Zhou Hongjin:10.1黄金原油还会跌吗？午夜黄金原油行情走势分析及操作建议黄金多单解套

　　9month30日，国际金价小幅下跌，逼近上日录得的一周半低位，因市场对贸易局势恶化的忧虑缓解推动美元走强。中国商务部副部长王受文确认，国庆后一周，刘鹤副总理将率团赴美经贸磋商。费城联储主席哈克之前表示，他反对美联储9月降息，认为美联储应该维持利率不变。国际油价走低，尽管中国制造业数据有所向好，但持续的贸易紧张形势仍旧让投资者担心，crude oil需求依然不景气。不过油价有望时隔两个月后再度收阳，中东紧张局势抵消了需求前景欠佳的不利影响。沙特王储警告与伊朗的争端升级。也门叛军胡塞武装称，他们俘获多名联军士兵，缴获多辆军车。

　　

　　goldTrend analysis:
　　
　　技术面来看，日线形态上有点“头肩底”迹象，MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，留意颈线1480附近支撑，鸿|金认为若失守该支撑，则增加中线看空信号，初步目标参考1266-1557Upward trend38.2%Retreat position1446.21附近，激进目标看下8month1Daily low point1400Nearby. In the short term,1266-1557Upward trend23.6%Retreat position1488.76附近还存在一些支撑，布林线下轨支撑目前在1473.57Nearby. Preliminary resistance above1500Integer level,5Daily moving average and10日均线均线阻力大约在1505.55附近，在收复该位置前，后市偏向震荡下行；布林线中轨阻力在1512.93附近，关注3268735920若意外收复该位置，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　上方关注阻力：1500.00；1503.67；1505.55；
　　
Pay attention to support below:1488.76；1483.50；1480.00；
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Rebound1498Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1486-1484；
　　
　　2Callback1480Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1490-1492；
　　
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　　Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
Technically speaking,MACDDead fork,KDJ死叉，油价承压于布林线中轨下方，后市偏向震荡下行，目标参考布林线下轨52.94Nearby support,9month3Daily low point support at52.84附近，鸿|金认为若失守该支撑，则可能会进一步跌向8month7Daily low point50.52附近。上方布林线中轨阻力在56.60nearby(near200Daily moving average)，10Daily moving average resistance57.40Nearby, due to50.52以来上涨趋势线仍给油价提供支撑，关注3268735920若意外收复10日均线，则削弱后市看空信号。综合来看，收复56.63前，后市偏向震荡下行；所以今日晚间操作思路上周鸿金个人建议高空为主，低多为辅；
　　
　　Focus on resistance above:56.63；57.40；58.49；
　　
Pay attention to support below:54.75；54.00；52.84；
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Rebound56.0Stop loss without breaking short0.5US dollars, look at the target55.0-54.8；
　　
　　2Callback54.8Do not break long, stop loss0.5US dollars, look at the target55.8-56.0；
　　
　　盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以周鸿金指导实盘为准，添加薇-Core:zh66646Get real-time strategies and free solutions.
　　
　　1Special reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell, and avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning secrets. Do not attempt to seize all fluctuations, nor expect to grasp every segment of the market. Judging the market situation is only a part of trading. Investors also need to have a reverence for the market, remember trading discipline, and strictly control their positions to reduce greed, overcome fear, and try to maintain a calm mind when trading.
　　
　　2Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
　　
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　　鸿金寄语-----
　　
　　投资交易如同做人，选择大于努力，不论是交易方向的选择，投资方法的选择，还是老师的选择都至关重要，不能带你盈利的都是夸夸其谈，诚恳走一生，虚情假意将永远被唾弃，是金子总会发光，鱼龙混杂的市场，吹嘘得来的认可，总会原形毕露，唯有坚持写出对投资者有用的分析，能让投资者少走点弯路，学到技巧与知识，少错一单，那么我相信日久见人心。
　　
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