力位所在，金价仍存在对该阻力进行回踩确认的可能性，需要予以警惕；5Daily moving average resistance1491.5附近，在收复该位置前，后市都偏向震荡下行；10Daily moving average resistance1502.23附近，关注3268735920若意外收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高沽低渣即可；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：1483.5；1491.5；1502.23；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1468.31；1464.55；1460.00；

　　

Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1491Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1472-1470；
　　
　　2Callback1468Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1478-1480；
　　
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　　crude oilTrend analysis:
　　
　　由于负面的经济信号使全球能源需求前景变得黯淡，油价跌至逾一个月低点，美油创9month3Recently, it has reached a new low53.05dollar/桶。美国制造业下滑，世界冒易组织下调了全球冒易增长预期。惨淡的经济形势与上个月沙特石油设施遭袭击而导致OPEC原油产量暴跌形成鲜明对比。鸿|金认为，需求恐慌压倒了供应担忧。
　　
Technically speaking, the daily chartMACDandKDJ死叉运行，油价跌破50.52以来上涨趋势线支撑，后市偏向继续震荡下探，初步支撑在9month12Daily low point54.00nearby(接近隔夜低点)；9month3Daily low point support at52.84nearby(接近布林线下轨)，目前布林线轨道还没有明显的开口迹象，鸿|金认为能否进一步下破还有待观察，进一步强支撑在8month7Daily low point50.52附近。不过，目前54.00位置给油价提供了一些支撑，油价短线存在调整或者温和反弹的需求，5Daily moving average resistance54.99附近，该位置也是前期上涨趋势线所在，需要提防油价对该位置进行回踩确认，关注3268735920若不能顶破该阻力，则后市仍将延续跌势。100Daily moving average resistance56.61附近，若意外收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号。此外，上周五低点56.75附近也存在一些阻力，需要简单予以留意。综合来看，今日操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:54.99；55.62；56.18；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.00；52.84；51.94；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:

　　

　　1Rebound55.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target54.2-53.8；
　　
　　2Callback52.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target54.8-55.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
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　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
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