9month26日纽约时段盘中,现货金价维持宽幅震荡走势,市场关注的美国二季度GDP终值符合预期,但给经济前景蒙阴,短暂支撑了金价。其他影响金价方面,英国政局的混乱支撑金价,但美元走强,美日达成经贸初步协议,美联储官员鹰派基调等因素却施压金价。当前金价等待更多消息指引。据CMEFederal Reserve Observation: The Federal Reserve10Monthly interest rate reduction25Bps to1.50%-1.75%的概率为44.9%,维持当前利率的概率为55.1%;12Monthly interest rate reduction25Bps to1.50%-1.75%的概率为48.8%Interest rate reduction50The probability of a basis point is17.2%,维持当前利率的概率为34.0%。
据有关人员表示:有几项进展可能有助于金价向1600美元方向移动。他们认为基本面因素表明金价正在走强。同时指出,“美联储、美国总统和经济数据的综合作用,已推动金价从夏季低点1385美元,升至9At the beginning of the month1557美元。美元走强和积极的美国数据往往是塑造这个市场的非常有力的因素,但这些因素似乎并不是整个夏季金价上涨的驱动因素,因为交易员转而关注对美国官方货币和冒易政策的解读。”
技术面来看,金价在1535重要阻力位附近受阻后大幅走弱,K线局部再次出现“吞没”看空信号,金价也回落至5日均线和布林线中轨下方,在收复布林线中轨1514.78前,后市偏向震荡下行,短线留意1500整数关口附近支撑,进一步支撑在1488.76Nearby, this location is1266-1557Upward trend23.6%回撤位,上周低点支撑在1483.50Nearby, the Bollinger Line's lower track supports1477.13附近。目前日线布林线轨道水平运行,万胜道金认为能否进一步下破还有待观察;若进一步下破,则增加中长线看空信号。由于1500整数关口是重要心理支撑位,也存在一种可能:金价在1500关口上方震荡调整2-3个交易日后再延续跌势。上方5Daily moving average resistance1517Nearby, then9month12Daily high point1524.27附近阻力,若意外回升至该位置上方,则削弱后市看空信号。短线4hourMACDandKDJ死叉,金价回落至布林线中轨下方,短线偏向进一步试探布林线下轨1497.63附近支撑,万胜道金认为若下破该支撑,则增加中线看空信号。不过,目前布林线轨道接近水平运行,中线走势依然依赖于布林线轨道1497.63-1536.97Regional breakthrough situation. At present, the resistance of the Bollinger Line track is1517.30附近,若回升至该位置上方,则削弱短线看空信号。进一步阻力在1524.00附近。综合来看,今日操作思路上万胜道金个人建议低多为主,高空为辅;
早间黄金参考建议:
1Callback1500Do not break long, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1510-1512;
2Rebound1517Stop loss without breaking short4US dollars, look at the target1506-1504;
The market is constantly changing, and the points are for reference only. The specific operating strategy is based on Wansheng Daojinws94458Based on actual offer guidance)  
Top priority: Remember to strictly carry out stop loss during operation. I will give a prompt every day to strictly carry out stop loss!
Order making style: I do not promise to double the funds for a single order, but only provide you with the most stable and long-term guidance for winning
Comprehensive analysis team: Wansheng Daojin analysis team
Analysis writer: Wan Shengdao Jin---(ws94458)
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